Ethiopian News, Current Affairs and Opinion Forum
Abe Abraham
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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 02 Aug 2021, 20:46


ይህች የማታፍር የግብጽ ቡችላና ቀልደኛዋ መርየም ኣል-ሳድቕ ኣል-ማህዲ ዒድን ልታሳልፍ ወደ ግብጽ በመሄድዋ ብዙ ሱዳናውያን ኣስቖጣች ። በባህልና በልምድ ማንኛውም ሱዳናዊ ጊዜና ገንዘብ ካገኘ ካለበት ቦታ ተጉዞ የቤተ-ሰብና የደስታውን ጊዜ ከሚቀርቡትና ከሚወዳቸው ሰዎች ጋር ሆኖ ለማሳለፍ ነው የሚመርጠው ።



سد النهضة.. إثيوبيا «تسرق الفرح» - محمد سعد
https://www.shorouknews.com

The Renaissance Dam .. Ethiopia “steals the joy”


መሓመድ ሳዓድ ዓብድ ኣል-ሓፊዝ( محمد سعد عبدالحفيظ)


Posted in: Sunday August 1, 2021 - 8:30 PM |

Almost two weeks ago, the Ethiopian government announced achieving a new goal after its success in completing the second filling of the Renaissance Dam, unilaterally and without any consideration for the Egyptian-Sudanese warnings against taking any unilateral measures regarding filling and operating the dam.

The Ethiopian Minister of Irrigation and Water, Seleshi Bekele, said in a tweet on Twitter that his government plans to start producing electricity from the dam within months, after the success of the second filling process. The completion of the second storage was done in a way that did not harm the two countries. “The dam is beneficial for all and a gain for growth and cooperation between the three countries.”

In the statements of the Ethiopian officials at the time, there was no mention of the amount that was stored during the second filling process, which opened the door to questioning those who are being exported in the Egyptian media platforms as water experts, who competed in asserting that Addis Ababa failed to complete the second filling. Most of them agreed that what was stored did not exceed 3 billion cubic meters of water, bringing the total of what Ethiopia actually stored in two years to 7.9 billion cubic meters.

They attributed Ethiopia's failure to achieve its goal of storing 13.5 billion cubic meters during the second filling, due to the incomplete engineering construction of the dam and the power of the flood. .

Some Egyptian media circles celebrated the alleged Ethiopian failure, and some exaggerated, referring to this “failure” to the mighty Egyptian-Sudanese diplomatic efforts that forced the Al-Ahbash to not implement their declared plan, until the Ethiopian Foreign Ministry spokesman, Dina Mufti, came out to spoil their joy, and announced in a press conference in the evening Last Thursday, the second filling of the dam was carried out with the required quantity of more than 13 billion cubic meters, considering that “what was reported in Egypt and Sudan that the second filling was limited to four billion cubic meters is an attempt not to recognize Ethiopia’s success.”

What supports the words of the Mufti, what was issued two days ago by the Sudanese Flood Committee, which announced a decrease in the revenue of the Blue Nile by about 2.8 billion cubic meters, compared to last year, which called on the Sudanese Foreign Minister, Maryam Al-Mahdi to demand Ethiopia to “return to its senses and deal with Khartoum’s position regarding The Renaissance Dam bears some responsibility.”

Regardless of the quantity that was stored behind the Ethiopian dam, is it 3 billion cubic meters or 13 billion? Without entering into the labyrinth of “Who is more correct: the assessments of our experts or the assertions of a Mufti?”, what can be settled is that Addis Ababa was able to achieve its goal, and established a precedent in its dealings with the downstream countries, after it carried out the first and second fillings on their announced date and with a unilateral will, and without agreement. Binding determines the rules of filling and operation with Cairo and Khartoum, which means that the third filling will take place next year in the same way, then, and based on what happened, we will be satisfied with declaring our legitimate concern, and we demand that everyone who comes and bears intervenes to convince the Ethiopians to stop taking unilateral measures and return to the negotiating table .

Even if the Ethiopians return to the negotiating table again, under the umbrella of the African Union, they will not commit to anything. Experience has proven to them that the other parties to the crisis (Cairo and Khartoum) will not take any serious action to prevent them from completing their plan, and precedents reveal what happened in Washington last year.

When Addis Ababa announced its withdrawal from the meetings sponsored by the United States, and almost ended with an agreement on 90% of the contentious points, it was enough for the two downstream countries to take a rough action, but they preferred safety, which emboldened the Ethiopians to thwart the round of negotiations, which the African Union called for in Last August, when we chose to go to the Security Council to present the case, Addis Ababa carried out the second filling of the dam.

For 10 years, Ethiopia lured us into the trap of absurd negotiations, manipulated us, whether at the table of the African Union or in the Security Council, and refused to sign any binding legal agreements guaranteed by international parties, aimed at controlling the Nile River and then selling water to Egypt, as revealed by Dina Mufti. In a televised statement months ago.

Unfortunately, the Addis Ababa government implemented its will and plan, even though it is in its weakest state.

Abe Abraham
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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 05 Aug 2021, 12:35


" Egypt would never withdraw from an agreement that it has signed on its own free will. " - Sameh Shoukri reply to a quetion whether Egypt would consider withdrawing from the 2015 agreement if it doesn't serve its interest.



For those who are wondering why Egypt would hold tanaciously to the 2015 agreement of principles signed between itself Sudan and Ethiopia despite pressure from " the Egyptian public " ( in Egypt there is no such thing as public pressure!! ) to withdraw from the agreement Aljazeera gives a short answer : Without the agreement Egypt wouldn't have any other means to secure its water rights. The 1959 agreement between Egypt and Sudan is useless. Legally, it is rubbish.So,the law is on the Ethiopian side - it depends on the wise leadership of Ethiopia for the country to make full use of its God-given right.



Abe Abraham
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Posts: 14412
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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 05 Aug 2021, 16:02






በቪድየዋ የሚናገረው ሰው ዶክተር መሓመድ ሓፍዝ ይባላል ። የውሃና የግድብ ጉዳይ ኣዋቂ ሆኖ በቀን በማሊዝያ ያስተምራል ። በትርፍ ጊዜው ደሞ ትንሽ ኣሸባሪ/ቴሮሪስት/ኢርሃቢ ነው ። ሰውየው ሲናገር እንዲህ ይላል ፥ " ከሁለተኛ ሙሌት ቡሃላ በኮንክሪት የተሰራውን ዋነኛው ግድብ ለማፍረስ ኣይቻልም ሆኖ ግን ከሱ ባሰራሩ ያልጠነከረ ሰድ ኣል-ሰርግ/ኮርቻ ግድብ - ሁለተኛው የበዛውን ውሃ የሚያጠራቅም ግድብ - ለማፍረስ ግን ይቻላል ። ዋነኛው ግድብ 14 ቢልዮን ሚትር ክዩቢክ ስለ ሚይዝ በሚመጣው ኣመት (2022) ሰድ ኣል-ሰርግ ይሞላል ። ያን ጊዜ ግድቡን ኣፍርሰህ ውሃውን ወደ ሱዳን በኩል እንዲሄድ ለማድረግ ትችላለህ ። "




ሱዳናዊው ኣሕመድ ኣል-ሙፍቲ - ሁል ጊዜ ተናድዶ የሚቀርብ ሰው - ፡ " ሁኔታችሁን ይገባናል የሚባል ኣነጋገር እኔ ትግሩም ያለው ኣይመስለኝም ። የሱዳን ውጭ ጉዳይ ሚኒስተርዋ የተለያዩ ኣገሮች ስትጎበኝ የምትሰማው ነገር ነበር በመጨረሻ ግን እንደ ኔጀር የመሳሰሉት ኣገሮች ሌላ ኣቋም ወሰዱ ( ኢትዮጵያን የሚደገፍ ማለቱ ነው ) ። ስለዚ እኛ የዓሳና የጀዝራ ( ካሮትስ ኤንድ ስቲክስ ) ኣያያዝ መከተል ኣለብን ። ዓሳ/በትር ፥ ግድቡን የተሰራበት የበኒ ሻንጉል ጉዳይ ማንሳት ። ካሮት : የግብጽና የሱዳን የውሃ ድርሻ ሳይቀንስ እንዴት ኣድርገን ለኢትዮጵያ ድርሻዋን ለመስጠት መንገድ መፈለግ ።


ዶክተር መሓመድ ሓፍዝ ፥ ከሁለተኛው ሙሌት ቡሃላ የውሃ መከፋፈል ጉዳይና የያንዳንዳችን የውሃ ድርሻ ጉዳይ ሊነሳ ነው የሚል እምነት ኣለኝ ግን እኔ እዛ ከመድረሳችን በፊት በተናጋሪው እንዳለው መሰረት - ዓሳና ጀዝራ/በትርና ካሮት - ኣንድ መፍትሄ ኣለኝ ። ማለት ግብጽ ከኢትዮጵያ 2400 ኪሎ ዋት ሃይል በኣመት ትገዛና ሁሉን ለሱዳን በየተገዛበት ዋጋ ትሸጠላች ... እንዲህ ብሎ የህዳሴ ግድብ ተርባይኖች ሃይሉን ለማመንጨት ሲሰሩ 50 ቢልዮን ሚተር ክዩቢክ የሚገመት ውሃ ወደ ሱዳንና ግብጽ በኩል ሊያፈሱ ስለሚችሉ ባንድ ኣፍታ የኢትዮጵያ ችግር ( ሃይል ) ባንድ ወገን በሁለተኛ ወገን ደሞ የግብጽና የሱዳን ችግር ( ውሃ ) ሊፈታ ይችላል ባይ ነኝ ።

Last edited by Abe Abraham on 06 Aug 2021, 11:34, edited 1 time in total.

Abe Abraham
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Posts: 14412
Joined: 05 Jun 2013, 13:00

Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 05 Aug 2021, 17:08

Ethiopian activist: Sisi is the first Egyptian president to recognize our right to the Renaissance Dam

ጀግና ያሲን ኣሕመድ ባዕቓይ


The head of the Ethiopian Institute of People's Diplomacy in Sweden, Yassin Ahmed Baqai, expected that Egypt and Sudan would engage in new negotiations on the issue of the Renaissance Dam, especially after the UN Security Council's decision to reject the internationalization of the issue and return it to the African Union.

