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Abe Abraham
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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 12 Jul 2021, 15:34


Abd Alsamad Abd Alshakur ( ዓብድኣ(ል)ሰመድ ዓብድኣ(ል)ሻኩር ) : Egypt wants to put the responsibility of supplying it with water on the shoulders of others since the Nile Water is not enough for its ( ever increasing ! ) population.

With the international pressure there is a possibility to reach an agreement, as I seet it, but the Egyptians for internal reasons do not have the political will to take such a step.



Here Amani Al-Tawwil (ኣማኒ ኣ(ል)-ጠዊል ) whom I respect and like a lot is saying (never expected this from her ! ) : Jordan has a plan to buy water from Israel and likewise Ethiopia plans to supply Saudi-Arabia using a pipeline which crosses the Red Sea ....through the Eritrean-Ethiopian alliance ....( She is saying that there is a scheme and conspiracy against Egypt from all sides ...Israel,the West and Arabs themselves ... paranoia ???? )




ኣል-ሓደስ ( ኣል-ዓረቢያ UAE based ) : There are those in Sudan who say if the soft ( ናዕም) approach hasn't worked why shouldn't we try the hard ( ኸሽን ) one alluding to Beni Shanqul and the 1902 agreement which granted the area to Ethiopia under the condition that Ethiopia wouldn't build a dam there ( ግድብ መስራትና ውሃ መከልከል ሁለት የተለያዩ ነገሮች ናቸው !! )

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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 12 Jul 2021, 15:56



ባጫ ደበሌ - in his relaxed way - ለኣርቲ ሲናገር ፥ እኛ እንደ ማንኛውም ኣገር ራሳችንን እንከላከላለን ። ግብጾች ግድቡን ኣጥቅተው ሊያፈርሱት ኣይችሉም ። ቢችሉም የውሃው ክምችትና ሃይል ጠራርጎ ወደ ሜዲተራንያን ባህር ያስገባቸዋል ።

ግብጻውያን እንዴት ተረጎሙት ? የኢትዮጵያ ወታደራዊ ባለስልጣን ወደ ባህር ኣስገባችሃለሁ ብሎ ኣስፈራራን ።

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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 12 Jul 2021, 18:53


After the Security Council session: This is why Ethiopia won and Egypt lost | | Arab newspaper


Cairo - The results of the Security Council session on the Renaissance Dam file came against Egypt and Sudan, especially after it returned the file to the African Union without specifying a time limit as demanded by Cairo and Khartoum, which is considered an Ethiopian gain.

The Ethiopian Foreign Ministry said Friday that the Security Council's support for African mediation in resolving the Renaissance Dam crisis strengthens the negotiations led by the African Union.

In a press conference in the capital, Addis Ababa, Ministry spokesman Dina Mufti stressed that the Security Council's support for this mediation to resolve the dispute with Egypt and Sudan is a "major diplomatic victory for the country."

While some in Egypt and Sudan dealt with what happened in the UN Security Council session on Thursday evening regarding the Renaissance Dam crisis, as having achieved a political goal for the two countries within Ethiopia's goal and cramming it into a narrow corner.

The results of the session revealed the repetition of the Egyptian mistake, and then the Sudanese, who has been blaming Ethiopia only for ten years, and used a dictionary full of emotional vocabulary that did not accompany it with content commensurate with the seriousness of the crisis; Cairo was enthusiastic about presenting the issue to the Security Council and learned its position in advance as a party that does not care about these types of issues that contradict the interests of major powers.

The Council had previously held a similar session last year, and the result was also disappointing. The outcome of the second session is almost similar to the first, in terms of pushing the three countries to consensus and understanding without a time limit, making mutual concessions and avoiding unilateral actions, and in the end the ball was returned to the court of the African Union, which enhances Ethiopia’s gain from the session that it had reservations about and stuck to keeping the file in Union custody.

Observers say that the Tunisian draft resolution that was presented to the Security Council was weak in some respects, because it was prepared in haste and without sufficient coordination with the major powers and neglected to specify the essence of the urgent Egyptian and Sudanese demand for the need to obtain support to stop the process of the second filling of the dam that Ethiopia announced its initiation. A few days ago.

Gaining support for this clear demand was sufficient in this confused atmosphere to initiate negotiations. But the failure reinforced the Ethiopian position, which stuck with full confidence before the Security Council by rejecting all the demands that Cairo and Khartoum complain about, and Addis Ababa obtained the instrument of continuation in the second filling that perpetuates the fait accompli.

This issue represents a vital gain from the two angles of implementing Ethiopia's will in the process of filling and operation, and completing the negotiations from the current point that it imposed from the beginning.

Addis Ababa climbed to the edge of the abyss knowing that it would be difficult to bring it down by force or negotiation, which explains its constant adherence to escalation, and Cairo climbed to the very edge without knowing the mechanisms of its descent, which explains its reluctance to threaten force or officially refute it.

This difference enabled Ethiopia to achieve many gains from behind the Security Council session, perhaps outweighing the previous gains. At least, Egypt will stop the idea of ​​returning to it for a third time, after it realized the difficulty of politically penetrating it.

Egypt put itself in a dilemma, because it believed that just holding a Security Council session was enough to pressure Ethiopia and urge it to back down and sign a binding agreement, or to go towards the use of force on the pretext that it had exhausted all possible moves.

Observers point out that holding a session of the Security Council and listening to the positions of members rejecting any military action without equivocation represents a tool that curbs any trend towards it in the future, as Egypt has learned about the position of these forces and any violation that could lead to serious consequences.

The words of the delegates and the reactions of some forces during the session explained the dimensions of Ethiopian intransigence, and the divergent opinions reflected the nature of international interests in that vital region, and clarified to a large extent the extent of competition between major countries and the interests of global institutions participating in huge investments in Addis Ababa.

The Egyptian media celebrated what was stated by Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry in his long speech and the narrative it contained about the developments of the crisis and the flexibility and flexibility offered by Cairo, and its role in presenting a realistic image to the members of the Council, which suggests that the goal was to see only and not to stir.

The expert in African affairs, Ayman El-Sayed Abdel-Wahab, said that Egypt achieved part of what it wanted from the session, because it informed the international public opinion of the nature of the intransigent Ethiopian practices, and its keenness to communicate with international institutions.

Abdel Wahab stressed in a statement to “Al-Arab” that as long as there is no strong international pressure on Ethiopia to compel it to free the negotiations from the stalemate, Cairo will have no options but to move in a rough way to change the current equation, and the Renaissance Dam crisis will remain captive to Egypt’s capabilities to suffice foreign alliances and confirm Its ability to shake the interests of these countries in the region.

