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Triangular War of Abiy’s Administration Against Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo!

Post by OPFist » 07 May 2021, 09:20

Triangular War of Abiy’s Administration Against Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo!

Abiy Ahmed and his Administration now effectively lost support of the main triangular contenders of power in Finfinne palace (Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo). His prosperity party committed self-destruction by injurying three legs of the stool he was sitting on comfortably. By designating TPLF and OLA (Oromo Liberation Army), the two vanguard organizations of their respective nations, as terrorists, he officially declared war against both Oromo and Tegaru peoples. By not fullfilling the expectation of Amhara nationalists, he also lately lost confidence of most Amharas. Now, Abiy and his party have no strong support base as Mengistu and Meles had. Mengistu had support of Amhara elites and Meles’ strong constituency was the nation of Tegaru. It would have been good, if Abiy could get the vehement support of the Oromo. Unfortunately, he naively messed up every thing and now touched the holy liberation army, which is highly respected by almost all conscious Oromo. It is the matter of time, Abiy and his administration will lose power. The million dollar question is: who shall follow? Amhara nationslists? Tegaru hegemonists or Oromo republicsns?
Read more: https://fayyisoromia.wordpress.com/2019 ... -ethiopia/

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Re: Triangular War of Abiy’s Administration Against Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo!

Post by OPFist » 07 May 2021, 09:56

Interestingly, PM Abiy initally got very huge support three years ago from the three main triangular contenders (from Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo elites). He appeared to be very integrative figure to lead Ethiopia (Great Otomia) towards democratization. But, unfortunately, he slowly lost support from the three angles deu to his attempt to consolidate dictatorial power. Now, he is no more a democrat for transformation, but a new dictator of victimization. With the overtaking of power by Oromo liberals almost three years back, we concluded the liberation struggle and we were in a transition process towards democratization. For the transition to be successfull, we had to transform the hitherto triangluar conflict between Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo elites to aconstructive triangular cooperation. It was time for the elites in the three blocks to come to their sense and find a mechanism for this possible cooperation. We needed to learn from our damaging conflict history and ought to foster common beneficial destiny as a win-win solution for all nations in Ethiopia in particular and the Horn in general. Dr. Abiy and his adminstration could have worked on this, despite the protests from extremist positions of the three angles (some Amhara elites nostalgically longing for the dead assimilative Ethiopia, few Tegaru elites trying to bring back their apartheid Ethiopia and certain Oromo elites still rejecting the potential accomodative Ethiopia). Unfortunately, PM Abiy couldn’t materalize this and now, it seems that we are again at cross road of a new revolution. The opposition against the dictatorial EPP is now not only from extremists of the three angles, but also from democrats of the three blocs.

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Re: Triangular War of Abiy’s Administration Against Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo!

Post by OPFist » 07 May 2021, 11:16

Fact on the ground now is that Oromo’s colonial or domination history, which started at the end of the nineteenth century together with the European colonizers’ scramble for Africa, is on the verge of coming to end. Europeans could formally give up their colonies, though they still do indirectly control and influence every political, economical and social life of their respective colonies, because of the liberation struggles of colonized nations and the support subjugated nations got from the socialist bloc during the Cold War. The only black de facto participant of the Berlin conference on the scramble for Africa, i.e. the black colonizer Abyssinia enjoyed as colonizer just because of the neglection from the so called international community regarding freedom of the dominated nations in the empire in general and concerning the Oromo nation in particular.

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Re: Triangular War of Abiy’s Administration Against Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo!

Post by OPFist » 07 May 2021, 12:13

Despite this neglection, Ethiopia’s oppressed peoples being guided by their liberation movements, even including masses of the two Abyssinian nations led by the very few democratically thinking Habesha elites, struggled against all forms of domination, injustice and tyranny. They struggled together against European colonizers like the Adwa Battle and Italian occupation during the World War II, as well against feudal monarchy as shown during the Students’ Movement, against communist military regime and against the fascist apartheid administration of TPLF.

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Re: Triangular War of Abiy’s Administration Against Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo!

Post by Abere » 07 May 2021, 12:22

cry baby. You have been freed, thanks to Emiye Menelik II, but you are a slave of yourself hate. Do you speak ኦሮምኛ? If yes, ya you should be thankful our patriotic ancestors they saved it for you.