He stressed in an interview with "Arabi 21" that Ethiopia categorically rejects what the two downstream countries call their historical rights to the Nile waters, which were decided by Western colonialism, according to him, and that it is with the just binding agreement and rational use of the Nile water.

He pointed out that the head of the coup authority, Abdel Fattah El-Sisi, is the first Egyptian president to recognize Ethiopia's rights to build the dam, by signing the Declaration of Principles Agreement in Khartoum in 2015, which constitutes a solid base in the face of any allegations related to Ethiopia's uniqueness and the imposition of a fait accompli.

Following is the text of the conversation:

What are your expectations regarding the next step in the Renaissance Dam file? New negotiations? Or the continuation of the exchange of accusations?

We count on the Algerian mediation initiative, and on the wise Algerian diplomacy in resuming negotiations, for two things. The first is that Ethiopia enjoys good and distinguished relations with Algeria, trusts it as a neutral party, and enjoys a common African-Arab depth. Ethiopia has experience with Algerian mediation in reaching a peace agreement between it and Eritrea in 2000, after a conflict that lasted for 20 years. with Egypt and Sudan.

The Egyptians and Sudanese accuse Ethiopia of imposing a fait accompli... What is your comment?

The issue of building the dam is old and not new, and Ethiopia has been planning for it since the 1960s, after its request to be a third party to the Egypt and Sudan Agreement to share the Nile waters in 1959 was rejected, and the American Reform Office prepared a study to build a giant Ethiopian dam, and the study included about 36 places to build The dam, among which was this place in Benishangul.

But for internal and external reasons, the construction decision was delayed, and Egypt and Sudan had a "veto" preventing Ethiopia from building any hydroelectric dam, and the matter was presented to the late President Hosni Mubarak, to participate in financing, management and operation, but he refused completely.

In 2011, Ethiopia laid the foundation stone, and in March 2015 the three countries signed the Agreement of Principles, which refutes the Egyptian-Sudanese narrative that the construction, filling and operation of the dam is a fait accompli, but the file has been politicized, and agreement has been reached on 95 percent of the dispute issues, and this confirms Its keenness to build the dam by consensus among all.

What is the significance of the joint declaration of principles agreement signed in Sudan in 2015?

is extremely important; Because it is the first agreement between the three countries that recognizes and regulates the process of building the Renaissance Dam by consensus, and it is very important because it included for the first time the recognition of an Egyptian president's right to development and construction of the dam, and it is considered the best agreed upon by the three countries and remains an agreement of principles until it leads to an agreement that satisfies the parties. The three, and I do not want to use the Egyptian-Sudanese term (binding agreement), but I say (just binding agreement) based on the equitable use of the Nile waters in accordance with international law.

Did the agreement contribute to accelerating the pace of building the dam and the flow of foreign investments to finance it?

The construction of the dam will not stop because the Declaration of Principles gives the right to Ethiopia to build the Renaissance Dam, and the agreement is also based on the Convention on the Non-navigational Uses of International Watercourses, which entered into force in 2014.

Unfortunately, Egypt fought hard for Ethiopia to obtain any international funding to build the dam, and was unable to obtain external funding due to its diplomatic moves with the world's countries and international financial institutions, but Ethiopia made a strategic decision to build the dam with its own efforts.

Ethiopia has also succeeded in achieving economic development during the past few years and was the fastest growing in Africa. There is competition between international, regional, Gulf and Arab powers now to invest in the country. The dam may have a role, but Ethiopia had its own vision.

Why does Ethiopia reject the demands of Egypt and Sudan that a binding agreement be reached regarding the quantities of water and the years of filling and storage?

Ethiopia rejects the binding agreement from the point of view of Egypt and Sudan; Which means imposing historical rights and quotas for them, and they claim that they are legitimate rights, but Ethiopia believes that these rights came to serve the colonizer at the time, and they are unfair and unjust agreements.

In any case, Ethiopia will not accept that this matter is imposed in the new agreement; Because the Renaissance Dam agreement does not talk about the division of the Nile waters, but rather about operation and cooperation in the period of drought. As for Egypt, Egypt wants to take advantage of Ethiopia’s need to build the dam to establish the imposition of so-called historical rights and prevent it from building future investment projects and deprive it of its real share in the Blue Nile.

What is the just agreement that Ethiopia sees from its point of view?

Ethiopia is satisfied with a just binding agreement on the basis of a new deal. As for the division of the Nile waters, we agree to it within the framework of the Entebbe Agreement in Uganda (rejected by Egypt and Sudan in 2010) and signed by 9 countries (Nile Basin countries).

We also refuse to reduce the storage volume of 74 billion cubic meters, which was known from the beginning, which is less than half the volume of the Egyptian High Dam reservoir. Why does Egypt alone have the right to own a reservoir twice the volume of Ethiopia’s reservoir, and we need it to generate electricity for about 65% of the population living in darkness? Dams.

Does Ethiopia really claim to own the Nile River because the majority of it originates from its land? Or is it an international river?

In my estimation, Ethiopia does not claim that it owns the Nile, but rather has a firm conviction that ownership of the Nile belongs to all of the Nile Basin countries from its source to its mouth, but geography confirms the fact that Ethiopia is the source of the Blue Nile and it is cross-border, and based on international law that regulates the course of international waters. Non-navigational, the sixth, seventh and eighth clauses recognize the equitable use of the Nile waters on the basis of no harm, no harm, cooperation, integration and rational use of the Nile waters.

It should also be noted that Egypt's historical share is not enough with the growing population; Therefore, it is necessary to cooperate between the three countries to increase their shares in the future, and this dam is not for agricultural use due to the abundance of rainfall in Ethiopia. Hydroelectric dams do not consume water, but use it to generate electricity and will continue its way to the downstream countries.

How do you see the Arab media's handling of Egypt and Sudan's narrative of the Renaissance Dam crisis?

Part of the Arab media is trying to be objective, impartial and professional in dealing with the Egyptian-Sudanese narrative versus the Ethiopian one, and it tries to reflect the other opinion and opinion, and there is a part that is biased towards the Egyptian and Sudanese narrative.

After attempting to internationalize the issue, the Arab media adopted the viewpoint of Egypt and Sudan that the dam threatens international peace and stability, while Ethiopia asserts that it is not. The Ethiopian on the Egyptian-Sudanese narrative, and stressed that the Renaissance Dam is a renaissance development project and contributes to the development of the Ethiopian and African renaissance.

Ethiopia justifies its acceleration in building the dam and storing it to generate electricity.. Isn't providing water for the Egyptians to live more important than generating electricity for the Ethiopians?

We understand the Egyptian-Sudanese concerns, but are they real or exaggerated? The truth is that many Egyptian and international experts have confirmed that it will not lead to thirst for Egyptians or affect agriculture in Egypt, because it is for electricity generation and not for agriculture, and Ethiopia believes that it will be a source of regional and economic cooperation, contribute to Egypt's return to its African depth, and improve its relations with African countries.

The Renaissance Dam is for the purpose of generating electricity, and it is like water for the Egyptians. There is no development or life without electricity. Is it possible for a country to rise without electricity, whether economically, healthily or educationally, and therefore electricity generation will not be at the expense of the Egyptians’ thirst, and the Renaissance Dam contributes to The lack of water evaporation, as about 20 billion cubic meters evaporate in Egypt and Sudan in the summer, and therefore the dam will maintain these quantities in the summer, and pass them in the winter as if they were in the summer; Thus, the two downstream countries will not be affected by the dam.

It is obvious that after filling the dam, the water must be drained towards the two downstream countries, but we hope that the combination will achieve development in Ethiopia, and that Egypt will obtain sufficient quantities of water, and perhaps more. Because cooperation will lead to integration between the three countries, and we must move from the national water thinking of each country separately to the water security of the whole region.


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Abe Abraham
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Posts: 14412
Joined: 05 Jun 2013, 13:00

Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 09 Aug 2021, 00:27

Ethiopia refuses to open humanitarian corridors from Sudan to Tigray | | Arab newspaper


Addis Ababa - The Ethiopian authorities announced on Wednesday their rejection of international demands to open corridors of humanitarian aid from Sudan to the western region of Tigray (northern), in a move that is expected to worsen the already deteriorating humanitarian situation.

The Commissioner of the Ethiopian National Authority for Disaster and Risk Management, Metko Kasa, said that the pressure exerted by members of the international community (whom he did not name) to open a humanitarian corridor from Sudan to the western region of Tigray is "unacceptable".

On the other hand, Kasa indicated that the Tigray People's Liberation Front is making efforts to stop the entry of humanitarian aid, "by preventing the entry of more than 170 aid trucks to the region," without providing further details.

The Ethiopian official called on the international community to put pressure on the "Tigray People's Liberation Front" to allow the passage of humanitarian aid to the region.

The United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF) warns that more than 100,000 children in Tigray could face life-threatening malnutrition in the next 12 months.

On November 4, 2020, clashes erupted in the region between the Ethiopian army and the Tigray People's Liberation Front, after government forces entered the region, in response to an attack on an army base.

On the 28th of the same month, Ethiopia announced the end of a "law enforcement" operation by taking control of the entire region, despite reports of continued human rights violations in the region since then, where thousands of civilians were killed. "We need 100 trucks a day to go to Tigray to meet humanitarian needs," said Martin Griffiths, the UN humanitarian coordinator.

The United Nations says 400,000 people are living in famine conditions in Tigray, and 90 percent of the population needs emergency food aid.

The United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF) warned last week that more than 100,000 children in Tigray could face life-threatening malnutrition over the next 12 months. The authorities in Addis Ababa accuse humanitarian aid workers of arming the rebels in Tigray.

Observers see Addis Ababa's rejection of humanitarian corridors from Sudan, fearing that these corridors will be used to transfer the armament of the rebels in Tigray, especially in light of the threat of a number of Sudanese politicians to exploit the tensions in Tigray to pressure Addis Ababa over the Renaissance Dam file.