He explained that Cairo has no alternatives but to link between reaching a binding agreement or threatening security in the region, and there are areas in which it can move to put pressure on the forces supporting Ethiopia, because entering into new talks, even if they are agreed upon between the three countries, will not change anything from reality. It will be keen to continue the talks as long as possible without reaching a satisfactory solution for Egypt and Sudan.

Egyptian sources stated that there is no way but to return to the negotiating table, or to take a unilateral military action, the consequences of which will be borne by Egypt alone, because Sudan supports the option of negotiation and has never threatened to solve the crisis through military action.

The sources added in a statement to “Al-Arab” that the problem lies in that Cairo will not go directly to this scenario and bear its consequences alone, and it may lose Sudan, which made a great effort to develop cooperation and coordination with it and turn the previous bleak page.

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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 13 Jul 2021, 12:06



Cameron Hudson ከኣል-ጀዚራ ጋር ባደረገው ግንኙነት ኣሜሪካ ለምን በኢትዮጵያ ላይ ጫና ኣድርጋ የህዳሴ ግድብን ውዝግብ ኣትፈታም የሚል ጥያቄ ሲመልስ እንዲህ የሚመስል ኣለ ፥

ባሁን ጊዜ የኣብይ መንግስት - ከምርጫ በፊት ማለት ነው - ከሌሎች ወገኖች በኢትዮጵያ ሲነጻጸር ደከም ብሎ ይገኛል ስለ'ዚ የኛ ኣትኩሮ በዚህ ጊዜ በትግራይ ሆኖ በሚመጣ ጊዜ - የኢትዮጵያ የኣስተዳደር ሁኔታ ከቀየርን - ወደ የግድቡ ጉዳይ መፍታት እንሄዳለን ።

እንደምናስታውሰው ፈልትማን ባለፉት ሳምንታት በኪንሻሻ ባደረገው ጉብኝት ከየኮንጎ ባለ ስልጣን ስለ የህዳሴ ግድብ ውዝግብ ሲናገር የሚመጣው ድርድር በየኣፍሪካን ዩንዮም ስር ሆኖ ውሳኔው በስድስት ወር ውስጥ መወሰድ እንዳለበት ኣመልክቶ ነበር ።

እኔ የጊዜ ገደብ የሚባለውን የጫና መሳርያ በየእስራኤልና ፍልስጤማውያን ድርድር ኣሜሪካ ስትጠቀምበት ሰምቼ ኣላውቅም ።

Abe Abraham
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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 15 Jul 2021, 16:36

ሙስጣፋ ኣል-ፊኢ is one of those Egyptians who challenges his people to think ኻርጅ ኣል-ሰንዱእ/outside the box.

Few months ago he expressed his displeasure at Egypt's withdrawal from the Entebbe agreement. His argument was that if you stayed you could at least have some influence from within and persuade other patricipants to take consideration of some of your views and concerns.

This time he has gone too far. He wants to bring in Israel in a situation where Egypt is telling Ethiopia and the world that the NILE WATER belongs to Egypt and Egypt would not tolerate Ethiopia taking from it even a drop of water.

In other words the Egyptian stand is based on the 1959 agreement between Egypt and Egypt ( Sudan as always has no representative ) : Egypt takes 55 billion m³ and Sudan nominally 18 billion m³. In the case of Sudan nominally because Egypt also takes 10 billion m³ from the agreed Sudanese share.

It is clear from here and what we see from the behaviour of Maryam Al-Sadiq Al-Mahdi and Yasser Abbas Egypt controls the Sudan like a man would control a dog that he owns. Very disgusting to watch.



ሙስጣፋ ኣል-ፊኢ : Egypt should seek help from Israel to solve the crisis of the Renaissance Dam.




Amr Gamal

Cairo - For the second time in a few days, the former Egyptian politician and diplomat, Mostafa El-Feky, returns to mentioning Israel as a way to solve the Renaissance Dam crisis, stressing that it has an influence on Ethiopia as well as the United States and Russia that enables it to resolve the crisis, pointing to its old desire to be one of the downstream countries. by the Nile River.

During an interview with the “Happening in Egypt” program, presented by the media, Sherif Amer, on the Saudi-owned satellite channel MBC Egypt, on Tuesday evening, El-Feki, who currently holds the position of Director of the Library of Alexandria, said that Egypt has to rely on resolving the crisis. On unconventional solutions and contacts with countries that have a real impact.

The Egyptian politician indicated in his dialogue that Egypt strips itself of its tools because of "ideals", while politics does not know ideals, calling on Egypt to persuade Israel to help it solve the crisis of the Renaissance Dam, because of its great influence on all parties.




Israel is an estuary country

The former diplomat stressed that Israel's conviction of the need to support Egypt in the issue of the Renaissance Dam is capable of changing the American position on the crisis, and even capable of changing the Russian position as well, pointing out that the Egyptians do not perceive "Israel's indirect influence on the international decision-making powers."

The Director of the Bibliotheca Alexandrina explained that Israel had requested mediation in the Renaissance Dam crisis, but Egypt refused for fear that it would “give the cat the key to repetition.” Israel has dreamed of being one of the countries downstream of the Nile River since the era of the late President Mohamed Anwar Sadat, and he was clever when he waved They had the water card at the time to encourage them to end the peace negotiations, but the situation now calls for thinking about this matter, he said.

Israel for the second time


It is noteworthy that this is not the first time that Mustafa al-Fiqi has called for heading to Israel, as he had previously referred to it, last week, as part of the solutions in the context of his review of papers still owned by Egypt, including “non-Arab” countries, in reference to Israel, and that it is able to Putting pressure on Ethiopia, refusing to say that "Israel is part of the problem."

In the same program, El-Feki demanded to open the doors with everyone and talk with Israel, "You say (you tell him) I have a peace agreement between you and me that I have never broken despite all your provocations, how (how) do you go to help a state, and you are the one who is holding (responsible for) the electrical project, And you are the one who protects (who protects) the dam and you do something harmful. We said there is no harm or no harm.”



Mubarak Secretary

It is worth noting that Mostafa El-Feki is a veteran diplomat who worked as an information secretary for the late Egyptian President Mohamed Hosni Mubarak between 1985 and 1992, and was a member of the ruling National Democratic Party during the Mubarak era. He then resigned on February 5, 2011, following the January 25 revolution.

El-Feki also served as Egypt’s ambassador to Austria, and a non-resident ambassador to the Republics of Slovakia and Slovenia. He also served as Egypt’s delegate to international organizations in Vienna, then Egypt’s delegate to the League of Arab States and held the position of Assistant Foreign Minister for Arab Affairs.