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Re: Triangular War of Abiy’s Administration Against Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo!

Post by OPFist » 07 May 2021, 13:51

Unfortunately, this fascist administration could rule for twenty seven years, specially by using divide-and-rule method. It could divide the opposition against its rule into three main blocs: 1. left oriented unionist liberators, including all liberation fronts of oppressed nations – particularly the Oromo, 2. middle positioned democratic federalists such as Medrek and the right oriented unitarist patriots, which comprise all forces emphasizing unconditional unity of the country. The elites in these three blocs of the opposition couldn’t forge a lasting alliance against fascists for the fact that it was easy to polarize and make them fight against each other. The TPLF was busy producing articles and dispatching cadres being camouflaged as either the unionist liberators fighting against the unitarist patriots, or vice versa. Now, the EPP of Dr. Abiy is using the same mechanism to survive and thrive.

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Re: Triangular War of Abiy’s Administration Against Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo!

Post by OPFist » 07 May 2021, 15:12

It is because of such activities that the hitherto formed alliances like AFD could fail and the existing alliances like PAFD & Medrek are not yet as effective as intended. All individuals and organizations opposing the TPLF regime should have developed a common ground to cooperate and to tackle it’s divide-and-conquer machination. After many years of debate and discussion, they got common ground, i.e. the two-phase struggle: first phase of liberation from fascism, and second phase of democratization. Talking in the past, being under the apartheid rule, about democratization process was simply self-deception to say the least. Some organizations got this fact earlier during the election in 1992, and others realized it lately, and election in 2015 being final evidence for the fact that any attempt of democratization under the TPLF fascist regime was a pipe dream.

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Re: Triangular War of Abiy’s Administration Against Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo!

Post by OPFist » 07 May 2021, 16:09

It is because of such activities that the hitherto formed alliances like AFD could fail and the existing alliances like PAFD & Medrek are not yet as effective as intended. All individuals and organizations opposing the TPLF regime should have developed a common ground to cooperate and to tackle it’s divide-and-conquer machination. After many years of debate and discussion, they got common ground, i.e. the two-phase struggle: first phase of liberation from fascism, and second phase of democratization. Talking in the past, being under the apartheid rule, about democratization process was simply self-deception to say the least. Some organizations got this fact earlier during the election in 1992, and others realized it lately, and election in 2015 being final evidence for the fact that any attempt of democratization under the TPLF fascist regime was a pipe dream.

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Re: Triangular War of Abiy’s Administration Against Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo!

Post by OPFist » 08 May 2021, 00:31

Interesting is to observe that even the oppressed people of Amhara and their democratic leaders have started to taste what it means to live under domination; even few of them have started to call the past fascistic domination as Tigrean colonization. Note that Tigreans under domination of Amhara elites till 1991 felt the same. This political process among the Amhara people and movement of even the very few reasonable Tigreans against TPLF fascism were encouraging developments. Peoples in the country in general, and politicians of each nation in particular, seemed to pass through a sort of political evolution.

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Re: Triangular War of Abiy’s Administration Against Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo!

Post by OPFist » 08 May 2021, 02:02

Observing politics of the empire, we may face it or evade it, a national question is the main conflict area. All peoples and politicians in Ethiopia, except the TPLF tyrants, did agree on political values like democracy, freedom, human rights, justice, good governance, etc., but the past dominating Habesha elites were not ready to agree with the Oromo and other nations on the question of national freedom for each people. That is why I did suggest to all concerned polity to have a look into the political evolution, regarding mainly Oromo people, but also can be applied to other nations. We like it or not, all Oromo individuals and Oromo institutions pass through certain political evolution process, from level one to level five of the following:

– first level of the evolution is that of those who do support unitary Abyssinian colonial empire as some Oromo and others in Habesha dominated organizations like AG7. They deny existence of Oromia, but they are concerned only about Ethiopia.

– second level of those acting like the old OPDO, who claim to be Oromo and believe in existence of Oromia, but accept and adore Abyssinian rule over the occupied Oromoland.

– third level of those acting like OFC, who claim to be Oromo and demand Gadaa Oromia’s autonomy at least within Ethiopian union.

– fourth level of those acting like ONP (Oromian National Party) and claim unconditional Gadaa Oromia’s independence, disregarding possibility for union of free peoples.

