Never underestimate the desperate one: case of the tigrayan elites and their supporters.
Posted: 18 Apr 2024, 16:40
The truth is, they are saying their IDP's are dying in camps, of hunger, thirst, etc, so them going to war is the easier path, in comparison to awaiting destruction. As a famous Muslim once said ''Beware of the wicked man when he is full and beware of the dignified man when he is starving.''
The Amara's, and yes, the Oromos my people too, are not as desperate, therefore they may not see the current situation as a existential one.
But, the tigrayans, or as the eritreans say, agames, do. Surrounded by foes, in their land that historically hasn't produced enough food for them all, they have little to lose and perhaps more to gain, while their neighbors aren't there yet. Eritrea, let's be honest, has a strong intact army, they are watching closely and may or may NOT get involved, depending on what occurs next; but the Amara's are being pushed to get that desperate.
They aren't quite there yet, but who knows what may occur next...I'd advise them to compromise and form an alliance with other groups, such as oromo federalists who aren't extremists, and others, on a genuinely win-win basis, otherwise, things may get difficult for them to say the least.
Having members of their fano, openly say oromia is ours, ethiopia is ours, we're the rulers, etc etc, only alienates themselves and isolates themselves, which is the opposite of what occurred when they were apart of the alliance that sent the tplf into oblivion. Even the super-powers do not go to war without allies (USA-Nato, etc) for the most part!
The Amara's, and yes, the Oromos my people too, are not as desperate, therefore they may not see the current situation as a existential one.
But, the tigrayans, or as the eritreans say, agames, do. Surrounded by foes, in their land that historically hasn't produced enough food for them all, they have little to lose and perhaps more to gain, while their neighbors aren't there yet. Eritrea, let's be honest, has a strong intact army, they are watching closely and may or may NOT get involved, depending on what occurs next; but the Amara's are being pushed to get that desperate.
They aren't quite there yet, but who knows what may occur next...I'd advise them to compromise and form an alliance with other groups, such as oromo federalists who aren't extremists, and others, on a genuinely win-win basis, otherwise, things may get difficult for them to say the least.
Having members of their fano, openly say oromia is ours, ethiopia is ours, we're the rulers, etc etc, only alienates themselves and isolates themselves, which is the opposite of what occurred when they were apart of the alliance that sent the tplf into oblivion. Even the super-powers do not go to war without allies (USA-Nato, etc) for the most part!