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The announcement of a new prime minister has led to widespread celebrations, but reforming the country without alienating the army will not be easy.<\/p>\nThe announcement of a new prime minister has led to widespread celebrations, but reforming the country without alienating the army will not be easy.<\/p>\n
By NIZAR MANEK | ForeignPolicy.com<\/a>ADDIS ABABA, Ethiopia \u2014 In 1990, the Ethiopian People\u2019s Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) was a guerrilla alliance battling the Derg, a Marxist-Leninist military junta that had deposed Emperor Haile Selassie in a 1974 coup. A year later, the EPRDF took power; it has ruled Ethiopia ever since.<\/p>\n When the Derg fell, Abiy Ahmed, who was recently elected as the EPRDF\u2019s chairman and sworn in as prime minister on Monday, was just 14 years old. But even then, Abiy, who was born to a Muslim father and a Christian mother in the Oromo town of Beshasha in southwestern Ethiopia, was becoming politically active.<\/p>\n \u201cIn one way, the world is eagerly awaiting our country\u2019s transition, and in another way, they are waiting in fear,\u201d Abiy said in his maiden speech as prime minister. \u201cWe have a country in which our fathers have sacrificed their bones and spilled their blood,\u201d and yet the nation has kept its unity. \u201cThis is the season in which we learn from our mistakes and compensate our country,\u201d he continued. \u201cI ask forgiveness from those activists and politicians who paid the sacrifice and youths who wanted change but lost their lives.\u201d He even spoke of applying Ethiopia\u2019s constitution in a way that understands \u201cfreedom,\u201d especially freedom of expression and the rights to assembly and association \u2014 suggesting that he may lift the state of emergency that has led to the detention of more than 1,100 people.<\/p>\n In the capital of Addis Ababa, people in cafes clapped and cheered in front of television screens. At a town on Ethiopia\u2019s porous southern border with Kenya, where Ethiopia\u2019s military last month announced it had mistakenly killed Oromo civilians, locals celebrated by slaughtering camels, cows, and goats. People in Jimma, the largest city in southwestern Ethiopia, were singing; a student at Jimma University told me, \u201cWe have got one of our own!\u201d<\/p>\n More than a third of Ethiopians belong to the Oromo community and about a fifth to the Amhara, while Tigrayans represent 6 percent, according to the latest census. Together, the Oromo and Amhara make up more than half of Ethiopia\u2019s population of 105 million. These demographic realities and the distribution of power among these groups are the defining feature of Ethiopian politics.<\/p>\n Abiy joined the Oromo People\u2019s Democratic Organization (OPDO) and the EPRDF in 1991, according to his official biography. He decided to join the OPDO after his brother, Kedir, was killed, according to Abiy\u2019s childhood friend Seyfu Imam Abamilki. The same year, the OPDO was part of the advancing EPRDF army seeking to smash Derg forces and take Addis Ababa. At that time, the OPDO was a small organization that the Tigrayan People\u2019s Liberation Front (TPLF) established in late 1990; it became part of the EPRDF in January 1991.<\/p>\n As a young man finding his feet, Abiy was one of at most 200 OPDO fighters placed under the overall military command of the EPRDF forces, which in 1991 numbered about 100,000 \u2014 90 percent of them Tigrayans. Abiy, despite his Oromo origins, was quick to adapt, starting as an assistant to the military and learning the Tigrinya language. As a Tigrinya speaker, he could get ahead, given the preponderance of Tigrayan soldiers and officers. And it has continued to serve him well; Tigrayans remain preeminent in Ethiopia\u2019s ruling coalition and control the military, intelligence, and security organs of the state.<\/p>\n In 1993, when Abiy was in his late teens, he became a regular soldier. He enrolled in what would become the new federal army \u2014 the Ethiopian National Defense Forces \u2014 as part of an OPDO division and eventually rose to the rank of lieutenant colonel. In 1995, Abiy had to formally leave the OPDO; the EPRDF\u2019s new constitution would be \u201cfree of partisanship\u201d and forbade membership in any political organization. The same year, he was deployed as a member of the United Nations peacekeeping force in Kigali in the wake of the Rwandan genocide.<\/p>\n After nearly two decades of military service, Abiy left the army in his early thirties, became a civilian, and re-entered the OPDO; his final military post was as deputy director of the Information Network Security Agency, which provides technical intelligence to support the government on matters of national interest. A few years earlier, he was posted back to his hometown of Beshasha, where he successfully defused communal tensions following an incident between Muslims and Christians, his old friend Seyfu and a government official in the town, Mohammed Abajojam, told me.