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Abe Abraham
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Joined: 05 Jun 2013, 13:00

Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 04 Jan 2022, 01:50

  • Dr Hani Raslan was a great scholar and personality . Above all a formidable opponent and debater. All Ethiopians who faced him on Al-Jazeera and other Arabic language satellite tv channels on the subject of the GERD attest to those qualities of his. R.I.P


    The death of Dr. Hani Raslan, as a result of being infected with the Corona virus

    December 4, 2021




    Dr. Amani Al-Taweel, advisor to Al-Ahram Center for Political and Strategic Studies, and expert in African affairs announced the death of Dr. Hani Raslan, advisor to Al-Ahram Center for Political and Strategic Studies and expert on Sudan and Africa, today, Saturday, as a result of being infected with the Corona virus.

    “Al-Taweel” wrote through her account on “Facebook”: “Al-Ahram Center for Political and Strategic Studies lost my colleague, Professor Hani Raslan, affected by the repercussions of the cursed Corona.”

    She added: "We console ourselves, and his family, lovers and friends, and we remember the deceased's great work and effort to serve the causes of his homeland, and the issues of the Nile Valley, especially the studies of Sudanese affairs. We pray for his mercy and forgiveness and that God Almighty grant him the vastness of his gardens. We belong to Allah and to Him we shall return".

The doctor who was treating him : he had kidney and other health problems but it was Covid-19 which led to the deterioration of his situation and death in the end.


Abe Abraham
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Posts: 14412
Joined: 05 Jun 2013, 13:00

Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 23 Jan 2022, 09:42

  • Ethiopian positivity on the Renaissance Dam issue: avoiding pressure at the African summit.

    22/01/2022



    Observers and experts interpreted the statements of the Ethiopian Prime Minister Abi Ahmed, the day before yesterday, Thursday, regarding the Renaissance Dam that his country is building, and his demand for Egypt and Sudan to change their discourse on the dam “in order to achieve development, in a way that elevates the peace-building discourse,” as an attempt by him to pre-empt the convening of the 35th session. The African Summit will be held on February 5 and 6 in Addis Ababa.

    They warned against the return of the Ethiopian diplomacy on the dam issue to its former glory after the summit, which Abi Ahmed does not want to come out with a position opposing Addis Ababa on the dam issue, which Cairo and Khartoum must pay attention to.

    The Ethiopian Foreign Ministry spokesman, Ambassador Dina Mufti, said during a press conference held on Thursday that "his country's diplomacy succeeded in holding the African summit in attendance in Addis Ababa." He added that "the holding of the African summit at its headquarters in Addis Ababa is a blow to attempts to politically distort Ethiopia."

    Abi Ahmed... Political flirting about Egypt and Sudan

    Commenting on the words of the Ethiopian Prime Minister, a former Egyptian diplomat and specialist in African affairs, who asked not to be named, told Al-Araby Al-Jadeed that “what Abi Ahmed said about the Renaissance Dam constitutes a kind of political flirtation towards the downstream countries, Egypt and Sudan, and is linked to convening the next African Summit.

    The source pointed out that Addis Ababa "wants to come out in a way that improves its reputation after the issue of the war with the Tigray Front, for which it received widespread international criticism."

    The diplomat added that the Ethiopian Prime Minister's statements, which appear "sane and positive towards Egypt and Sudan, are aimed at avoiding any potential pressure on his country from the African countries participating in the African summit meetings, especially since he has always stressed previously that the dam crisis must be resolved within the framework of the Union."

    The source expected that "the Ethiopian policy will return to its previous state after the end of the African Union summit, and therefore officials in Egypt must be careful when dealing with the Ethiopian position at this moment, not to go along with it in a way that may involve Egypt in a new cycle of negotiations that are useless." .

    The diplomat pointed out that “Ethiopia’s insistence to address the crisis under the umbrella of the African Union, without other international organizations and bodies such as the United Nations, or international mediators, makes Ethiopian officials think well in order to hedge against any pressure that may be exerted by member states of the Union, who have relations with Good with Egypt, especially the Arab group.”

    The source dealt with Algeria in particular, which showed an agreement in its position with Egypt regarding the Ethiopian dam crisis, and which, on the other hand, bet on the Egyptian support for it to produce a successful Arab summit in the summer, through which it achieved political gains in its conflict with Morocco over the problem of the Sahara and the latter’s rapprochement with The occupying state of Israel.”

    The source explained that "among what Ethiopia also fears from the upcoming African summit meeting, is that other international parties will interfere in the file and influence African countries in a way that pressures Ethiopia and forces it to make concessions."

    The source ruled out, at the same time, "that it will reach this point, because international positions on this crisis have become clear and known to all."

    International positions: based on interests

    To clarify this, the source considered that “the American position on the Renaissance Dam, although it appears to be supportive of Egypt and Sudan, the practical reality is devoted to the complete surrender of the two downstream countries to the strategy of Ethiopia, which considers the Blue Nile its sole ownership.”

    The source said that the same applies to China’s policy in this field, “in addition to the Chinese investments, which are estimated at billions in Ethiopia in general and in the Renaissance Dam in particular, knowing that both Washington and Beijing have a strong influence on the African continent, and they have been competing in this arena for some time.” long".

    The diplomat pointed out that “with the announcement of the resignation of the American envoy to the Horn of Africa, Jeffrey Feltman, in early January, from his duties (David Satterfield appointed his place), China announced that it was considering appointing a Chinese envoy to the region, during the tour of Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi. in the Horn of Africa.”

    The source added, "Even if we assume that both China and America support Egypt within the African Union, their strategy will not ultimately lead to resolving the issue in favor of Egypt and Sudan (the two downstream countries), because America and China are both countries of sources, and each of them is afraid to interfere in a water crisis for the benefit of other countries." downstream, and the matter provokes demands from their neighbors from the downstream countries.”

    The source pointed out that "Russia also has a strong influence on the African continent, but its position on the issue of the Renaissance Dam is not reliable to resolve the issue in favor of Egypt and Sudan."

    In this regard, the diplomat said: “The Russian always says that he follows a policy of neutrality, but in fact he builds his positions on achieving interests, and his interests in Africa are great, while his position on Egypt is vacillating and he is waiting for Egypt to achieve interests in other files such as Libya and Syria.”

    The source stressed that "what makes it difficult to reach any solution regarding the Ethiopian Renaissance Dam crisis under the umbrella of the African Union at the present time is the suspension of Sudan's membership in the organization, which means that this country will not participate in the summit, or any other activities of the union."
    Egyptian diplomacy is not moving

    In his speech on Thursday, Abi Ahmed also touched on technical issues related to the dam issue, saying that his country “aims in building the dam to regulate the quantities of water available to it, so that the generation of electricity from the infrastructure is uniform throughout the year.”

    The Ethiopian Prime Minister added, “This has only one meaning, which is that the dam does not consume water as a hydroelectric dam. Instead, the water continues to flow downstream without interruption.”

    Abi Ahmed said, “The benefits to downstream countries are often largely intangible,” adding that “in Sudan, for example, the Renaissance Dam provides adequate protection against devastating floods and the effects of water shortages during droughts, and it will also help infrastructure Sudanese water to operate optimally as it receives an orderly flow.”

    Abiy stressed that Egypt “can also benefit from conserving water at the Renaissance Dam instead of wasting billions of cubic meters of water for evaporation and in flood plains, and it will also help protect the Aswan High Dam.”

    In response to the statements of the Ethiopian Prime Minister, the Egyptian Minister of Water Resources and Irrigation, Mohamed Abdel-Aty, said that “the delay in the file of the Renaissance Dam is not in the interest of anyone, specifically Ethiopia,” noting that “communication and negotiation in good faith to reach solutions that are in the interest of all, is shorter. way to solve problems.

    Abdel-Aty added, in media statements he made the day before yesterday, that Egypt "provided solutions to Ethiopia that guarantee it to generate electricity by 85 percent under the darkest conditions, including drought, and it discussed negotiation to solve the flood problem that Sudan suffers from."

    Abdel-Aty added, “Egypt is very sensitive to the issue of drought, because we depend for 97 percent of the water resources on the Nile River. Egypt is a desert, and the largest dry country in the world. This is not a measure that exposes the lives of more than 100 million Egyptians to drought problems,” according to Abdel-Aty. his expression.

    In his interview with Al-Araby Al-Jadeed, the Egyptian diplomat criticized what he described as "the Egyptian policy's ignoring the issue of the Renaissance Dam." He said that "while the Ethiopian Prime Minister came out talking about the dam and supporting his country's position on the issue, prior to the holding of the African summit, the Egyptian diplomacy refrained from moving in any direction, and the political leadership was satisfied with the statements of the Minister of Irrigation, who is ultimately a technical official." .

    The source explained that "the issue of the Renaissance Dam has long gone beyond technical responsibility, because all the technical details have become known to everyone, and Egypt is fully aware of its requirements in that field, and therefore the issue now must come at the top of the priorities of the political leadership, which today bears the responsibility for the whole matter with the help of diplomacy." “.

    The source added that "the Egyptian Minister of Irrigation's repeated speech in the technical details, and the serious damage caused by the Renaissance Dam, is necessary to strengthen Egypt's international position, but it requires that there be a permanent political movement at the level of political and diplomatic leadership at all levels to pressure Ethiopia to reach a settlement." A fair and binding legal agreement regarding the rules for filling and operating the dam.”

    And he believed in the context that "the clear state of disregard and silence on Egyptian politics leaves room for the Ethiopians to resolve the issue in their favour, especially with the approach of the third filling of the dam lake."

    The New Arab

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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 19 Oct 2022, 18:46

Source : Sudanese website

Egyptian fears of a Sudanese-Ethiopian agreement on the “Renaissance” dam without Cairo.



The Ethiopian “Renaissance” dam, one of the largest water dams in the world, which was built on the Nile River in the upstream country of Ethiopia, constitutes an important source for development in Ethiopia, while it causes concern and raises many concerns for Egypt and Sudan, but Ethiopian-Sudanese bilateral talks may lead to a bilateral agreement between The two parties, without Egypt being invited to it or even being mentioned in it, Egypt looks at it with suspicion.

Egyptian fears

The visit of the President of the Sudanese Sovereign Council, Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan, to Ethiopia and his meeting with the Ethiopian Prime Minister Abi Ahmed, last Saturday, and his announcement of the possibility of reaching an agreement on the technical issues of the “Renaissance Dam,” Egyptian fears that the two sides would agree on the water file without Egypt.

