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የኦህዴድና የሕወሃት ዳግም ጥምረት ምን ይነግረናል?

Poll ended at 30 Apr 2024, 16:47

ሀ - አማራ ፋኖ ስልጣን ሊይዝ ይችላል ብለው ፈርተዋል
6
6%
ለ - ማይክ ሃመር ኢሳያስ ላይ ሊይዘምታቸው እያመቻቻቸው ነው
82
79%
ሐ - ሀ እና ለ
7
7%
መ- ምንም አይነግረንም
1
1%
ሠ - በክልላቸው የራሳቸው ተቃዋሚዎቻቸው እንዳያሸንፏቸው
8
8%
 
Total votes: 104

Misraq
Senior Member
Posts: 12486
Joined: 27 Sep 2009, 19:43
Location: Zemunda

የኦህዴድና የሕወሃት ዳግም ጥምረት ምን ይነግረናል?

Post by Misraq » 23 Apr 2024, 16:47

Have your say
Last edited by Misraq on 23 Apr 2024, 20:27, edited 1 time in total.

eden
Member+
Posts: 9283
Joined: 15 Jan 2009, 14:09

Post by eden » 23 Apr 2024, 19:10

I think the real reason the two are flirting is because both OPDO and TPLF are facing insurmountable opposition from their respective elites and people for delivering poverty and insecurity.

Also both are deeply mutually anxious that if they become weak, their respective opposition will take them to court. So they think they can avert accountability by uniting their resources.

Will it work? Maybe but not for long. They’ll eat each other. They are led by narrow minded individuals. They’ll go to war again and bring worse poverty and insecurity. They need to retire.

Misraq
Senior Member
Posts: 12486
Joined: 27 Sep 2009, 19:43
Location: Zemunda

Re: የኦህዴድና የሕወሃት ዳግም ጥምረት ምን ይነግረናል?

Post by Misraq » 23 Apr 2024, 20:33

Eden, what you said is illogical but I added it as an option and reset the poll. Here is the reason why it is illogical

1) TPLF would love if OLA destroys PP OPDO. TPLF created alliance with OLA during the war
2) PP also loves if Aregawi Berhe party (controlled opposition) have foothold in Tigray. PP is also working with Temben & Enderta parties

So due to the above reasons, PP and TPLF created alliances as a result of external threat. That external threat in the order is below

1) FANO Amhara
2) Eritrean government

You have the right to remain silent after I demolished your logic

Educator
Member
Posts: 2022
Joined: 03 Jun 2021, 00:14

Re: የኦህዴድና የሕወሃት ዳግም ጥምረት ምን ይነግረናል?

Post by Educator » 23 Apr 2024, 23:51

Woyanes are desperate and eager to run over Eritrea. They think they can only achieve this while PP is in power at 4 killo. Once Fano enters Addis, woyanes are dead. So they are racing with time. They will do anything to be able to wage their war against Shabia now. That includes carrying water for their creation PP and satan Mamo killo.

Misraq
Senior Member
Posts: 12486
Joined: 27 Sep 2009, 19:43
Location: Zemunda

Re: የኦህዴድና የሕወሃት ዳግም ጥምረት ምን ይነግረናል?

Post by Misraq » 24 Apr 2024, 00:19

Educator wrote:
23 Apr 2024, 23:51
Woyanes are desperate and eager to run over Eritrea. They think they can only achieve this while PP is in power at 4 killo. Once Fano enters Addis, woyanes are dead. So they are racing with time. They will do anything to be able to wage their war against Shabia now. That includes carrying water for their creation PP and satan Mamo killo.
Very plausible. Weyanne under Tsadkan/Getachews primary strategy is "dispersing enemy" which they did first by surrendering then befriending PP. PP in the meantime waged war on its savior FANO and not in good terms with another savior Eritrea.

Would weyannes eye on Welkait & secure outlet to international world or would they try to achieve distabilizing Eritrea through B'Nehamdu in a hope to secure outlet through Massawa?

As you said the race is between FANO & TPLF. If FANO is near succeed to 4 kilo there will be a possible confrontation between TPLF and HGDEF. Otherwise I think TDF will join ENDF and we will get to see TPLF POWs. FANO need to speed up finishing PP else joint PP & TPLF would be daunting.

Fiyameta
Senior Member
Posts: 12736
Joined: 02 Aug 2018, 22:59

Re: የኦህዴድና የሕወሃት ዳግም ጥምረት ምን ይነግረናል?

Post by Fiyameta » 24 Apr 2024, 01:09


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Educator
Member
Posts: 2022
Joined: 03 Jun 2021, 00:14

Re: የኦህዴድና የሕወሃት ዳግም ጥምረት ምን ይነግረናል?

Post by Educator » 24 Apr 2024, 01:19

Woyanes are going for the easy prey. Today, it easier to take over Asmara than Wolkait. Shabia is ruling a barren land that is hated by much of the world. No one will come to Shabia's aid if it is engaged in any war with anyone. Woyane knows it and the only resistance it will face is coming from the two million elderly inhabitants of Eritrea.

If Woyanes get their big prize Asmara, then wolkait is insignificant as an outlet to the rest of the world or as a fertile land compared to the 1000 km of sea shore.

BTW, Woyanes have already accepted Fano as the next Addis Ababa administration. So their eyes are on Asmara to achieve their last goal of Greater Tigray. They will never jeopardize their current status as a sovereign state within Ethiopia by fighting with Fano.
Misraq wrote:
24 Apr 2024, 00:19
Educator wrote:
23 Apr 2024, 23:51
Woyanes are desperate and eager to run over Eritrea. They think they can only achieve this while PP is in power at 4 killo. Once Fano enters Addis, woyanes are dead. So they are racing with time. They will do anything to be able to wage their war against Shabia now. That includes carrying water for their creation PP and satan Mamo killo.
Very plausible. Weyanne under Tsadkan/Getachews primary strategy is "dispersing enemy" which they did first by surrendering then befriending PP. PP in the meantime waged war on its savior FANO and not in good terms with another savior Eritrea.

Would weyannes eye on Welkait & secure outlet to international world or would they try to achieve distabilizing Eritrea through B'Nehamdu in a hope to secure outlet through Massawa?

As you said the race is between FANO & TPLF. If FANO is near succeed to 4 kilo there will be a possible confrontation between TPLF and HGDEF. Otherwise I think TDF will join ENDF and we will get to see TPLF POWs. FANO need to speed up finishing PP else joint PP & TPLF would be daunting.

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