– fifth level of those like ODP, searching to foster Ethiopian union, i.e. union of free peoples in the Horn for common economical benefit, which brings all Oromo in the Horn together.

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Re: Triangular War of Abiy’s Administration Against Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo!

Post by OPFist » 08 May 2021, 05:30

Then, we may ask: at which levels of Oromo political evolution are Oromo people and politicians as well as peoples and polities of other nations moving? It is clear that a lot of Amhara elites move at the first level, the majority of Tegaru elites at the second level, and most of those from the other peoples taking differentially the levels from third to fifth. Despite these differences, the call of the OLF for more alliance, in Addition to the PAFD, is a nice take. The OLF itself seems to be flexibly moving between third, fourth and fifth levels of Oromo political evolution based on the timing of geopolitical situation of the region. This Oromo vanguard organization is promoter of Ethiopian union (the name based on biological origin of the majority in the area) = Horn union (based on geographical origin) = Kush union (according to Hebrew) = Punt union (according to old Egypt) = Ethiopian union (a designation according to Greeks).

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Re: Triangular War of Abiy’s Administration Against Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo!

Post by OPFist » 08 May 2021, 08:34

It is because of this attempt of the OLF in promoting both national independence of the Oromo and regional union of the Horn that some Oromo scholars have started to talk about a “paradigm shift,” and even few Habesha oriented scholars are now trying to join them. It was not bad that once the prominent leader of Habesha-dominated unitarist party came to Oromo conference of OSA and discussed with Oromo scholars. The topic of OSA-conference was also really good: “Rethinking the Urgency of Paradigm Shift for Democracy, Human Rights and Social Justice in the Age of Intensified Globalization.”

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Re: Triangular War of Abiy’s Administration Against Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo!

Post by OPFist » 08 May 2021, 09:48

Interesting is to observe that even the oppressed people of Amhara and their democratic leaders have started to taste what it means to live under domination; even few of them have started to call the past fascistic domination as Tigrean colonization. Note that Tigreans under domination of Amhara elites till 1991 felt the same. This political process among the Amhara people and movement of even the very few reasonable Tigreans against TPLF fascism were encouraging developments. Peoples in the country in general, and politicians of each nation in particular, seemed to pass through a sort of political evolution.

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Re: Triangular War of Abiy’s Administration Against Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo!

Post by OPFist » 08 May 2021, 12:52

Observing politics of the empire, we may face it or evade it, a national question is the main conflict area. All peoples and politicians in Ethiopia, except the TPLF tyrants, did agree on political values like democracy, freedom, human rights, justice, good governance, etc., but the past dominating Habesha elites were not ready to agree with the Oromo and other nations on the question of national freedom for each people. That is why I did suggest to all concerned polity to have a look into the political evolution, regarding mainly Oromo people, but also can be applied to other nations. We like it or not, all Oromo individuals and Oromo institutions pass through certain political evolution process, from level one to level five of the following:

– first level of the evolution is that of those who do support unitary Abyssinian colonial empire as some Oromo and others in Habesha dominated organizations like AG7. They deny existence of Oromia, but they are concerned only about Ethiopia.

– second level of those acting like the old OPDO, who claim to be Oromo and believe in existence of Oromia, but accept and adore Abyssinian rule over the occupied Oromoland.

– third level of those acting like OFC, who claim to be Oromo and demand Gadaa Oromia’s autonomy at least within Ethiopian union.

– fourth level of those acting like ONP (Oromian National Party) and claim unconditional Gadaa Oromia’s independence, disregarding possibility for union of free peoples.

– fifth level of those like ODP, searching to foster Ethiopian union, i.e. union of free peoples in the Horn for common economical benefit, which brings all Oromo in the Horn together.

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Re: Triangular War of Abiy’s Administration Against Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo!

Post by Dawi » 08 May 2021, 13:46

OPFist wrote:
07 May 2021, 11:16
....... The only black de facto participant of the Berlin conference on the scramble for Africa, i.e. the black colonizer Abyssinia enjoyed as colonizer just because of the neglection from the so called international community regarding freedom of the dominated nations in the empire in general and concerning the Oromo nation in particular.
Keep talking to yourself. You'll always be a loser!