The meeting between Al-Burhan and Abi Ahmed took place during the tenth “Tana” forum on peace and security in Africa, in the Ethiopian city of Bahardar, in a meeting in which Al-Burhan said, on the issue of the “Renaissance Dam”, that “it is possible to reach an agreement on the technical issues of the dam.”

Al-Burhan welcomed a proposal made by Abi Ahmed on the establishment of economic integration between the two countries, declaring that “the outstanding issues between them can be resolved through dialogue,” stressing “Sudan’s keenness to maintain close relations with neighboring Ethiopia.”

As for the Ethiopian Prime Minister, he tried hard to court Khartoum and convince its leaders of the benefit of the Ethiopian dam, and said that the relationship with Sudan is “special,” noting that “the Renaissance Dam project will bring great benefits to Sudan, and will not be an opponent to it.”

In the bilateral meeting, the two sides did not issue any call to Egypt to restore the negotiations, which were halted a year ago, amid Cairo and Khartoum’s insistence on first reaching a tripartite agreement on filling and operating the dam; To ensure the continued flow of their annual share of the Nile water, however, Ethiopia rejects this, and claims that there is no harm to the downstream countries from its project.

Observers indicated that it is in Sudan’s interest to agree with its Ethiopian neighbor, especially amid border problems and military confrontations that erupt from time to time between the two parties, a file in which Al-Burhan and Abi Ahmed stressed, “the need to address all border problems by peaceful means.”

Agreement without Egypt and what is the danger of Sudan?

According to observers, Abi Ahmed may succeed in persuading Al-Burhan to conclude a special agreement between them on the sharing of the Nile water and on the filling, operation and management of the “Renaissance” dam away from Egypt. Sudan has already borrowed $400 million recently from the World Bank to build an electricity transmission line from the dam. Al-Nahda to Khartoum, which means that Sudan has agreed from a legal point of view to the “Al-Nahda” dam in its current form in terms of structure and operation.

Observers point out that the position of the current president of Sudan, he can never open a new front with Ethiopia, and it is better for him to reduce conflicts to the minimum possible, pointing out that it may be that Sudan's settlement of the dam issue will be matched by Ethiopia's settlement of the Fasha file.

As for Egypt’s loss of any Sudanese-Ethiopian consensus, experts believe that until Ethiopia starts building the three dams on top of the “Renaissance” dam, Sudan will not suffer at all from any water effects and its share of the Blue Nile waters will reach it by deducting Egypt’s share.

The states east of the Blue Nile are considered to have Ethiopian tendencies due to the presence of tribes with a historical relationship to Ethiopia, especially the Tigray province; Accordingly, those states will have the upper hand in deducting the water they want to irrigate the newly reclaimed lands for the benefit of the Gulf countries, so that they irrigate 3 seasons annually instead of the current seasonal irrigation system, and as a result, Egypt is the biggest loser because all these water discounts are basically discounts from the Egyptian quota.

Egyptian skepticism of an agreement

Egyptian observers believe that it is not necessary to talk about the existence of different Egyptian-Sudanese views on the Nile water file and coordination around it, stressing that on the contrary, there is consensus between Cairo and Khartoum. Deputy Chairman of the Sudanese Military Council, Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, with the same order, until Sudanese officials’ visits to Addis Ababa became periodic, and for several reasons, including coordination over the border dispute, and confronting the “Tigray” tribe.

Also about the possibilities of a Sudanese-Ethiopian agreement on the sharing of Nile waters and on filling, operating and managing the Renaissance Dam away from Egypt, Sudanese researchers believe that there is no chance of reaching a just bilateral agreement between Ethiopia and Sudan apart from Egypt, noting that this belief comes in light of the negotiation experience. The precedent between the three parties over the past years, in addition to the divergence of views on many legal and technical points related to the dam.

As for the losses of Egypt and Sudan due to the incompatibility between them and their dealing alone with Ethiopia, the researchers emphasized that the mismatch of the positions of the two downstream countries is always in the interest of Ethiopia, indicating that Addis Ababa has its interests in imposing its perceptions regarding the use of water not only in the file of the “Renaissance Dam” ”, but also in its broader future plans in water exploitation projects, and thus signing a separate agreement may be a step in this direction.

For their part, Egyptian experts pointed out that the problem is not in Sudan’s unilateral agreement with Ethiopia or a dispute between Egypt and Sudan, but that “the problem is that Egypt does not object to building the “Renaissance” dam, but rather objects to filling it all at once, thus depriving Egypt from its share of the Nile water in accordance with the agreements concluded between the ten countries associated with the Nile Basin.

Experts pointed out that Ethiopia wants to fill the reservoir all at once with the aim of giving Israel the water it needs, through a canal or through pipes, in a project that was presented to President Anwar El-Sadat during the Camp David agreement talks between Egypt and Israel, and the agreement aims to build a canal to connect The waters of the Nile were given to Israel in the name of “Peace Canal,” but Sadat backed down from it, but Israel is behind Ethiopia to guarantee the waters of the Nile, and Abi Ahmed was awarded the “Nobel Peace Prize” for this.

Egypt seeks to guarantee the rights of all parties

The Egyptian President, Abdel Fattah El-Sisi, said that Egypt “is making its utmost efforts to settle the issue of the Renaissance Dam in a manner that achieves the interests of all parties, and calls on the international community to maximize and combine efforts to achieve this just goal.”

In his speech recorded during the opening of the fifth edition of the “Cairo Water Week” conference, under the title “Water at the heart of climate action,” Sisi added that “Egypt’s firm vision regarding dealing with the Nile River is joint work and cooperation, with the aim of perpetuating and sharing prosperity instead of Rivalry and rivalry that leads to sharing poverty and instability.”

Al-Sisi also continued, “Egypt is destined to be at the center of three intertwined challenges, water and food security and climate change; Egypt is the driest country in the world, and depends almost exclusively on the Nile for its renewable water resources, of which about 80 percent go to the agricultural sector, the source of livelihood for more than 60 million people, who are half of Egypt’s population.

Al-Sisi pointed out that Egypt's water resources are unable to meet the needs of its residents, despite the policy of rationalizing consumption through the frequent reuse of agricultural irrigation water.

comprehensive approach

In his speech, Sisi stressed that Egypt will adopt a comprehensive approach, with the aim of successfully dealing with water and food security challenges and the related climate challenges, as a matter of national security for Egypt. At the national level, the State has adopted the National Water Resources Management Strategy, which aims to provide drinking water, improve its quality, and rationalize and develop water resources by all possible means. Egypt has also adopted a food security policy that balances domestic production and food imports. Thanks to this, Egypt has been able to maintain its water and food security in light of global and regional crises.

He also pointed out that at the regional level, Egypt has always been a pioneer in its dealings with the Nile River in advancing the rules and principles of international law related to shared rivers, foremost of which is cooperation and consultation in order to avoid causing harm within the framework of managing transboundary water resources.

He also explained that Egypt's vision is to work with all parties for the purpose of perpetuating and sharing prosperity, rather than competition and rivalry that leads to sharing poverty and instability. As it realizes the seriousness of this issue, it therefore seeks to settle the issue of the “Renaissance Dam” in a manner that achieves the interests of all parties, and calls on the international community to maximize and combine efforts to achieve this just goal.

Abi Ahmed indicated that the filling was carried out in a smooth manner without any damage to the water share of the downstream countries, adding at the time that 22 billion cubic meters were seized, and one turbine was operated in the dam to generate electric power, without harming the downstream countries or their water shares.

He also added that during the mobilization, the water did not stop for one day, and it was flowing and going to the downstream countries, and indicated that, Ethiopia is keen to invest its resources and provide electricity to its people without harming others, stressing that his country's goal is to work with downstream countries to achieve common development.

Rejection of the Egypt-Sudan agreement

The Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs had previously announced that Ethiopia had informed it of the start of the third filling of the “Renaissance” dam last July, and said that it had directed to the UN Security Council an objection to Ethiopia’s plans to fill it unilaterally without an agreement with Egypt and Sudan.

Egypt accuses Ethiopia of violating the initial agreement signed between the three countries in 2015, and prohibits any of them from taking unilateral measures in the use of the river's water. The Nile River, however, Addis Ababa rejects this and stresses that the dam, which it began construction about a decade ago, does not aim to harm anyone.

Ethiopia had launched the project, estimated to be worth about $4 billion, in 2011 and aims to build the largest hydroelectric dam in Africa, but it raises regional tensions, especially with Egypt, which depends on the Nile River to provide about 90 percent of its irrigation water needs. and drinking.

The Renaissance Dam is located on the Blue Nile in the Benishangul-Gemuz region, about 30 km from the border with Sudan, with a length of 1.8 km and a height of 145 meters.

On the other hand, on February 28, Egypt announced that it had entered the stage of water poverty years ago, with the per capita share of water declining to about 558 cubic meters annually, which is equal to half the poverty rate of 1,000 cubic meters.

As for Egypt’s total water needs, it amounts to about 114 billion cubic meters annually, according to the statement of the Minister of Water Resources on March 28, 2021, while Egypt’s share of the Nile water is 55 billion cubic meters annually, and Sudan’s share of the Nile water is about 18.5 billion cubic meters per year.

It is worth noting that since the launch of the project in 2011, the “Renaissance” dam has sparked a conflict with Sudan and Egypt, which depend on the Nile for their water resources. From a large portion of their share of the Nile water.


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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 29 Oct 2022, 23:56

  • The Sudanese complain that Al-Burhan awards the Egyptian ambassador the order of the Two Niles while the Egptians are occupying sovereign Sudanese territories.






Al-Burhan awards the Egyptian ambassador the Order of the Two Niles


The President of the Sovereignty Council, Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan, awarded Egypt’s ambassador to Sudan, Hossam Issa, the Order of the Two Niles, of the first class, on the occasion of the end of the ambassador’s tenure in Khartoum.

Al-Burhan praised the advanced level witnessed by the Sudanese-Egyptian relations, especially its supportive stances for Sudan.

For his part, the Egyptian ambassador affirmed his country's continued support for Sudan during this important period, at all levels.

