I think the King 7 group is losing and will continue to lose this war. Reasons:
1/ K-7 and his primitive military killing civilians by Drone in Wallo, especially Wallo Oromos held grudge against the Diqalla Abiy. No Wallo Oromo would back off- hence new encouraged and motivated groups on there way
2/ Abiy and Gim Nefxegna don’t have experienced well trained soldiers any more. The current “ Lebileb” street kids are just a toy for TDF
3/ As war becomes protracted; more Nefxegnas surrender
4/ The Gambella, Beneshangual, Agew, and even Somalis disgruntled parties will start fighting the central gov.
5/ Economy would sink like Titanic, civil unrest, civil war unless OLF and TDF controls AA and put law and order by kicking out Shirixam PIA’s loyal guards from 4 Kilo.