<\/p>\n In quick succession, Abiy became a member of the EPRDF-controlled parliament, the OPDO central committee, and then the politburos of both the OPDO and EPRDF. He began a rapid ascent through the corridors of power, serving as director of the national science and technology information center and, briefly, as minister of science and technology under former Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn, who resigned in February, triggering a leadership crisis.<\/p>\n At 42, Abiy is Africa\u2019s youngest leader \u2014 and he is pursuing a different path than many others in the region. \u201cNow more than any other countries of the world, for us, ensuring democracy is about our existence,\u201d Abiy told parliament. \u201cWe have to keep in mind that Ethiopia is ours and build a participatory democracy that allows everyone\u2019s voice to be heard and everyone to benefit.\u201d<\/p>\n His last job offers a hint of his policy preferences. As Oromia\u2019s deputy president, Abiy headed the region\u2019s Housing and Urban Development Bureau, where he and other top officials embarked on an ambitious policy of economic revolution, seeking to address the burning issue of mass unemployment and deep-rooted grievances among legions of disaffected youth in Oromia, which has been a hotbed of anti-government protests for nearly three years. \u201cIn Oromia, unemployment is more than 80 percent, around 6 million youths are unemployed,\u201d and almost half of Oromia\u2019s population is under 15, Abiy told me in June while working on a program to overhaul employment, supply chains, and revenue sharing in cement mining in Oromia. \u201cNobody can stop them by gun,\u201d he said. \u201cThey\u2019re not an enemy but a power that can help the government in the development process.\u201d<\/p>\n For now, Abiy\u2019s elevation to prime minister has quieted Ethiopia\u2019s most confrontational voices. This could quell violent protests in Oromia, which intensified late last year amid severe clashes between security forces from Ethiopia\u2019s Somali region and Oromo in eastern Ethiopia, triggering serious intraparty conflict within the EPRDF. In his speech, Abiy pledged to crack down on corruption, which, according to Jamil Abdisalam, the mayor of an Oromo town in the east, has been the primary cause of the violence that recently prompted approximately 1 million people to flee their homes. He attributed the disturbances to senior federal and military officials and their business associates who monopolize trade in black market dollars and contraband on the boundary.<\/p>\n All eyes are on Abiy\u2019s next moves and whether he will manage to reorient the political system to give the Oromo the representation they demand and turn a one-party system into something more democratic. In Ethiopia\u2019s complex and delicate ethnic federation, Abiy will be watched closely by proxies from myriad other ethnic groups and forces for any failings, and they may react negatively should they get the impression that Abiy is unilaterally working for the advantage of the Oromo. After all, the OPDO now controls the office of the prime minister, the post of speaker of parliament, and the presidency \u2014 nominally, the three most important positions in the state. Oromos can surely now become the most influential ethnic group. […] CONTINUE READING<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" The announcement of a new prime minister has led to widespread celebrations, but reforming the country without alienating the army will not be easy. By NIZAR MANEK | ForeignPolicy.comADDIS ABABA, Ethiopia \u2014 In 1990, the Ethiopian People\u2019s Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) was a guerrilla alliance battling the Derg, a Marxist-Leninist military junta that had deposed […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[4588,151],"class_list":["post-219152","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ethiopian-news","tag-ethiopia","tag-abiy-ahmed"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9NivD-V0I","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/219152","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=219152"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/219152\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":219159,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/219152\/revisions\/219159"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=219152"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=219152"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mereja.com\/index\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=219152"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}