In a press statement, the Egyptian ambassador expressed his gratitude and appreciation for the support he found from the Chairman of the Transitional Sovereign Council and the cooperation of Sudanese state institutions in order to perform his duties in the required manner.


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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 08 Nov 2022, 14:53

The godfather of Sudan’s coup is awaiting November 11 …

ድሮ ዋጋ የነበረውን የሱዳኑ ፓውንድ ሞቶ በየውንዙ ዳርቻ ተቀብሮ ይታያል ። ኣል-ሲሲ ደሞ ወደ ወንዙ ( ኣባይ ይሆን!!) እየጠቆመ " ተመልከት! ተመልከት! ጠለቀች! ጠለቀች!! " ይላል ። የኣረብ ወሽመጥ ሰዉ በበኩሉ ተሸካክሞ ምን ለማዳን ይሆን ?


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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 15 Nov 2022, 02:16

  • Arabs are making fun of the photo below.

    ኣንድ ግብጻዊ ዩትዮበር " ወይ የኔ እህት !! እጮኛዋ ታፍራለኝ !!! " ብሎ ኮመንት ኣደረገ !!!!!!!
  • Mohamed Suleiman : This is an obedient and smart boy, and he can be relied upon, O Israel

https://tekdeeps.com/from-the-arms-of-t ... -of-egypt/
  • “From the arms of Trump to the arms of Biden” .. Is this the head of a country the size of Egypt?!
November 13, 2022




Abe Abraham
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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 20 Nov 2022, 04:02

The United States which used TPLF and the war to weaken Ethiopia is now continuing to apply its pressure to make Ethiopia agree to what Egypt desires.

America wants to use Washington as a venue to rape Ethiopia. ( Read: the US-African Summit hosted by Washington, between December 13 and 15).



  • Renaissance Dam: Ethiopia's insistence on rejecting technical negotiations fails a new mediation



    Attempts to arrange a meeting between Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi and Ethiopian Prime Minister Abi Ahmed on the sidelines of the Climate Summit (November 6-18), held in the Egyptian city of Sharm El-Sheikh, have failed despite French attempts to hold it.

    The reason is due to “the Ethiopian Prime Minister’s insistence on limiting any new talks or negotiations between his country on the one hand and Egypt and Sudan on the other hand, regarding the dam crisis, to the political aspects only, without talking about the technical aspects, which are considered, in his view, to have been resolved during the teams’ negotiations The artist was from the three countries during previous tours,” according to the words of a Western diplomatic source working in Cairo.

    Ethiopia rejects technical negotiations

    The source explained that Cairo considers Ethiopia’s refusal to technical negotiations and the negative effects of the dam on both Egypt and Sudan to be “an attempt by Addis Ababa to evade any agreements that obligate it to modify the course of the process of filling the dam’s reservoir, which is carried out unilaterally in violation of the principles agreement signed between the three countries.”

    Ethiopia also adheres to rejecting any binding agreement that stipulates the arrival of specific quantities of water after the dam is operated to downstream countries, and considers that this is related to the nature of the flood season. Ethiopia considers that signing any binding agreement regarding quotas for Egypt and Sudan makes it an issue that does not belong to it and obliges it to dispose of the reservoir of the Renaissance Dam in the dry seasons, which it considers an "unfair" matter.

    Western diplomat: Egypt considers Ethiopia to evade agreements

    Under an agreement signed in 1959, Egypt obtains 55.5 billion cubic meters annually from the Nile water, compared to 18.5 billion cubic meters for Sudan, given that the total revenue of the river is 84 billion, of which about 10 billion are lost during the rush. From south to north due to evaporation and seepage.

    An American attempt to bring the views closer

    On the other hand, Al-Araby Al-Jadeed learned that the US administration is working on a new attempt to bring the three parties closer, specifically during the US-African Summit hosted by Washington, between December 13 and 15.

    An American diplomat said in an exclusive interview that the administration of President Joe Biden "is very interested in reaching an agreement that ends this crisis, especially as it is between two parties (Egypt and Ethiopia) on which the US administration relies a lot as strategic allies in the Middle East and the Horn of Africa."

    This comes at a time when the regional spokesman for the US State Department, Sam Werberg, said that "there must be a diplomatic solution between the three countries, and the United States in this administration is ready to provide any peaceful assistance to the three parties, and we have the US special envoy (Mike Hammer). He visits the region repeatedly and is in contact with all parties."

    Werberg added, during televised statements last Monday, that "the United States realizes the importance of the Nile waters to the Egyptians, and therefore we are doing everything in our power to reach a solution to the crisis."


    Washington is working to bring views closer during the US-Africa Summit

    And the Egyptian presidential spokesman, Bassam Radi, had revealed in a statement, on November 11, that the closed session that brought Biden together with Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi in Sharm El-Sheikh on the sidelines of the Climate Summit, dealt with the issue of the Renaissance Dam. He pointed out that Sisi presented the Egyptian position on the dam and the international laws that stipulate Egypt's right to water, and the damages of the dam.

    For his part, Professor of Water Engineering at Cairo University, Abbas Sharaki, revealed the latest technical developments related to the dam’s work, by analyzing satellite images of the dam’s site, saying in a post on his Facebook account that “the amount of water that passes over the middle passage The dam currently reaches about 100 million cubic meters," he said, adding: "This amount will drop next December to less than 50 million cubic meters."

    Sharaki pointed out that "the images received from the satellites show that the two turbines that Addis Ababa announced to operate previously did not work," noting that "if the two turbines were working, they would have been able to pass this water through them and not from the top of the dam. If the turbines continue to stop, Ethiopia will be forced in December The next step is to open that gate if it wants to dry the middle passage in order to raise it in preparation for the fourth storage.”
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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 23 Nov 2022, 11:22

  • The whirlwind of the Renaissance Dam and the anti-Sudan Pharaonic agenda behind it



    By Dr Abd Al-RaHman Mohammed Yeddi Al-Nour

    The media and politicians in Sudan have recently been immersed in the whirlwind of the Renaissance Dam, according to Egyptian propaganda, which is that Ethiopia is building a dam and that this dam threatens the alleged “rights” of Egypt and Sudan in Ethiopian waters.

    Rather, the so-called experts in Sudan in the field of Nile water were swept away behind this artificial whirlwind, as if they do not know the great benefits of this dam for Sudan, and that Sudan’s water rights will never be affected by this dam, and that Ethiopia has the full right to benefit from its natural wealth that descends from the sky on it.

    Politics, the media, and discussions in Sudan moved in dealing with this matter stupidly, according to the perspective that was engineered by the Egyptian fabricated screams and wailing only, which in turn was engineered by the circles of modern colonialism to get their share of the cake of the greedy Egyptian expansion in Sudan and its wealth. its dangerous aspects.

    A large project like the Renaissance Dam, funded by international financial institutions, cannot move forward and be accomplished without obtaining a green light from the global colonial financial circles run by Western countries, America and its Zionism.

    Egypt was also involved in all of this and blessed the dam project in its infancy, and it knows the inevitable consequences of building a huge dam of this kind, and this indicates that there are issues in the matter that go beyond the apparent and declared agenda and what politics and the media deal with.

    Then the Egyptian politics and its media trumpet indulged in idiotic screaming and wails about the alleged historical “rights” of Egypt in the waters of the Nile. Egypt mobilized for that what it could mobilize, and among the crowds were the stupid politicians and military in Sudan and its demented experts.

    These stupid politicians, military and experts - by inheritance in Sudan, did not realize that Egypt does not aim to disrupt the Renaissance Dam, nor does it aim to protect its so-called “rights” in the Nile waters by striking or Disrupting the Renaissance Dam, but Egypt has ambitions within the Sudanese lands, waters and wealth.

    Egypt knows very well that this dam will be for Sudan like the High Dam for Egypt. Therefore, Egypt wants to acquire the lands that lie behind the Renaissance Dam after it achieves its geopolitical ambitions in Sudan. Palestinians in favor of the Zionists.

    Egypt knows that even if the Renaissance Dam impounds all of the Ethiopian water that falls from the sky on Ethiopian territory inside Ethiopian territory, Egypt has no right to attack Ethiopia, and that international law never gives it the right to do so. Because any such attack will be a historical precedent that no other country has ever dared to do, and that any Egyptian attack on Ethiopia will lead to inevitable Ethiopian revenge sooner or later, and Egypt will not be spared from that Ethiopian revenge, which will be more harmful to Egypt than the harm it can do. That Egypt would cause it to Ethiopia by striking the Renaissance Dam and disrupting work in it.

    Turkey builds dams at the sources of the Tigris and Euphrates as it wants, and neither Syria nor Iraq has the right to take any military action to stop the construction of these dams, even if they were able to do so, because the water that falls from the sky on Turkey belongs to Turkey until the remnants of that water come out of its regional borders. China also does the same with regard to water and its sources in its territory.

    Therefore, Egypt's goal, by creating all this frantic whirlwind around the Renaissance Dam, meetings, talks and military reviews with the stupid military and the sons of evil in Sudan, is to achieve the greatest geopolitical gains inside Sudan, which makes Sudan an integral geographical part of Egypt, and after that it will not harm Egypt to build a twenty-year Ethiopia A dam on the Nile, but it will not harm Egypt if Ethiopia seizes all its waters within its territory.

    Egypt's historical opportunity to achieve its geopolitical ambitions in Sudan is to exploit this whirlwind of the Renaissance Dam and create a geopolitical breakthrough that will bring Sudan back to the era of Turkish colonialism, with which the Egyptians came as mercenaries, or the era of British colonialism, with which the Egyptians came as mercenaries.

    And it was not anyone who shed the blood of the Sudanese except the Egyptian mercenaries, who had it not been for their joining the colonial armies, neither the Turks nor the British would have dared to enter the lands of Sudan, which consist of desert, semi-jungles and jungles.

    Therefore, the Sudanese people must pay attention to this conspiracy, which I call the conspiracy of the century, and whose agenda is being accomplished by exploiting Egypt’s so-called “rights” to the Nile waters.

