{"id":721897,"date":"2010-04-22T12:38:00","date_gmt":"2010-04-22T16:38:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/your-play-by-play-guide-to-the-great-deflationary-2010-4"},"modified":"2026-10-04T12:25:13","modified_gmt":"2026-10-04T16:25:13","slug":"a-play-by-play-guide-to-americas-coming-deflationary-debacle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/721897","title":{"rendered":"A Play-By-Play Guide To America&#8217;s Coming Deflationary Debacle"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"float_right\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bd061867f8b9a1577c00100-268-201\/bubble-flow.jpg?resize=268%2C201\" border=\"0\" alt=\"Bubble Flow\" width=\"268\" height=\"201\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Japanese scenario haunts the U.S. economy.<\/p>\n<p>The idea that all the government spending the U.S. has used to bring the country back from recession may not prevent the economy from crumbling under the weight of its own debts lives in markets today.<\/p>\n<p>There have been signs that the U.S. may differ from Japan&#8217;s balance sheet recession. The Federal Reserve&#8217;s quick response, the size of that response, and the current growth experience suggests that the U.S. may avoid the worst of Japan&#8217;s balance sheet recession.<\/p>\n<p>But a lot of the data explaining Japan&#8217;s experience matches up with U.S. economic data, and when you look at those charts side-by-side, its fearfully revealing.<\/p>\n<h2>Japan Commercial Land Values<\/h2>\n<div class=\"image-container slide-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bd061867f8b9ac27db80300-400-300\/japan-commercial-land-values.jpg?w=780\" alt=\"Japan Commercial Land Values\" border=\"0\" class=\"slide-image\" \/><\/div>\n<p><em>Source: Japan government paper, &#8220;The Asset Price Bubble and Monetary Policy<\/em>&#8220;<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<h2>Japan Residential Land Values<\/h2>\n<div class=\"image-container slide-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bd061897f8b9ac27dbe0300-400-300\/japan-residential-land-values.jpg?w=780\" alt=\"Japan Residential Land Values\" border=\"0\" class=\"slide-image\" \/><\/div>\n<p><em>Source: Japan government paper, &#8220;The Asset Price Bubble and Monetary Policy<\/em>&#8220;<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<h2>Japan Land Values<\/h2>\n<div class=\"image-container slide-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bd061887f8b9a1e23ff0300-400-300\/japan-land-values.jpg?w=780\" alt=\"Japan Land Values\" border=\"0\" class=\"slide-image\" \/><\/div>\n<p><em>Source: Japan government paper, &#8220;The Asset Price Bubble and Monetary Policy<\/em>&#8220;<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<h2>U.S. Land Prices<\/h2>\n<div class=\"image-container slide-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bd063c57f8b9ab8259b0200-400-300\/us-land-prices.jpg?w=780\" alt=\"U.S. Land Prices\" border=\"0\" class=\"slide-image\" \/><\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<h2>Japan Asset Prices<\/h2>\n<div class=\"image-container slide-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bd061857f8b9a6a771b0000-400-300\/japan-asset-prices.jpg?w=780\" alt=\"Japan Asset Prices\" border=\"0\" class=\"slide-image\" \/><\/div>\n<p><em>Source: Japan government paper, &#8220;The Asset Price Bubble and Monetary Policy<\/em>&#8220;<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<h2>U.S. Asset Prices<\/h2>\n<div class=\"image-container slide-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bd0618a7f8b9a5b775e0000-400-300\/us-asset-prices.jpg?w=780\" alt=\"U.S. Asset Prices\" border=\"0\" class=\"slide-image\" \/><\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<h2>Japan Interest Rates<\/h2>\n<div class=\"image-container slide-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bd061867f8b9a53267b0000-400-300\/japan-interest-rates.jpg?w=780\" alt=\"Japan Interest Rates\" border=\"0\" class=\"slide-image\" \/><\/div>\n<p><em>Source: Japan government paper, &#8220;The Asset Price Bubble and Monetary Policy<\/em>&#8220;<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<h2>U.S. Interest Rates<\/h2>\n<div class=\"image-container slide-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bd0618a7f8b9ac025e70000-400-300\/us-interest-rates.jpg?w=780\" alt=\"U.S. Interest Rates\" border=\"0\" class=\"slide-image\" \/><\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<h2>Japan Money Supply<\/h2>\n<div class=\"image-container slide-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bd061897f8b9a6777220000-400-300\/japan-money-supply.jpg?w=780\" alt=\"Japan Money Supply\" border=\"0\" class=\"slide-image\" \/><\/div>\n<p><em>Source: Japan government paper, &#8220;The Asset Price Bubble and Monetary Policy<\/em>&#8220;<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<h2>U.S. Money Supply<\/h2>\n<div class=\"image-container slide-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bd0618b7f8b9a7b23590200-400-300\/us-money-supply.jpg?w=780\" alt=\"U.S. Money Supply\" border=\"0\" class=\"slide-image\" \/><\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<h2>Japan Loans Outstanding<\/h2>\n<div class=\"image-container slide-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bd061887f8b9a787e100000-400-300\/japan-loans-outstanding.jpg?w=780\" alt=\"Japan Loans Outstanding\" border=\"0\" class=\"slide-image\" \/><\/div>\n<p><em>Source: Japan government paper, &#8220;The Asset Price Bubble and Monetary Policy<\/em>&#8220;<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<h2>U.S. Loans