Al-Fiqi was also Chairman of the Committee on Foreign Relations and National Security in the People's Assembly, then Chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee of the Shura Council, which qualified him to occupy the position of Deputy Speaker of the Arab Parliament, and he is currently working as Director of the Library of Alexandria.

Does Egypt transfer water to Israel?

Observers believe that Egypt is under a water blockade from the upstream country Ethiopia, and its main supporter with equipment, expertise and defensive weapons is Israel, with the aim of putting pressure on Egypt to deliver water to Israel, through the Salam and Serapeum canals, as part of the final solution to the Renaissance Dam crisis.

The former parliamentarian, Ahmed Tantawi, alluded to these fears in a video recording broadcast on the communication sites in 2019, in which he stressed the mismanagement of the Nile file, and demanded that all state institutions assume their roles before it is too late, and address any attempts to transfer water outside Egypt, specifically to the “Zionist entity.” ".

The Egyptian contractor and actor Mohamed Ali, who turned about two years ago into a sharp critic of the regime of President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi, reinforced these fears through his statements in which he revealed that the Egyptian regime had established secret tunnels under the Suez Canal, which may be used to transport water to a foreign party.

In an interview with "Middle East Eye", Ali confirmed that engineers who worked in the construction of the tunnels told him about this project, which cost billions of dollars, and said that he had doubts that the destination of this water was Israel.



Despite Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi's threat to use force, Egypt and Sudan are facing an intransigent Ethiopian position on the issue of the Renaissance Dam, by starting a second filling of the dam with water, without reaching a tripartite agreement, which Cairo and Khartoum rejected, as a unilateral measure.

Although Egypt transferred the issue to the Security Council, which held, last week, for the second time, a session on the Renaissance Dam dispute, the Council did not issue any decision on the crisis, and returned the issue of the Renaissance Dam to the African Union, calling on the three countries to proceed with the negotiation path, which is a blow to the efforts of Egypt and Sudan,which had hoped to commit Ethiopia to a tripartite agreement on the sharing of the dam's waters.

Last edited by Abe Abraham on 16 Jul 2021, 23:11, edited 2 times in total.

Abe Abraham
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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 16 Jul 2021, 11:05



What is the Sudanese nationalist Khalid Abu Rahaf ( ኻልድ ኣቡ ራሃፍ ) saying ?

He has in the past repeatedly stated that the Egyptians do not have the right to prevent Sudan and Ethiopia from making full use of the Nile Water which is theirs.

Now, he is saying that the Egyptians dogs/kilab after they failed in the UNSC to get a decision in their favour they are planning with the help of the Sudanese army to smuggle weapons in to Tigray proper from three border crossing points.

His call is directed at the Ethiopian government and he urges any Ethiopian listening to him in Arabic to pass the message.

His advice to the Tigrayans ( ሻዕቢና ፊ ቲግራይ/our people in Tigray as he put it, in his capacity as an African ) is : " don't allow yourselves to be used by the Egyptian kilab, dogs . "



.

Abe Abraham
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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 16 Jul 2021, 22:14

ጋዜጠኛው ከነስሜቱ ፡ እንደ ዓረብ ባይ ነኝ ለምሳሌ ከግብጽ ሳያስብ ተቀብሎ በዚህ ጽሁፍ ይሁን በሌላ ስለ የሌለ " ኣል-ተዓኑት ኣል-ኣስዩቢ/የኢትዮጵያ ግትር ኣቋም/intransigence ፡ ሊናገር ይችላል የኛ ስራ ግን ሁል ጊዜ የሚባለውን እንዳለ መውሰድ ሳይሆን የሚባለውን መከታተል ነው ። ማንበብ ካልጠቀመ ኣይጎዳም !!!

ግብጽ " ውሃው የኔ ነው ። ከየኢትዮጵያውያን ሂወት የኔ ይበልጣል ፡ በዝናብ ጊዜ ይሁን በድርቅ ፡ ሚልዮኖች ኣፍሪቃውያኖች ቢሞቱም ቢያልቁም ። " ብላ ታጭበረብራለች ። የኣል-ቡርሃንና የመርየም ኣል-ሳዲቕ ኣል-ማህዲ ሱዳንሳ ምን ነካት ? በየኣሜሪካ ዘመነ-ባርነት የስለይቭማስተሩ ቤት ሲቃጠል ስሌቩ ከማስተሩ በላይ ያዝን እንደነበረ ይነገራል ። ሱዳን እሱን ትመስላለች ። የሱዳንና የግብጽ ግኑኝነት የስለይቭ እና የማስተር ( ርካሽ ማስተር ! ) ግንኙነት ነው ።


Israel is the opponent and mediator between Egypt and Ethiopia |إثيوبيا Mohammed Abu Al-Fadl | Arab newspaper


The former Egyptian diplomat, Mostafa El-Feki(ሙስጣፋ ኣል-ፊኢ), brought the conversation that is currently taking place in private discussions to the surface when he advised the Egyptian government in a television program on Tuesday to resort to Israel to mediate in the Ethiopian Renaissance Dam crisis, because it can help it put pressure on Addis Ababa and change the positions of the United States and Russia on the crisis after That Egypt lost all the pressure cards.

I don’t know if it was a political pathetic and talk about the sloppiness that the man used to do or real advice to the government, or a message to feel Israel’s pulse, especially since no official body in Cairo did not accept or reject him, giving his advice a measure of seriousness, and reinforced speculation about the interpretation of the insistence Ethiopia to act on the dam issue unilaterally.

The reference to Israel’s influence in Ethiopia brought back various estimates about its penetration into the Nile Basin countries since the fifties and sixties, and its desire to seize the water card as part of its indirect wars with Cairo, including the incitement to build many dams on the Blue Nile, from which 70 percent come. From the waters of the Nile to Egypt.

Mustafa al-Fiqi, who was a candidate for the Secretary-General of the Arab League before, did not present a new invention on the role of Tel Aviv in Ethiopia for decades, and no one is ignorant of the close relationship between the two sides, but it seems that he tried to keep pace with the Arab wave that places on Israel all the burdens of rulers The area is also the one that can save them from it.

The Egyptian behavior seemed resentful of promoting the idea of ​​normalization in exchange for solving Arab crises, and its acceptance destroys its perceptions that reject this path, and places it hostage to Israel, which cancels the importance of the accumulation of military capabilities to create a relative balance with the regional powers that represent a threat to Egypt, foremost of which is Tel Aviv, which failed Over four decades in turning the cold peace with Cairo into a hot one.


"Referring to Israel’s influence in Ethiopia brought back various assessments about its penetration into the Nile Basin countries since the fifties and sixties of the last century, and its desire to seize the water card as part of its indirect wars with Cairo."