    After the failure of the Zionist-American project of the century, with which the Egyptian plot of the century in Sudan had a relationship with it and complementary to it and a prize for Egypt because of its puppet and suspicious roles in the region, the Egyptian endeavor continued to accomplish the plot of the century in Sudan despite the halting of the completion of the Zionist century project after the Western and Zionist-American circles found the Russian eye And those circles realized that Russia is capable of igniting the entire Middle East region against the West and the Zionist-American circles if they continued to accomplish the so-called Zionist century project, and therefore they tried to take revenge on Russia in Ukraine.

    But Egypt continued to carry out the plot of the century in Sudan, and the Western and Zionist circles provide assistance to Egypt to achieve this in service of its conspiratorial positions against the Arab and Islamic world, especially as we witness the active participation of Sheikh Zayed's prostitutes in this plot and the emergence of their ambitions in Sudanese lands and its wealth.

    Close relations with Ethiopia, and in turn contribute to the completion of this Renaissance Dam, which Egypt pretends to oppose its construction, although it has close relations with the emirates of the sons of Zayed. This confirms that the issue is not just a matter of the Renaissance Dam or Egypt’s alleged “rights” to the Nile waters, but only the realization of Egypt’s historical ambitions in Sudan.

    If Egypt achieves its geopolitical ambitions in Sudan, then it is not among its priorities for the Nile to flow up to the Delta, because if it achieves its geopolitical ambitions in Sudan, it can thus deprive Sudan and its people of using their full rights in the Nile waters, and Egypt will thus exploit Sudanese lands for the benefit of its future settlement projects in Sudan at the expense of the people. Sudan and its future generations.

    Therefore, the Sudanese people must be aware that their lands and wealth are being targeted by Pharaonic Egypt. The Sudanese people must be aware that Pharaonic Egypt will not attack the Renaissance Dam. Rather, Pharaonic Egypt seeks to achieve its geopolitical ambitions in Sudan.

    The Sudanese people must realize that as the Kizan(Islamists) used to do, the stupid Kizanian military system that governs it now plays the same roles as the Sudanese mercenaries who provided facilities for the occupation of Sudan by the Turks and the British during the past two centuries. The Sudanese that were spilled during those covenants, Egypt had a major role in shedding it. Rather, Egypt had a major role after the departure of the colonizer in supporting every rebellion and instability inside Sudan.

    What is going on now in terms of coordination between the stupid Kizanian(Islamists') military system that governs Sudan and the Pharaonic army that inhabited its people in the tombs is not aimed at displaying muscles in front of Ethiopia, because Egypt does not have real muscles because it is the largest importer of wheat in the world and does not have power for its people, but rather its goal is to increase the number of agents and spies Inside Sudan as a prelude to achieving the Egyptian geopolitical ambitions in Sudan.


    Therefore, the Sudanese people should not be naive, but rather pay attention to what is plotted against them in the Zionist-American-Egyptian circles. Sudan is never harmed by this dam, and this dam is like the Sudanese High Dam inside Ethiopian territory, and this dam has many benefits for Sudan, and its benefits are more than its harms if there were, in fact, damages.

    Accordingly, the Sudanese people must pay attention to what is being hatched against them under the guise of the Renaissance Dam. This is a message to the Sudanese people before it is too late.



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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 16 Dec 2022, 19:05

The Egyptians want to f..k Ethiopia forever through an agreement and with the help of Blinken who is increasingly getting closer to the Egyptian position by demanding that a " diplomatic agreement that respects the interest of both sides " be reached.


Cairo requests Washington's help to reach an agreement on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam




Washington (AFP) - Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi on Wednesday asked the United States to help pressure Ethiopia into reaching an agreement on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, a massive hydroelectric project that Cairo sees as an "existential" threat.

In the midst of his visit to Washington to attend the US-Africa summit, Sisi raised the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam file with US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken.

"This is a very vital and existential issue for us. We thank the United States for its support and interest," Sisi told the US secretary.

He added, "A legally binding agreement can achieve a good thing in accordance with international norms and norms. We are not asking for anything else."

"We need your support in this matter," he added.

The dam on the Nile, which is worth $4.2 billion and will be the largest in Africa, is a source of intense tension between Ethiopia and Egypt, as well as Sudan.

Egypt, which relies on the river for 97 percent of its irrigation and drinking water, fears that the dam will reduce its already scarce water supplies.

Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed had promised to continue talks on the dam, but went ahead with the plan to fill and operate the first turbines.

The administration of former US President Donald Trump, a close ally of the Egyptian army commander who became president of the country, sought to mediate and reach a solution and cut off aid to Ethiopia after it accused Addis Ababa of not dealing in good faith in this file.

Trump faced criticism when he hinted that Egypt could attack the dam, a possibility Cairo publicly rejected.

As for the administration of President Joe Biden, it follows an approach that is more focused on diplomacy and does not link aid to this issue.

But the Biden administration's relations with Ethiopia have been strained due to concerns about rights violations in the war against the rebels in the Tigray region, which stalled after the conclusion of a peace agreement last month.

Upon taking office, Biden distanced himself from Sisi over concerns about Cairo's human rights record, but he welcomed his Egyptian counterpart's role in brokering a cease-fire last year in the Gaza Strip and Egypt's hosting of the United Nations climate summit last month.


© 2022 AFP

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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 30 Dec 2022, 14:32

A former US official: Abiy Ahmed may conclude a “deal” regarding the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam



29-Dec-22 05:14 AM

The former director of African affairs at the US National Security Council, Cameron Hudson, said that the Ethiopian Prime Minister, Abiy Ahmed Ali, may conclude a deal with Egypt and Sudan regarding the Renaissance Dam negotiations, which have witnessed continuous failure during the past years.

He added, in an exclusive interview with “Arabi 21”, that “with the passage of time, the positions of relative strength change, and in light of the cease-fire in the Tigray region, Abiy Ahmed may now be in a stronger position at home to conclude a deal on the Renaissance Dam, and perhaps this was not possible before.” general"

Hadison stressed that "UN mediation does not seem to be an available option, and it does not seem that any of the permanent members of the UN security are particularly interested in playing that role, and this means that it is better for the (three) parties to search for a solution among themselves."

Hudison also held the position of former Assistant US Special Envoy to Sudan, and was a former CIA official, as well as being a senior researcher at the Atlantic Council, which is one of the important and influential think tanks in decision-making in the United States.

It is noteworthy that the negotiations on the Renaissance Dam have been frozen for more than a year, and Cairo and Khartoum adhere to first reaching a tripartite agreement on filling and operating the dam to ensure the continued flow of their annual share of the waters of the Nile River, but Ethiopia rejects this.

Addis Ababa asserts that its dam, which began construction about a decade ago, “is not intended to harm anyone,” noting that it will be the largest hydroelectric dam in Africa.

And in July 2021, Ethiopia carried out the second filling of the dam with water, a year after a similar filling, in exchange for an Egyptian-Sudanese refusal, considering it “unilateral measures.”

And official Ethiopian media reported, at the beginning of this month, that Addis Ababa had successfully completed the third filling of the Renaissance Dam, confirming that the electromechanical plant’s work had reached 61%, and the civil works had been completed by 95%.





How do you see the current stalemate in the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam crisis?

The dam issue is pending; It is not going through a crisis and has not yet been resolved.

In your opinion, who is responsible for the continued failure of the Renaissance Dam negotiations so far?

Countries have a long history on this issue, so we cannot blame anyone at this point.

Ethiopia is preparing to fill the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam for the fourth time. What do you think of the repercussions of this upcoming step?

As long as there was enough rain, and the downstream water flow was not affected by the fourth filling, there would probably be no fallout; The scenarios that emerged during the drought years were always the most controversial elements of the deal.

How do you view the position of US President Joe Biden's administration regarding the renaissance dam crisis?

The Biden administration has not taken any position, other than to say that it would like to resolve the issue amicably. There were some initial indications that the United States would assume the role of an effective mediator for itself, but this did not happen. This suggests that the United States does not see imminent threats from undertaking additional fillings or allowing these issues to remain unresolved.

Are you still advising the countries of Egypt and Sudan to be patient in order to avoid an exacerbation of the dam crisis?

There is no reason to raise a crisis at this point. as time passes on; The positions of relative power are changing, and in light of the cease-fire in the Tigray region, the Ethiopian Prime Minister, Abiy Ahmed, may now be in a stronger position at home to strike a deal on the Renaissance Dam, and this may not have been possible a year ago.

What are the options available to Cairo and Khartoum in dealing with the Renaissance Dam crisis?

UN mediation does not appear to be an option, and none of the permanent members of UN security seem particularly interested in playing that role, which means that it is best for the parties to seek a solution among themselves.

On the other hand, how did you read the results of the recent US-African Summit?

This was generally a sign that Biden wants to be more engaged in Africa and raise the status of African countries in geopolitics. However; The limited number of major achievements may have damaged the public image that Biden wanted to revitalize mutual relations.

Does Biden want to fix what Trump broke on relations with Africa?

Biden wants to show that Washington is interested in Africa for reasons other than confronting China and Russia. He wants to convey the message that African countries are equal partners of the United States.

Thus, are the relations between the United States and the African continent better than the relations of Russia and China with the brown continent?

No; Relationships are very different; Where the United States has traditionally tried to balance its economic and political interests with its values of things like democracy, transparency, and human rights, I think others are more interested in simply advancing their own interests.

What is the future of the American-African relationship from your point of view?

I do not think that we will see fundamental changes in relations during the coming period. And as much as Biden says we will be equal partners; This seems unlikely. African nations were not given an equal voice in the creation of the international system, and the level of instability and poverty among African nations will continue to hurt their chances of changing the way they are perceived by the general public and US policymakers.

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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 18 Jan 2023, 15:48



ግብጾች ኣ(ል)-ሲሲን " ኣንተ ነህ የመጀመርያውን ሰነድና ስምምነት በመፈረም ባለንበት ችግር ያስገባህን " ብለው ሲሰድቡት ሰውየው " በላሽ ሃሪ ! / ዝም ብላችሁ ትርጉም የለሽ ኣትለፈልፉ ! ቀይ መስመሩ የሚነካና ኣንዲት ኩባያ ብትሆንም ከታሪካዊ ድርሻችን የሚያጎድል ፍጡር የለም ! " ሲላቸው ቆይቶ ኣንድ ቀን ብዙ ሰዎች ሳይገነዘቡት '' የፈረምነው ለየታሪካዊ ድርሻችን ዋስትናና ህጋዊነት ለመሰጥ እኮ ነው ። " ብሎ ኣለፈ !