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Re: Triangular War of Abiy’s Administration Against Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo!

Post by OPFist » 08 May 2021, 16:03

Then, we may ask: at which levels of Oromo political evolution are Oromo people and politicians as well as peoples and polities of other nations moving? It is clear that a lot of Amhara elites move at the first level, the majority of Tegaru elites at the second level, and most of those from the other peoples taking differentially the levels from third to fifth. Despite these differences, the call of the OLF for more alliance, in Addition to the PAFD, is a nice take. The OLF actually seems to flexibly moving between third, fourth and fifth levels of Oromo political evolution based on the timing of geopolitical situation of the region. This Oromo vanguard organization is promoter of Ethiopian union (the name based on biological origin of the majority in the area) = Horn union (based on geographical origin) = Kush union (according to Hebrew) = Punt union (according to old Egypt) = Ethiopian union (a designation according to Greeks).

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Re: Triangular War of Abiy’s Administration Against Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo!

Post by OPFist » 08 May 2021, 17:32

It is because of this attempt of the OLF in promoting both national independence of the Oromo and regional union of the Horn that some Oromo scholars have started to talk about a “paradigm shift,” and even few Habesha oriented scholars are now trying to join them. It was not bad that once the prominent leader of Habesha-dominated unitarist party came to Oromo conference of OSA and discussed with Oromo scholars. The topic of OSA-conference was also really good: “Rethinking the Urgency of Paradigm Shift for Democracy, Human Rights and Social Justice i

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Re: Triangular War of Abiy’s Administration Against Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo!

Post by OPFist » 09 May 2021, 00:13

But what do the concerned people mean by “paradigm shift”? Shift of goal or shift of way to the goal? At which levels of Oromo political evolution were the panelists and participants moving? How many of Oromo individuals taking part in Oromo politics and Oromo institutions they represent have completed their political evolution process? I know there are some who have already completed their evolution, but tactically making rhetoric of lower levels of the evolution. But yet, there are some who are still convinced to live and to move at lower level of Oromo political evolution. Which one of the positions, be it compelled or convinced, is position of the Oromo politicians in general? From those living and moving at lower levels, position of the compelled ones is to consider lower levels as their tactical goal because of the political situation and position of the convinced ones is to accept lower levels as strategical goal based on their political conviction.

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Re: Triangular War of Abiy’s Administration Against Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo!

Post by OPFist » 09 May 2021, 06:31

Even though we considered the step taken by the OLF to foster a new alliance against the oppressiv regime as a nice measure, I still recommend that Oromo liberation forces first try to promote their own unity like the imperative re-unification of OLF factions. After such unity, it is easy and politically expedient if we form and strengthen necessary coalition with forces of other oppressed nations as well even if we foster cooperation with Abyssinian democrats as planned by the OLF. But, whenever we try to form coalition with other liberation forces of oppressed nations and foster cooperation with democratic forces of Abyssinian nations, we should be conscious enough that our Oromo’s reservation, i.e. our minimal demand, our bottom line or our tactical goal is “Oromia’s autonomy within Ethiopian union”; that we know our Oromo’s goal, interest, i.e. with what we will be satisfied or our core-goal is “Oromia’s independence in a form of Gadaa republic”; and that we consider our Oromo’s target or position, i.e. the best, the optimal, the maximum we could possibly attain or our strategical goal is “Ethiopian union of free peoples.”

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Re: Triangular War of Abiy’s Administration Against Amhara, Tegaru and Oromo!

Post by OPFist » 09 May 2021, 09:41

Taking all these facts into consideration, now is the right time for all forces against the dictazorial EPP to forge cooperation for democratization. No question that all these forces agree on liberation of all citizens and nations in Ethiopia from dictstorship and they just achieved the needed liberation. This move as a first phase didn’t contradict with political program of any of them. So, no one of them is compelled to change its program in order to foster such an alliance. But, I know the political programs of the three opposition blocs vary specially regarding the final types of sovereignty they want to achieve for their respective nations or for the country during the ongoing second phase, the phase of democratization: unionists want to achieve union of independent peoples in the Horn (weak centeral government), federalists want union of autonomous nations in Ethiopia (strong centeral government), and unitarists want to achieve unitary country devoid of national autonomy or national independence for each nation.

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