El-Feki, who is currently in charge of managing the Library of Alexandria, has overlooked the complexities of international accounts that put Washington, Moscow, Beijing and some other European capitals in the balance of Ethiopia, a matter whose features appeared in the UN Security Council session on the Renaissance Dam crisis last week, meaning that Tel Aviv is not the only strong ally of Addis Ababa, there are many allies who support its vision.

El-Feki, a veteran diplomat, echoed the talk of a man in the street who, as soon as a crisis occurs in Egypt, does not search for Israel and its fingers, which he believes are moving it in secret. This conclusion may have been correct earlier, but today there is more than one party that supports and stands behind Ethiopia, including Friendly parties and close relations with Cairo, but their interest is also in line with the support of Addis Ababa at the present time.

The interference of the forces supporting Ethiopia reduces the importance of the advice given by the Egyptian politician, and reveals new balances that are forming in the Nile Basin region, the repercussions of which will affect the equation that put Israel as a key element in moving the water file in a way that represents violent pressure on Cairo, where various circles stand next to it.

Hence the sensitivity of the Egyptian situation, which is facing something like ghost forces in its material or moral sense. There is no specific country that can decide the outcome in favor of the downstream countries, Egypt and Sudan, or in favor of Ethiopia. There are several countries that struggle to defend their interests, not for the purpose of harassing or opposing Egypt, but with the aim of achieving Maximum gains, incurring the greatest losses for the opponents, and preparing for a phase whose features are shaped based on the state’s regional influence.

The whole issue has become subject to transformations, part of which began to crystallize with the outbreak of the Renaissance Dam crisis and the arrangement of the situation in the Horn of Africa, and part is still submerged, which made the crisis transcend the triangle of Egypt, Sudan and Ethiopia and constitute a rehearsal for what could be water wars in the future, and competition within the continent African.

Therefore, Ethiopia, Eritrea and other Nile Basin countries began to leave the circle of linking the traditional political will to Israel, according to a discourse adopted so far by some Arab left forces. Each country has a complex network of regional and international relations. Israel may be remarkably strong, but it is not the only one in control of all its joints.

" Focusing on Israel brings back the popular concerns accompanying the conspiracy theory reduced to the public conscience, in a way that eases the pressures on the Egyptian state to overcome the repercussions of the Renaissance Dam issue."

It is the fallacy in which al-Fiqi and those who go along with him fell into the idea of ​​resorting to Israel and placing a bet on it. His portrayal that this country alone controls the Ethiopian mood creates a new atmosphere of frustration among the Egyptian citizen, who imagined that he had crossed this complex.

This result makes al-Fiqi’s hadith exhaustive and far from practical reality, and brings it back to a time that Egypt bypassed in attributing every crisis to Israel’s conspiracy against it, and even if that involves some measure of truth in some cases, it is assumed that Cairo has the tools that enable it to miss the opportunity to Any party targets its interests in the Nile Basin countries as part of the country's national security, otherwise the Renaissance Dam crisis will not be the first and the last.

Focusing on Israel re-focuses the popular concerns accompanying the conspiracy theory reduced to the general public conscience, in a way that eases the pressures on the Egyptian state to overcome the repercussions of the Renaissance Dam issue, or this is how El-Faki imagines, so that Israel is trapped in the crisis brings to mind what was reported about its desire to deliver the Nile water to it through Sinai peninsula.

The man did not explicitly refer to this point, but those who followed the proposition since the signing of the peace agreement between Egypt and Israel in 1979 know that it was rejected by successive Egyptian leaders in different eras, and therefore there is no room for repetition, as they may legitimize the plan to promote water pricing and redistribute its historical shares that it alludes to. Ethiopia from time to time.

Placing Israel in the formula of the opponent and the mediator is inconsistent with what many Egyptian trends refer to through the drama and the media that it is an opponent only looking to sabotage the state by all means, from inside and outside, which loses Al-Fiqi’s proposal with sufficient seriousness, because accepting the role of mediation and wielding it in the midst of these forces Those involved in the crisis will not be free, and its outcome may exceed what Egypt could incur as a result of the Renaissance Dam.

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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 16 Jul 2021, 23:06

Renaissance Dam.. Two questions and two answers

Maan Al-Biyari /መዓን ኣል-ቢያሪ







Were we, opponents of the ruling military coup regime in Egypt, with its strenuous diplomatic efforts to battle Ethiopia to reach a satisfactory understanding regarding the filling and operation of the Renaissance Dam? Answer: Yes. Did we, the opponents of the regime itself, expect the success of its efforts, the failure of which became apparent? Answer: No. .. It is not a puzzle in our case, as Egypt is the origin and the subject, and when its people and security are threatened in a very vital matter, the waters of the Nile, you are necessarily with any effort from anyone who works to respond to this calamity.

Therefore, while acknowledging that President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi committed a grave act in signing the Declaration of Principles, in 2015, with Sudan and Ethiopia, the performance of Egyptian diplomacy in Ethiopia’s negotiation, in the next, due to the apparent imbalances and what was being blamed on other than that, was not It was only possible to support it, understand the constraints it is subjected to, and realize the difficulties and troubles surrounding it, related to the calculations of regional and major powers. This position stems from the obvious that in this alignment you are with Egypt, and not with the ruling regime, whether the name of its president is Abdel Fattah El-Sisi, Mohamed Morsi, or even Adly Mansour. Whatever the case, we do not, in this matter of ours, take what the scribes of the authority and the tyrants of its accumulated failure have taught us about the difference between the state and the government, between opposition to the regime and quarreling the nation.

As for why we were certain, or in large amounts of it, that the regime’s effort and diplomacy in the dam file would end in failure, that was, never, not because we wished for this or something of it, out of hatred for the regime in Cairo. Rather, because the scene, in its various details, and on a different level and level, kept predicting that Ethiopia would proceed with what it had orchestrated and planned, in the way it engineered, and established the technical and logistical conditions for it, in constructing the dam and setting water quotas for its filling and operation, and the programmed schedules, without any regard for Egypt is terrified of certain damages, which will result from the Ethiopian scheme, which has become clear that it exceeds the production of the need for electric energy.

The prudent one who beholds the conditions of Egypt in its present situation, which rises on the proximity of arrogance and fragility together, does not need the clairvoyants and the cup readers, to conclude what appears before the eyes, especially with the recent failure of the desperate and unsuccessful attempt in the Security Council, and it sent Ethiopia to its deliberations, which indicated the complexity of the situation (in the words of the Egyptian Minister, Sameh Shoukry, rightly), the Minister of Irrigation, affirming her conviction to avoid political interference in the file, and to limit it to what is technical and technical.


