{"id":661399,"date":"2010-02-10T07:39:04","date_gmt":"2010-02-10T12:39:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.disinfo.com\/?p=21949"},"modified":"2010-02-10T07:39:04","modified_gmt":"2010-02-10T12:39:04","slug":"when-will-computers-be-smarter-than-humans","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/661399","title":{"rendered":"When Will Computers Be Smarter Than Humans?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>21 AI experts <a href=\"http:\/\/hplusmagazine.com\/articles\/ai\/how-long-till-human-level-ai\">have predicted the date for four artificial intelligence milestones.<\/a> Seven predict AIs will achieve Nobel prize-winning performance within 20 years, while five predict that will be accompanied by superhuman intelligence.<\/p>\n<p>One also predicted that in 30 years, &#8220;virtually all the intellectual work that is done by trained human beings&#8230;can be done by computers for pennies an hour,&#8221; adding that AI &#8220;is likely to eliminate almost all of today&#8217;s decently paying jobs.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The other milestones are passing a 3rd grade-level test, and passing a Turing test &#8211; and the experts estimate the probability that an AI passing a Turing test would result in an outcome that&#8217;s bad for humanity&#8230;with four estimating that probability was greater than 60%! (Regardless of whether the developer was private, military, or even open source&#8230;) Yet interestingly,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>21 AI experts have predicted the date for four artificial intelligence milestones. Seven predict AIs will achieve Nobel prize-winning performance within 20 years, while five predict that will be accompanied by superhuman intelligence. One also predicted that in 30 years, &#8220;virtually all the intellectual work that is done by trained human beings&#8230;can be done by [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1608,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4821],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-661399","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9NivD-2M3J","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/661399","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1608"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=661399"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/661399\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=661399"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=661399"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=661399"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}