የኣረብ ሪፓብሊክዋ መሪዎች ህዝቡ እንደሚመስለው ተታሎ ሰነዱ የፈረመ ሳይሆን ብልህ ሆኖ ቀርቦ ኢትዮጵያን " ለታሪካዊ ድርሻን " ለኣንዴና ለሁሌ እውቅና እንድትሰጥ ለማድረግ ነው ። ለምን የኢትዮጵያ እውቅና ኣስፈለገ ሲባል መልሱ ቀላል ነው ፥ ዝም ብለህ ከሌሎች ተስማምተህ (ግብጽ ከሱዳን!) ታሪካዊ ድርሻ ኣለኝ ሊባል ስለማይቻል ።

የግብጽዋ ሴት ኣቶ ኢትዮጵያን ስክሮ ሳለ ኣግኝኜ በማፈረም ተርባይኖች ተክሎ ድርሻየን ብህግና በይፋ እንደሚያረጋግጥልኝ ኣደርጋለሁ ብላ ኣስባ ነበር !!! ከዛ በጓላ ሴትየዋ የሚቀራት ግድቡ ግብጾች እንደሚሉት በዘልዛል/የመሬት መንቀጥቀጥ እንዲወድም በየቀኑ መጸለይና መስገድ !!! የግብጽ ኣቋም ሱዳን በየውሃው ኣደጋ ብትጠፋ ትጥፋ ይላል ምክንያቱ በዓብደልናስር ጊዜ የተገነባው ግድብ ማንኞውም ከናይል የሚመጣ ታላቅ ጎርፍ የመቃወም ብቃትና ኣቅም ስላለው !!!





British documents reveal the "real reason" for building the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam

10-Dec-22 08:46 AM

The document indicates that Ethiopia wants to challenge the assertion of acquired rights in the Nile waters of Egypt and Sudan - Getty
A newly disclosed British document indicates what it says is the "real reason" behind Ethiopia's insistence on building a dam on the Blue Nile, the Renaissance Dam.

Contrary to what Addis Ababa says that the dam comes for development reasons, the document indicates that the reason is to challenge and nullify the statements of Egypt and Sudan about the "acquired rights in the waters of the Nile River".

According to the documents, the Ethiopians informed the British of this three decades ago, according to the "BBC".

In the second half of December 1992, the School of Oriental and African Studies "SOAS" at the University of London organized a conference to discuss "Water in the Middle East: Legal, Political and Commercial Consequences".

"The conference involved both good and bad aspects," said Greg Shepland, responsible for the water file in the Middle East at the British Foreign Office and London's representative in the multilateral talks on water, in a top-secret cable addressed to the head of the Research and Analysis Department.

The positive aspects, according to the document, included discussing general issues of international law related to rivers shared by two or more countries, and general issues related to water allocations between economic sectors within countries.

Regarding the "bad sides," Shepland spoke of the "usual lack of understanding between Egyptians and Ethiopians" and "between Arabs and Israelis" on water. Counselor Dr. Awad Muhammad al-Murr, then president of the Egyptian Supreme Constitutional Court, was the head of Egypt's delegation to the conference.

Egyptian position

Shepland summarized the Egyptian position, as presented by Murr, as follows: "Egypt has acquired rights regarding the amount of Nile water it currently uses, and Egypt's agricultural security depends on recognizing these acquired rights, and Egypt will never tolerate Ethiopia building any dams on the Blue Nile."

The Blue Nile is the source of more than 80 percent of the general Nile River water. According to Shepland's cable, Murr's words were not convincing. He said, "The position of the Egyptians here is weak, and it is likely to fail" in winning support.

The British diplomat based his assessment on the fact that actual water use is not the only decisive factor in determining the amount of water a country receives.

He pointed out the need to take into account "fairness" in the distribution of water shares. "While we learned from the more general sessions that discussed international law that 'existing use' is a factor that is taken into account in determining water shares between countries, it is far from being the only factor," he said.

Ethiopian confession

At that time, Egypt was, and still is, insisting that it has a "realistic share" that has existed for many years and considers it a historical right, which is 55.5 billion cubic meters of water annually from the waters of the Nile River. During the past years, Egypt has been warning against prejudice to its "share" of water.

Egypt stresses its right to be notified of any projects upstream of the river, the lifeblood of Egypt, in accordance with international agreements. The British diplomat criticized the Egyptian proposal at the "SOAS" conference.

"The Egyptians' unwillingness to accept the development of international law is bad and problematic," he said. Not only that, Shepland noted, "their (Egyptians)' apparent lack of realization is that their position is provocative to the Ethiopians, and therefore counterproductive even worse, potentially damaging to their interests."

The British diplomat told the Foreign Ministry about a dialogue between him and Dr. Tesfat, head of the Ethiopian Authority for Valleys Development Studies, who was addressing the Egyptian position at the conference. Despite his critical opinion of the Egyptian position, Shepland stated that "there could be fewer problems regarding the Nile between the basin countries than commentators believe if Ethiopia sought to develop other rivers in the north of the country," with the exclusion of the Blue Nile. He added that such behavior "would be more economically feasible for Ethiopia."

According to Shipland, the Ethiopian water official acknowledged the validity of this proposition. Despite Dr. Tesfat's acknowledgment, he stressed, as Shipland said, that "Ethiopia may choose to develop the Blue Nile first in order to assert its right to use the waters of this river if the Ethiopians always listen to the kind of statements we heard earlier today from (the head of the Egyptian delegation) instead of bitter.

According to Shipland, the Ethiopian official confirmed to him that there is a "contradiction" between the positions of the Egyptian engineers on the one hand, and the Egyptian officials on the other hand, regarding the issue of historical water rights. The Ethiopian official claimed that "Egyptian water engineers who speak in secret show that they are more aware of the needs of others than what Egyptian officials and politicians show in public."

The documents did not reveal whether the British had informed, at the time, Egypt, whether of their position on the Egyptian proposal or of the Ethiopian justification for the dam construction projects on the Blue Nile. Other documents, presented by the BBC, revealed that Britain concluded in 1990 that Egypt "will not accept being held hostage to the strategic water weapon."

The legal basis for Egypt's "historic" share of the Nile water

For more than 6 decades, Egypt has obtained 55.5 billion cubic meters of water annually from the Nile. And with the continuous increase in its population, which exceeded 110 million people, Egypt complains that this share is insufficient and has thrown the country into water poverty.

This amount of water is the result of the "Agreement for the Full Use of the Nile Waters" concluded on November 8, 1959, between Egypt and Sudan. According to the agreement, the two countries approved an annual average flow of the Nile water at Aswan estimated at 84 cubic kilometers.

It was agreed to divide it as follows: Egypt gets 55.5 cubic kilometers. Sudan receives 18.5 cubic kilometers. And the rest, considered water losses as a result of evaporation and leakage in the High Dam, equivalent to 10 cubic kilometers.

However, Ethiopia, which has a population of approximately 122 million people, stresses that it does not recognize this agreement and that it did not adopt these quotas. Addis Ababa still refuses to accept the issue of Egypt's "acquired" or "historic" rights. In 1956, it announced that it would "keep the waters of the Nile in its lands to use as it deems fit."




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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 14 Feb 2023, 19:38

https://www.arabnews.com/node/2130241/middle-east
  • US and Egyptian officials discuss water security, Ethiopian dam



    US envoy for the Horn of Africa Mike Hammer meets Egyptian government officials in Cairo. (Twitter/@USEmbassyCairo)

    LONDON: The US envoy for the Horn of Africa, Mike Hammer, on Monday had met with Egyptian government officials to discuss the north African country’s water security and a number of regional issues, the US embassy in Cairo said on Tuesday.

    Hammer held talks with Chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee in the Egyptian House of Representatives Karim Darwish to discuss the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, regional challenges across the Middle East and Africa, and the robust, strategic partnership between the US and Egypt.
    Cairo has been seeking a deal for years over the GERD, which Egypt says could put at risk its scarce water supplies. The dam is under construction on Ethiopia’s Blue Nile and Ethiopia started filling the reservoir behind the dam two years ago.

    Hammer’s visit helped advance our continued dialogue and ongoing partnership with Egypt,” the embassy said.

    The visit comes following the first ever meeting between US President Joe Biden and his Egyptian counterpart Abdel Fattah El-Sisi on the sidelines of an Arab summit in the Saudi city of Jeddah on July 16.
    (With Reuters)
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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 19 Feb 2023, 18:38

  • Egyptian Foreign Minister meets his Rwandan counterpart




  • February 15, 2023


    Today, Wednesday, the Egyptian Foreign Minister, Sameh Shoukry, met with the Rwandan Foreign Minister, Vincent Perotta, on the sidelines of the 42nd session of the Executive Council of the African Union held in the Ethiopian capital, Addis Ababa, and the two sides discussed the issue of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam.

    In a statement, the official spokesperson for the Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs said that Shoukry "reviewed the current position on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam negotiations and Egypt's efforts over the course of a decade, with the aim of reaching a fair and balanced agreement that takes into account the interests of the three countries."

    The spokesman stated that the two ministers also discussed "the existing cooperation between the two countries in a number of fields, including preparation for the second session of the joint committee in the Rwandan capital, Kigali, during the second half of the current year 2023."

    Minister Shoukry stressed, according to the statement, "the interest that Egypt attaches to the Magdi Yacoub - Rwanda/Egypt Heart Center project, because the center represents an actual embodiment of the close relations between the two countries, as the center is one of the most important Egyptian centers for heart treatment in the African continent."

    According to the statement, the two ministers also touched on a number of international and regional issues of common concern, as the Rwandan foreign minister reviewed developments in the situation in eastern Congo and the recent summit, which Burundi hosted on February 4, discussed the security situation in eastern DRC. , prospects for implementing the outputs of the Nairobi process, both political and military, and a road map for Rwanda to establish security stability in that region.
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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 19 Feb 2023, 19:15

  • Renaissance Dam crisis: Abi Ahmed's visit to Khartoum complicates Cairo's position

  • January 29, 2023

    A surprising visit, in terms of timing, by Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed to the Sudanese capital, Khartoum, last Thursday, is his first since 2020 when he mediated between the Forces for Freedom and Change on the one hand and the military component on the other, in order to reach a political agreement.