It is true that the coup regime in Egypt was institutionalized, and the facts that it created have been established in the state and society, and it is difficult to reverse them. It is true that this system has successes in reconstruction, building projects, operating factories and factories, improving infrastructure, and developing some services.

But all this, and others, have not been accomplished without many dictatorships in other countries, which have brought about advancement in quite a few facilities, and have achieved indicators of progress, in health and higher education and in not a few industries, and... And here is the axiom to say that it does not mean automatic success. In major national files, the weight of protecting Egypt’s water rights, because the regime in Egypt does not stop committing general rights and liberties for the Egyptian human being is a horrible negligence.

It is permissible to claim, here, that a failure of heavy proportions will be achieved by this regime, while it is engaged in its negotiations with Ethiopia, especially since understanding of this system, with the realities of the world, the maps of interests in it, the stakes of the major countries in it, and their calculations are very weak, even sad, as evidenced by the rejoicing of verbal statements from this capital and that about the necessity of a solution to the Ethiopian dam crisis that preserves the rights of all parties, and as evidenced by the lack of serious threat of thoughtful, operational war options.

As well as the lack of imagination of this regime, and it is trying, with China and Russia, to take them to its side, sometimes with caricatures (Al-Sisi dedicated a television speech to congratulate the Chinese Communist Party on its centenary, for example). And in mind, the late, Muhammad Hassanein Heikal, kept accusing the Muslim Brotherhood, especially after their removal from power, that they did not come into contact with the world, and did not understand its details. And he kept telling Sisi that he had a vision. These years of the latter’s management (and his intelligence and aides) of the Renaissance Dam issue confirm a severe deficiency in his awareness of the world, its variables and its complexities, as well as his lack of a national strategic vision that employs the capabilities of the inside, strengthens and protects them in the face of external challenges.

So, failure was a foregone conclusion, and we did not wish for it.

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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Deqi-Arawit » 17 Jul 2021, 04:26

:|


Weizero Abeba
for a change you are doing some thing good and keep it up.

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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 17 Jul 2021, 21:19


እስካሁን ድረስ ግብጾች ፍትሃዊ ጉዳይ ስለሌላቸውና ምን እንደሚያደርጉ ስለ ጠፋቸው ፡ ጨወታቸው ያልተገነዘበው ሰው ያለ ስለሚመስላቸው ፡ በተለያየ መንገድ ማስፈራርያ መልእክቶች ይልካሉ ። ከሱዳን ጋር ያደርጉት የነበረ ወታደራዊ ልምምዶች ማስፈራርያ ነበር ፡ የኣረብ ሊግ ስብስብ መጥራት ማስፈራርያ ነበር ፡ ወደ UNSC መጓዝ ማስፈራርያ ነበር ( እዛ የኣፍሪቃ ኣምበሳ ዶክተር ሲለሺ ሳይጠብቁት ደመሰሳቸው!! ) ፡ በቅርቡ የመርየም ኣል-ሳዲቕ ኣል-ማህዲ የሩስያ ጉብኝት ፡ የሳምሕ ሹክሪ ደሞ ለኤውሮጳ ለማስፈራራት ነበር ፡ ግብጽ ከፈረንሳ የጦር ኣውሮፕላኖች ስትገዛ ለማስፈራራት ነበር ፡ የኣል-ሲሲ በካይሮ ስተድየም የኣንድ የሃገራዊ ፕሮጀከት መክፈቻ ተብሎ የተዘጋጀው የህዝብ ስብሰባ ለማስፈራራት ነበር .....ግብጽ ብታስፈራራም ባታስፈራራም ታሪካዊ ድርሻየ የምትለው ለስዋና ለሱዳን እንጂ ለዓለምና ለኢትዮጵያ ህጋዊነት የለዉም ። ግልጽ ለመሆን ግብጽ ድርድር ኣትፈልግም ። ድርድር የምትለው " የፈለግኩት ኣድርጉልኝ " የሚል ማጭበርበር ነው ።







In the video Farah Al-barqawi ( ፈራሕ ኣል-በርቓዊ ) and Al-Arabi tv report that Al-Sisi has sent a stern warning to Ethiopia for these reasons :

1_ He set a red line for his country's security.

2_He called for a legally binding agreement that doesn't touch his country's water rights.

3_He stated that Egypt has political and military power to protect Egypt.

4_His defence minister Mohammed Zaki said in a warning language " We are capable to deal with different cases connected to our national security. "


Her guest Nizar Qandil ( ኒዛር ቐንዲል ) disagrees and believes that it is only talks because, in his view, Ethipia crossed the red line that he put several times and Al-Sisi didn't react. According to Qandil the gathering in which Al-Sisi made his speech was planned to take place before the UNSC session that was held in New York to discuss the GERD issue. It was postponed because there was a disagreement between the Al-Sisi inner circle members the first one led by Egypt's intelligence man ዓባስ ካሚል and includes ኣሕመድ ሻዕባን and ኣሕመድ, the son of Al-Sisi ...the second one led by Dr. ፋይዛ ኣቡ ኣል-ነጋ . Their disagreement was in the timing and content of the gathering. The first group supported the idea of planning a public gathering which would send to the UNSC that the Egyptian people were pressuring their government to take strong measures but Dr ፋይዛ ኣቡ ኣል-ነጋ fearing negative consequences of such an approach advised to organise a gathering with other title than The Renaissance Dam and after the UNSC meeting. Prevail, she did. So, the Egyptian government organised the public gathering in Cairo Stadium using " National Project for Rural Development " as an occasion ( the army officially held the start of the project already in june 30, this time it was only a cover to send a " softer " threatening message to Ethiopia that the 1959 water sharing agreement with Sudan should be left intact otherwise trouble would follow ...whether that could be materialised or Ethiopia would give in ,the Egyptians are not sure about it. ) to send a message, according to Nizar Qandil, to the Americans and the Europeans that Egypt might resort to war if it doesn't get what it wants.

According to Nizar Qandil the main topic shouldn't be protecting the current Egyptian water share from the Nile ( he believes that the effect will not be felt even after the third filling ), as stated by Al-Sisi, but the existence of the Renaissance Dam itself which gives Ethiopia the ability to control the quantity of water that flows towards Egypt in the coming years and decades until the GERD is completed and the turbines are placed and made operational. Qandil thinks also that if Al-Sisi thought he has reassured and calmed his people through his statement, he is mistaken.

---------

A disappointed Egyptian : Now I understand what Al-Sisi meant by the Red Line.