Outstanding<\/h2>\n<div class=\"image-container slide-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bd065a17f8b9a3827600100-400-300\/us-loans-outstanding.jpg?w=780\" alt=\"U.S. Loans Outstanding\" border=\"0\" class=\"slide-image\" \/><\/div>\n<p><em>Source: Japan government paper, &#8220;The Asset Price Bubble and Monetary Policy<\/em>&#8220;<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<h2>U.S. Bank Profits<\/h2>\n<div class=\"image-container slide-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bd063517f8b9abc77380000-400-300\/us-bank-profits.jpg?w=780\" alt=\"U.S. Bank Profits\" border=\"0\" class=\"slide-image\" \/><\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<h2>Japan Bank Profits<\/h2>\n<div class=\"image-container slide-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bd061857f8b9af676c90200-400-300\/japan-bank-profits.jpg?w=780\" alt=\"Japan Bank Profits\" border=\"0\" class=\"slide-image\" \/><\/div>\n<p><em>Source: Japan government paper, &#8220;The Asset Price Bubble and Monetary Policy<\/em>&#8220;<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<h2>Japanese Markets vs. The World<\/h2>\n<div class=\"image-container slide-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bd061897f8b9a1e7eb70100-400-300\/japanese-markets-vs-the-world.jpg?w=780\" alt=\"Japanese Markets vs. The World\" border=\"0\" class=\"slide-image\" \/><\/div>\n<p><em>Source: Japan government paper, &#8220;The Asset Price Bubble and Monetary Policy<\/em>&#8220;<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<h2>Japan Stock Values<\/h2>\n<div class=\"image-container slide-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bd061897f8b9a057ed70200-400-300\/japan-stock-values.jpg?w=780\" alt=\"Japan Stock Values\" border=\"0\" class=\"slide-image\" \/><\/div>\n<p><em>Source: Japan government paper, &#8220;The Asset Price Bubble and Monetary Policy<\/em>&#8220;<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<h2>U.S. DJIA Values<\/h2>\n<div class=\"image-container slide-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bd0618b7f8b9a6977200000-400-300\/us-djia-values.jpg?w=780\" alt=\"U.S. DJIA Values\" border=\"0\" class=\"slide-image\" \/><\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<h2>Japan GDP<\/h2>\n<div class=\"image-container slide-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bd061877f8b9a7223420200-400-300\/japan-gdp.jpg?w=780\" alt=\"Japan GDP\" border=\"0\" class=\"slide-image\" \/><\/div>\n<p><em>Source: Japan government paper, &#8220;The Asset Price Bubble and Monetary Policy<\/em>&#8220;<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<h2>U.S. GDP<\/h2>\n<div class=\"image-container slide-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bd0618b7f8b9a5e7efa0000-400-300\/us-gdp.jpg?w=780\" alt=\"U.S. GDP\" border=\"0\" class=\"slide-image\" \/><\/div>\n<p><\/p>\n<h2>Look familiar. California for Tokyo, perhaps?<\/h2>\n<div class=\"image-container slide-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bd061867f8b9a1577c00100-400-300\/look-familiar-california-for-tokyo-perhaps.jpg?w=780\" alt=\"Look familiar. California for Tokyo, perhaps?\" border=\"0\" class=\"slide-image\" \/><\/div>\n<p><em>Source: Japan government paper, &#8220;The Asset Price Bubble and Monetary Policy<\/em>&#8220;<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<h2>Don&#8217;t believe us? Check out Richard Koo&#8217;s presentation saying the U.S. is the next Japan.<\/h2>\n<div class=\"image-container slide-image\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.businessinsider.com\/image\/4bc5bb557f8b9a2a293d0200-400-300\/dont-believe-us-check-out-richard-koos-presentation-saying-the-us-is-the-next-japan.jpg?w=780\" alt=\"Don't believe us? Check out Richard Koo's presentation saying the U.S. is the next Japan.\" border=\"0\" class=\"slide-image\" \/><\/div>\n<h2><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/richard-koo-recession-2010-4#-1\">See Richard Koo of Nomura&#8217;s presentation here &gt;<\/a><\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/your-play-by-play-guide-to-the-great-deflationary-2010-4#comments\">Join the conversation about this story &#187;<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/feeds.feedburner.com\/~r\/TheMoneyGame\/~4\/peZ_ptvzAXw\" height=\"1\" width=\"1\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Japanese scenario haunts the U.S. economy. The idea that all the government spending the U.S. has used to bring the country back from recession may not prevent the economy from crumbling under the weight of its own debts lives in markets today. There have been signs that the U.S. may differ from Japan&#8217;s balance [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1217,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4821],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-721897","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9NivD-31Nv","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/721897","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1217"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=721897"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/721897\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":823496,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/721897\/revisions\/823496"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=721897"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=721897"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=721897"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}