    Abi Ahmed's visit caused confusion in Cairo's papers regarding Sudan and the Ethiopian Renaissance Dam file, after the Ethiopian Prime Minister and the head of the Sudanese Sovereignty Council, Lieutenant General Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan, announced consensus on the dam crisis, as Cairo relied a lot on the unity of the issue with Khartoum in the confrontation with Addis Ababa.

    Last Thursday, the Sudanese News Agency, SUNA, quoted Al-Burhan as confirming during his talks in Khartoum with Abiy Ahmed that Sudan and Ethiopia are "in agreement and in agreement" on all issues of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. He stressed "the need to strengthen cooperation and joint coordination between Sudan and Ethiopia in bilateral issues, regionally and internationally."

    The objectives of Abi Ahmed's visit to Sudan

    For his part, Abiy Ahmed stressed that "the purpose of his visit to Khartoum is to show solidarity with Sudan and stand with it at this important stage in his political career," according to "SUNA." He also pointed out that "Sudan and Ethiopia are full of all elements of development and prosperity represented in water, land and human resources, and we, as states and governments, must preserve the historical relations between the two countries."

    He also stressed the need to benefit from the experience of the war in the two countries, which led to the secession of South Sudan and the war in the Ethiopian region of Tigray, and to resort to dialogue on all internal issues. He stressed that "the Renaissance Dam will not cause any harm to Sudan, but will benefit it in the field of electricity."

    According to information obtained by Al-Araby Al-Jadeed, Cairo was informed by officials in Khartoum in advance of the visit of the Ethiopian Prime Minister, but Al-Burhan, who has a good relationship with Cairo, confirmed that he could not postpone that visit, at least for the time being, due to political pressures. internal.

    Cairo was aware of the officials in Khartoum in advance of Abi Ahmed's visit

    Also, according to the information, Cairo had asked Al-Burhan to postpone the visit, as it believes that it comes at a time when Egypt entered the line of the internal Sudanese political crisis, through an initiative to conclude a quick settlement presented by the Egyptian ambassador in Khartoum, Hani Salah, on the eleventh of January. The current second of the proof.

    This initiative came a few days after the visit of the head of the General Intelligence Service, Major General Abbas Kamel, to Sudan, during which he conveyed a message from Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi to the head of the Transitional Sovereignty Council.

    In turn, a former diplomat specializing in African affairs considered, in an interview with Al-Araby Al-Jadeed, on the condition that his name not be mentioned, that Abi Ahmed's visit at this time comes in order to abort the recent Egyptian moves in the Sudanese arena, both with regard to the political crisis, and Egypt's offer. Its mediation through the initiative it presented, or with regard to managing the waters of the Nile River, which was discussed during the recent visit of the Egyptian Minister of Irrigation, Hani Swailem, to Sudan.

    During this visit, it was agreed to remove all obstacles to the water projects being implemented by the permanent joint technical authority for the Nile waters in the two countries.

    The former diplomat inferred his vision regarding the purpose of Abi Ahmed's visit to Khartoum, with the nature of the meetings he held there. Abi Ahmed met with Al-Burhan, and the commander of the Rapid Support Forces, Muhammad Hamdan Dagalo, known as "Hemedti", in addition to the signatories to the framework agreement, as well as the non-signatories. This means that there is a desire on the part of Abi Ahmed to carry out a new mediation that guarantees him an effective presence in Sudan, during the coming period.

    For his part, another former Egyptian diplomatic source confirmed that what complicates Abi Ahmed's visit to the scene in relation to Cairo at this time is that it comes in light of a sudden Turkish entry into the Sudanese file, after Turkish intelligence chief Hakan Fidan's recent visit to Khartoum and his meeting with Al-Burhan and the director of the Sudanese General Intelligence. Lieutenant General Ahmed Ibrahim Mufaddal.

    The former diplomat explained that the seriousness of the situation regarding Abi Ahmed’s step at this time, which precedes the process of the fourth filling of the Renaissance Dam, and the coordination between Cairo and Khartoum in this context, also lies in the presence of strong connections and ties between him and influential parties in the Sudanese civil component, in addition to his relationship. Al-Tataida with "Hamiti".

    Mediation failed between Cairo and Addis Ababa

    On the other hand, an Arab diplomat at the Arab League in Cairo revealed that the chances of success of the new Emirati mediation regarding the Renaissance Dam crisis have declined. He also indicated that "a meeting was scheduled to take place in Abu Dhabi between Sisi and Abi Ahmed, but the minimum terms of agreement were not available." He pointed out that this "led to the postponement of the meeting, while giving the Emirati side more time in order to reach an agreement to return to the negotiating table again."

    For his part, a former Egyptian diplomat and expert in African affairs confirmed that the Ethiopian prime minister's attempt to mediate between the Sudanese forces "expresses Addis Ababa's desire to play a regional role, in light of the failure of the Egyptian role to achieve results at the level of the Sudanese file." He also stressed that "Addis Ababa found an opportunity to intervene in the Sudanese issue, in the absence of the Egyptian presence, which increases the Ethiopian influence in Africa and deducts from Egypt's balance in this field."

    An expert on African affairs: Addis Ababa found an opportunity to intervene in the Sudanese issue

    Regarding the statements about the Renaissance Dam issued by the Sudanese and Ethiopian sides, the former Egyptian diplomat explained that "these statements are just media statements that have no effect on the ground, as the Ethiopian side continues to implement its plan regarding the dam, without regard to the Egyptian and Sudanese concerns." .

    He also stressed that this is "depending on the agreement signed in the Sudanese capital, Khartoum, in 2015 between the three countries, Egypt, Sudan and Ethiopia, which does not oblige Addis Ababa to any legal obligation to coordinate with Cairo and Khartoum in the process of filling and operating the dam."

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Abe Abraham
Senior Member
Posts: 14412
Joined: 05 Jun 2013, 13:00

Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 22 Feb 2023, 18:53

  • "The fall of the Renaissance Dam" from the calculations of the African Summit.. What does that mean?


    Sisi will be absent from the 36th African Summit held in the Ethiopian capital, Addis Ababa

    The 36th African Summit in the Ethiopian capital, Addis Ababa, will conclude its work on Sunday, in the presence of a large number of heads of state, while the issue of the Renaissance Dam was absent from the discussions of the meetings.


    Repeated Egyptian sayings without positions

    In the absence of President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi, the Egyptian delegation to the work of the 42nd session of the Executive Council of the African Union at the level of foreign ministers, whose work precedes the convening of the African Summit, was headed by Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry, and during bilateral meetings he reaffirmed the determinants of the firm Egyptian position on the need to reach a binding agreement. On the rules for filling and operating the Renaissance Dam, taking into account the interests of the three countries and preserving Egypt's water rights.

    Egypt and Sudan have lost all bets, whether betting on Washington, the West, the Security Council, or even African countries to put pressure on Ethiopia to reach an agreement on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, which Cairo considers an existential threat, and all sides emphasized the importance of reaching a diplomatic settlement that protects the interests of all parties. .

    According to the African Union Commission, the agenda of the Council during the Union Summit was devoid of the presence of the Renaissance Dam issue on the table of discussions and included institutional reforms in the African Union and the state of peace and security in Africa, discussing ways to address the food crisis and energy policy, and ways to combat the emerging epidemic of the Corona virus in the continent.

    They also discussed the African Continental Free Trade Area agreement on competition policy, the draft statute of the African Humanitarian Agency, the investment protocol for the agreement to establish the African Continental Free Trade Area, and the intellectual property rights protocol.

    Renaissance Dam.. is not the issue of the continent

    Regarding the absence of the Renaissance Dam issue from the agenda of the African summit, the academic and expert on Middle East and African affairs, Khairy Omar, said, "The issue was not originally raised at the summit table, which discusses general African issues such as food security, security, terrorism, and economic integration between the countries of the continent through an agreement." The free trade zone, noting that all the efforts of the countries that assumed the previous presidency of the union, such as South Africa, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and finally Senegal, did not succeed in making any significant breakthrough.

    He described in statements to “Arabi 21” that “all that Egypt did during the meetings that preceded the summit was to promote the Egyptian position rejecting the process of filling and operating the Renaissance Dam without reaching a binding agreement, and it did not request that the file be included in the items of the summit discussions, and the file was referred to the presidency of the federation.” With the authorization of the Security Council, all efforts made to move the file failed and did not present anything new.

    Omar expected that "the borders of the next presidency of the union will depend on the statements that were issued before, and the whole issue will remain between the extent of the ability of the three countries (Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan) to return to the negotiating table and discuss outstanding issues, and no country, including the Security Council, will be able to impose a solution." I agreed, and when Cairo and Khartoum resorted to it, he decided to return the issue to the African Union. Therefore, international organizations do not find it feasible to interfere in these conflicts, and the philosophy governing them is not to set a precedent of its kind in imposing a solution on one of the countries, because it may provoke more conflicts.

    Weak African role

    Water and dams expert Muhammad Hafez believes that the way is now wide open for Ethiopia to complete the filling and construction without any hindrance. From an idea to a reality that no one can prevent."

    Adding to "Arabi 21": Ethiopia does not face any technical impediment to complete the filling and does not have any logistical problems in the field, and therefore it will be able to raise the level of the middle corridor that controls the increase in the water stock behind the reservoir in the month of August, and they will succeed in storing an amount estimated at 27 billion, which is More than the first, second and third filling combined, bringing the total amount that Nu will store to 50 billion cubic meters.

    Hafez explained that "the file of the Renaissance Dam is not on the agenda of the issues of the summit, and it is not concerned with that, not to mention that it is unable to move any file, because the capabilities of African countries in resolving conflicts through the organization are limited and do not have the tools of force to impose any solutions," noting that " There are many files that are less dangerous, important and complex and failed to reach an agreement on them.

    With the transfer of the presidency of the summit to the President of the Comoros, Ghazali Osmani, and his taking over the rotating presidency of the African Union from the President of Senegal, Macky Sall, many observers do not count on the ability of the small archipelago in the Indian Ocean to push the Renaissance Dam talks forward due to its limited political weight.
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