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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 18 Jul 2021, 13:18



ኑረዲን ዓብዳ : Let us return to the technical matters ...the filling, management and operation of the Renaissance Dam within the limit of the respect of the sovereignty of Ethiopia. Egypt like your guest said earlier concentrates on the political and strategic aspects of the Dam. I do not know how Egypt is going to impose her will on those topics ( it is not practical ! ). So, as I said let us return to the technical issues - by putting aside politics - to solve the problem. As we said in this forum many times internationalisation hurts the Egyptian interest. Egypt talks now about cooperation - as if it is going to do it in good faith - while in the past it has rejected to participate in the dam.

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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 18 Jul 2021, 14:00


شاهد انهيار مذيع الجزيرة بعد سخرية محلل إثيوبي لتصريح السيسي عن تقديم العون لإثيوبيا


Watch the collapse of the Al-Jazeera announcer after an Ethiopian analyst mocked Sisi's statement about providing assistance to Ethiopia.




ኑረዲን ዓብዳ ፥ Egypt is not that big a power ( economically,technically...) to give assistance to other countries.

Egyptian Al-jazeera anchor : ....but Egypt has experience in agriculture and building dams ....and is offering its assistance all over Africa.

ኑረዲን ዓብዳ ፡ ....I mean assistance should not be packaged in such a was that Egypt tells you to stop what you are doing and I will help you the way I see it .... ( ግብጽ የኣስዋን ዳም ስትሰራ ፡ ለሱዳን ትልቅ ጉዳት ኣድርሳ ፡ ለሱዳን እሰጥሻለሁ ያለቻት የኤለትሪክ ኣገልግሎት ግብራዊ ሳታደርግ ለኢትዮጵያ የህዳሴ ግድቡን ስራ ትታ ኤለትሪክ የምትፈለግ ከሆነች ከግብጽ ልታገኝ እንደምትችል ተናግራ ነበር ። የግብጹ ሃሳብ ከማታለል በስተቀር ምንም ትርጉም ኣልነበረዉም ። )

-------------------

ا فضيحة مصر و فشل السيسي في سد طنزانيا يستنجد بشركة الصين تكشف حجم مصر الحقيقي

The scandal of Egypt and the failure of Sisi in the Tanzanian dam, seeks the help of a Chinese company, revealing the true size of Egypt.




ግብጽ ለናይል ቤዝን ኣገሮች የውሃ ኣጠቃቀም ሁኔታ እንድትቆጣጠር በቴክኒካል እርዳታ ሽፋን በኣገሮች ለስለያ እንደምትገባና የማትችለውን ፕሮጀክቶችን ለመምራት እንደምትጥር የታወቀ ነው ። ኣንድ ከነዚህ የውሃ ፕሮጀክቶች የታንዛንያ ግድብ ነው ። ግብጽ እዛ ሄዳ ፕሮጀክቱን ኣጠናቅቃ ለመጨረሽ ስለ ኣቃታት የኣንድ የቻይና የኮንስትራክሽን ካምፓኒ እርዳታ ለመጠየቅ ተገደደች ። እነ መምዱሕ ሓምዛ - የግንባታ ባለ ሞያ - እንደሚሉት ግብጽ ከሶስት እስከ ኣራት ቢልዮን ዶላር ልትከስር ትችላለች ።

ኑረዲን ዓብዳ ግብጽ ለሌሎች ኣገሮች እርዳታ ለመስጠት እስከዚ ትልቅ ኣገር ( በኤኮኖሚና በቴክኒካዊ መስኮች ) ኣይደለችም ሲል የተሳሳተ ኣልነበረም ።

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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 18 Jul 2021, 17:33

One has to be careful with the news coming from Egypt. The Egyptians are famous in the Arab world for acting, lying and deception. This time it appears that they are trying to manufacture " Egyptian public pressure on Al-Sisi to force the international community to recognize that The Nile water belongs to Egypt alone. "



“Do it, boss.” The former editor-in-chief of Al-Ahram calls on Sisi to step down and holds him responsible for wasting Egypt’s historic right to the Nile.. Others are calling for demonstrations to authorize and support the president.. Communication sites are on fire.

Cairo - “Today’s Opinion” - Mahmoud Al-Qaei:

“Do it, President.” An article by journalist Abdel Nasser Salama, former editor-in-chief of Al-Ahram, threw a big stone at the Nile water file, and sparked widespread controversy on social networking sites in Egypt.

Salameh began his article by asking: Why does President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi not have the moral and moral courage, and declare his direct responsibility for the heavy defeat against Ethiopia, and for wasting Egypt’s historic right to the Nile, when he granted legitimacy to the dam, the subject of the crisis, by signing the disastrous 2015 agreement, (and he was aware of the consequences of what he was doing). ), then when he gave him legitimacy again by resorting to the Security Council without good preparation, and before that when he overlooked the start of construction, and then when he was unable to take a military decision to restore the conspiring Ethiopian leadership to its senses, and also when he failed to rally international support for a just cause, despite Spending billions of dollars buying arms and changing arms from influential countries.

Safety added that

Honesty and courage require the president to come out to the people by announcing his abdication from power and presenting himself to a fair trial for all that his hands committed, ceding the Red Sea islands, the Mediterranean gas fields, and the Nile waters, wasting Egypt’s wealth on useless armaments, and tying the country down. With exorbitant debts that you will never be able to repay, spreading a state of terror and fear among the Egyptians by threatening them to deploy the army within 6 hours, dividing society sectarianly, functionally and categorically by creating an unprecedented situation of polarization, imprisoning and arresting tens of thousands with justification and without justification, and turning Sinai into a cemetery for our soldiers and officers as a result of a very bad administration A crisis that could not have been, not to mention dozens of accusations that will unfold in due course.

Salama continued, addressing President Sisi:

“I wish you, Mr. President, were convinced early on of the painful truth revealed by the Security Council session, which is that we would not support you in the world, and this has never been in Egypt throughout its ancient and modern history together, and the reasons are well known.

Do it and step aside, Mr. President, in order to save Egypt, if you are really Egyptian. It is the only good thing that the world will remember for you and erase from their memory the charge of coup that troubles you and which was the cause of most of the foreign concessions. Do it so that the armed forces have the freedom to act before it is too late, and you will find These forces provide unprecedented support from all groups of the people if they do what is necessary, bearing in mind that there is no legitimacy for anyone who did not defend the Nile.”

Salameh continued: “It is sufficient that the Egyptian nation witnessed, as the whole world witnessed, that the President of Egypt was riding a bicycle to take a walk in the new city of El Alamein, in conjunction with the Security Council session, which was discussing the existential issue of Egypt, in great disregard for a people, who were following the events live. directly on television screens, with feelings of anger and sadness over the fate of their children and offspring, from dealing with sewage waste in food and drink, and even ablution.”

