{"id":606519,"date":"2009-11-24T16:04:32","date_gmt":"2009-11-24T21:04:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/mortgagenewsclips.com\/2009\/11\/24\/yields-and-rates-ms-rate-prediction-delong-on-t10-year-bills-yield-zero-mbs-spreads-widen\/"},"modified":"2009-11-24T16:04:32","modified_gmt":"2009-11-24T21:04:32","slug":"yields-and-rates-ms-rate-prediction-delong-on-t10-year-bills-yield-zero-mbs-spreads-widen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/606519","title":{"rendered":"Yields and Rates: MS Rate Prediction, DeLong on T10 Year, Bills Yield Zero, MBS Spreads Widen"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Bill-Coppedge\"<\/a> \"original<\/a> <\/p>\n

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\"credit-writedowns\"<\/a> <\/p>\n

Morgan Stanley expects 10-year yields to rise 220 bps in 2010 –<\/strong> Posted by Edward Harrison – … Realistically, if rates spike to 5.5%, it would be a blood bath for insurers, and probably for pension funds (and hence municipalities as well). Mortgage rates would skyrocket and this would stop any housing recovery dead in its tracks<\/strong>. That sounds like double dip and depression to me; this is not an early 1990s economic environment.   Ironically, 5.5% rates would sow the seeds of future 3.3% rates or lower. … –
Credit Writedowns<\/a> <\/p>\n

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\"brad-delong-blog\"<\/a> <\/p>\n

What the U.S. Long Bond Market Is Telling Us…<\/strong> – Brad DeLong summarizes Krugman on UST 10 year rates and comes to this conclusion of risks –<\/strong> … Bear in mind that this whole story requires that the demand curve slope the wrong way for a while–that if the prices for Treasury bonds fall carry traders lose their shirts and exit the market, and so a small fall in Treasury bond prices turns into a crash until someone else steps in to hold the stock… – J. Bradford DeLong Blog<\/a>  <\/p>\n

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\"bloomberg\"<\/a> <\/p>\n

Bills Yielding Zero as Stocks Soar Make Bernanke\u2019s 1938 Moment –<\/strong> by Liz Capo McCormick and Daniel Kruger – … more on zero rates and appreciating stocks – lots of quotes<\/strong> – Bloomberg<\/a> <\/p>\n

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\"hw1\"<\/a> <\/p>\n

MBS Spreads to Widen, Rates to Rise in 2010: Smith Breeden<\/strong> – By DIANA GOLOBAY – Although demand should keep asset-backed securities (ABS) spreads tight into Q110, wider spreads in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) will follow the Federal Reserve\u2019s exit of a major MBS purchase program in 2010,<\/strong> according to bi-monthly commentary by global asset management firm Smith Breeden Associates. … – HousingWire<\/a><\/p>\n

\n<\/img><\/a> <\/img><\/a> <\/img><\/a> <\/img><\/a>\n<\/div>\n

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  Morgan Stanley expects 10-year yields to rise 220 bps in 2010 – Posted by Edward Harrison – … Realistically, if rates spike to 5.5%, it would be a blood bath for insurers, and probably for pension funds (and hence municipalities as well). Mortgage rates would skyrocket and this would stop any housing recovery dead […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":288,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4821],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-606519","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9NivD-2xMz","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/606519","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/288"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=606519"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/606519\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=606519"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=606519"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=606519"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}