He said that he would rule out conspiracy theory, betrayal, employment, and everything that is currently on the street, noting that he only hopes that the president can prove that the issue was just a miscalculation as a result of the individual's judgment and singling out the decision, then there will not be the maximum punishment, although I Personally, I doubt that.

Salama concluded his article, which he posted on Facebook, saying, “Do it and depart immediately without wasting any more time, and if it is not for the sake of Egypt, then for you, I repeat: for you, because the operations of absenteeism and deception have never stood in all the dictatorships that the world has gone through. It must be eroded little by little, even if it lasts for a long time, with failed battalions and electronic committees, and domination of a miserable media.”

Argument

Salama’s article “The Bomb” sparked a wide debate among his followers, who praised him, pitying him to be thrown into prison.

2015 agreement

Journalist Osama Kamel, head of the Young Egypt Party, commented on Salama's article by saying that:

The 2015 agreement that the Ethiopian side adheres to is not binding; Because it was not presented to Parliament in accordance with the Constitution.

Unparalleled courage

In the same context, Ismail Al-Fakhrani described Salameh's article as clear clarity, unparalleled courage, extreme honesty and high patriotism.

Al-Fakharani addressed Salama, saying: "I count what I wrote for God, then for the homeland, for history, and for the honor of the profession."
Invitations to delegate the president

In the context of the Ethiopian dam crisis, Ambassador Farghali Taha said that in light of all this we have been waiting and we are still hoping that our country and our leaders will come up with the final and only solution imposed on us by our mistakes before our enemies.

Farghali added that instead, we see shameful, scandalous, backward calls to hold partisan demonstrations in the stadium or elsewhere to give the president and the responsible authority to defend Egypt's rights..!

Farghali asked:

What are we doing to add to our scandal and humiliation so much? Do the president and those responsible for him need a mandate to carry out their duty towards the country and the citizen?

He said that the mandate is granted by laws and constitutions, and I granted it and more than it. Otherwise, is everything that the leadership and the government have been doing for years without authorization? ..

He continued, “Accordingly, the signing of the Declaration of Principles with Ethiopia took place without authorization, all the years of absurd negotiations without authorization, all arms purchases without authorization, and the Tiran and Sanafir Agreement without authorization, as well as gas agreements with Greece, Cyprus and Israel without authorization. !”.


Ambassador Taha continued by asking:

“Why does only bridging the ruin after misfortune have occurred needs to be delegated? And just as peace, negotiation and signing were a functional duty in which neither the people nor Parliament were consulted, so too if war is a job and a constitutional duty that does not require partisan demonstrations, banners of support, and a meaningless wedding.. Did you not tell us that war is a secret, a trick, a tactic and everything? Is his account valid?! .”

He concluded by saying: “Does the president accept what is happening, does he consider it necessary for him, and does he consider it worthy of Egypt and its president?! .” By God, what we see adds to shame, in fact, we walk away from it, and it adds to our disappointment, increases our oppression, and returns Egypt for miles and years.”

The international community!!

For his part, said Dr. Ismail Sabry Makled Professor of Political Science and International Relations

He is very surprised that senior official officials have come to demand the international community to assume its responsibilities regarding finding a solution to the Ethiopian dam crisis after this crisis was removed from the agenda of the Security Council, and it is no longer on its list of concerns and priorities because it is not convinced that it constitutes a real threat to international peace and security as contained in The Charter of the United Nations and calls for the Council's intervention in it through the procedures, measures and decisions stipulated in the Charter.

Makled added that the question raised by those official appeals, which began to echo and echo in the capitals of some of the countries party to this crisis, for the international community to intervene to solve it with decisive decisions, is: Who is this international community that has the authority to intervene immediately to save the situation from sliding towards Further escalation and deterioration, and playing a pivotal role as an alternative to the Security Council in managing the file of the crisis of this dam in order to reach a peaceful, consensual and acceptable solution to it?

Makled continued: “And if the five permanent members who move the whole world and push it in any direction they want, and hold in their hands the keys to all regional and international conflicts and crises, and know their most minute details and secrets, and are present in all its corridors and scenes, they have removed their hands from this file, and evaded their role. In it, and entrusted his order to the African Union, which reached the end of a dead end of the crisis by freezing it and removing it from its list of priorities as a potential threat to peace and security in Africa, and stopping it from making more diplomatic efforts to push it on the path of settlement and solution. Will the illusory being called bypassing the international community succeed in Achieving what all of these failed to do, though. What are the powers and responsibilities assigned to them by international conventions? .

He said that the international community, upon which these senior officials attach great hope for a solution to the Ethiopian dam crisis, may pay special attention to environmental issues such as global warming, climate changes, melting and melting icebergs, pollution, degradation, environmental destruction, imbalance, desertification, drought, depletion of natural and economic resources, as well as human rights violations. Poverty, global epidemics, illegal immigration and terrorism, the problems of refugees crossing the national borders of countries, and other pressing and urgent humanitarian problems and crises that require the cooperation of the entire international community to solve and overcome them, but he does not concern himself with the problem of a water dam being built on a common international river here or there ..and it is a problem that he considers technical and does not mean only its immediate owners who are responsible for managing it and solving it themselves for themselves, away from the interference of the international community in it.

He said that this is not an advanced international priority that deserves to be concerned about or waste the time of the international community in it, because there are other global problems that deserve this attention and concern over them.

Makled concluded that in response to all the above reservations and observations, the international community will not move one step to manage the file of the Ethiopian dam, contrary to what these senior officials expect, for no reason other than because it is completely absent from the picture and has no role in it, no matter how long we wait for it.

He said that previous international experiences testify and speak, noting that continuing to pin hope on the international community to find an acceptable solution to this crisis, whose episodes have narrowed and complicated, means continuing to spin in the same vicious circle without end or result.. and this is what we must be convinced of for ourselves. So that we do not continue to run behind a deceptive mirage that has nothing to do with the crisis in which we plunged into its vortex, and from which it was difficult to solve and get out with a satisfactory result.

Makled concluded, saying: "We have to search for ourselves through a path other than the path of the international community: the path in which we may find the desired solution to our problem with this cursed dam, and by that I mean the solution that preserves our undisputed right to life, or rather our right to existence and survival... It is a right that is protected and its legitimacy is affirmed by all international conventions, laws and norms.”

-----------------

After asking Sisi to step down, the former Al-Ahram editor-in-chief Abdel Nasser Salama got arrested.


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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 19 Jul 2021, 16:24

Congratulations !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!





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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 21 Jul 2021, 10:41

እኔ በኣንድ ትዊተር " ኣሁን የኣል-ሲሲ ስልጣን ኣደጋ ሳይወርደው ኢትዮጵያ ሁለተኛ ሙሌትዋ ስለ ኣከናወነች በኢትዮጵያ ላይ በኤውሮጳ የሚደረገው ጫና ሊቀንስ ይችላል ። " የሚያሰማ ነገር ኣንብቤ ነበር ። ይህ ወዴት ይመራናል ?

ሁል ጊዜ ኣል-ሲሲ ስለ የቀይ መስመር - የናይል ውሃ ድርሻችን የማይጣስ ቀይ መስመር ነው ፡ የሚነካው የለም - ሲናገር ግብጾችና ሌሎች የኣረብ ተንታኞች እንደሚሉት መልእክቱ በቀዳሚነት ለኤውሮጳውያንና ለኣሜሪካውያን ነው ። ይዞታው እንዲህ ይላል ፥ ቃሌን ሰጥቼ ወደ ጓላ ለመመለስ ስለማችል - ህዝብ ከስልጣን ሊገለብጠኝ ስለሚችል - እናንተ በኢትዮጵያ ጫና ማድረግ ኣለባችሁ ። "

ከዚህ በፊት እንዳልኩት ነጮች ከጥቁሮች ኣረቦችን ያከብራሉ ። ከኣረቦች ደሞ ኢራንን ያከብራሉ ። ጥላቻም ቢኖር ማለት ነው ። ስለዚ ነው ደሞ ግብጽና ቡችላዋ ሱዳን ዘረኞች ኤውሮጳውያንና ኣሜሪካውያን በህዳሴ ጉዳይ እንደ ሸምጋዮች ገብተው ለግብጽ ጥቅም ብቻ ሊወስኑ የሚፈልጉዋቸው ። ግብጽ በመንፈስ የኣፍሪቃ ኣካል ኣይደለችም ። ግብጾች ኣፍሪቃውያኖችን እንኳን በትልቅ የህዳሴ ግድብ ጉዳይ በየኳስ ዳኛነትም ኣያምንዋቸውም ።

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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Deqi-Arawit » 21 Jul 2021, 12:22

First of all there is no so called historical right? and Ethiopia, under no circumstances should sign a binding agreement to dignify the bilateral agreement which was signed by Sudan and Egypt which offered Egypt the lion share of the nile. Egyptians are asking Ethiopians to bend over and get fuxxcked.

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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 24 Jul 2021, 17:30





ዶክተር መምዱሕ ሓምዛ - ከዚ በፊት ኣይተነው የነበረ ሰው - ከለንደን በዚች ቪድዮ (በቃላቴ) ምን ይላል ?

ስምምነቱ ከተፈረመ ኣንብቤ ይህ ሊሆን ኣይችልም የሚል ስሜት ስለ ኣደረኝ ለየግብጽ ፍርድ-ቤት ክስ ኣቅርቤ ነበር ። ስምምነቱ ስለ የግብጽ ታሪካዊ ድርሻ ፈጽሞ ኣይናገርም ። በሱ ምትክ ስለ " ፍትሃዊና ተገቢ " የሆነ የውሃ ኣክፋፈል ስርዓት ይናገራል ። ከዚያም ባሻገር ግብጽ የኢንተቤ ስምምነት ሲደረግ ያልተቀበለቻቸው ጉዳዮች ያካትታል ። የቋንቋ ኣጠቃቀምና ( ሰውየው ከሶስቱ ኣገሮች የተውጣጡ የህግ ሙሁራን እንደዚህ የጠራ እንግሊዘኛ ለመጻፍ ብቃት የላቸውም የሚል እምነት ኣለው !!! ) የሰነዱ ኣቀነባበር ( ሆን ብሎ ግብጽን የሚጎዳ የሰበሰበ ! ) ስመለከት ዶክዩመንቱ በቶኒ ብሌር የተጻፈ ነው የሚል ግምት ኣለኝ ። ኣል-ሲሲ ከመፈረሙ በፊት ሰነዱን ኣላነበበም የሚል እምነትም ኣለኝ ። ዝም ብሎ ነው በወረቀቱ ፊርማውን ያሰፈረው ። ( ዶክተር መምዱሕ ሓምዛ የ 2015 ስምምነት እንደ ካሪሳ/ዲዛስተር ቆጥሮ በተዳጋጋሚ ኣል-ሲሲን በኺያና/የሃገር ክዳት ይወነጅላል። )



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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 25 Jul 2021, 17:33

ቪድዮው ግብጽ ከኢትዮጵያ ምንም ሳትከፍል ውሃ እያገኘች ለምን ከኣሜሪካ ጋር ሆና ኣገሪትዋን ለማዳከም ሌት ተቀን ትጥራልች የሚል ጥያቄ ያነሳል ።

مسار النيل الازرق داخل اثيوبيا من بحيرة تانا وبحر دار إلى سد النهضة

The course of the Blue Nile within Ethiopia from Lake Tana and Bahir Dar to Sed al-Nahda ( Renaissance Dam )




Towards the end of the video the guy says : do not be angry with me if I say that the nature in Ethiopia is very beautiful because it is the creation of God and which is different from the nature of politicians that I haven't dwelt upon in this video.

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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » 26 Jul 2021, 13:16







The present position of the Sudanese government on the Renaissance Dam is political otherwise The Dam is beneficial to the Sudan for it regulates the water flow and gives us the opportunity to produce crops three times a year and make full use of the water that was allocated to us through the 1959 water sharing agreement that we signed with the Egyptians.

The Egyptians do not like to see us using the full share of our water. That is why they have a problem with the Dam, its mere existence. ( The porblem of the Sudan is with Egypt - the thief - not Ethiopia )



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Re: أثيوبيا مصر و السودان ( Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan )

Post by Abe Abraham » Yesterday, 13:27



ግብጽና ሱዳን የህዳሴ ግድቡን ሁለተኛ ሙሌት " በተጠበቀው " ኣልተከናወነም ሲሉ ምክንያቱ ምንድነው ?

ግብጽ

1_በግብጽ ኣስተሳሰብ ሙሌቱ " የተጠበቀው " 13.5 ቢልዮን ክዩቢክ ሚተር ሳይሆን በዝቶ ከተባለ 4 ቢልዮን ክዩቢክ ሚተር ብቻ ነው ። ይህ በድምር እስከ ኣሁን ድረስ የግድቡ ይዞታ ወደ 8 ቢልዮን ክዩቢክ ሚተር እንዲጠጋ ያደርጋል ። እንደዚህ ብሎ የግብጽን በግድቡ " የሚታሰበው " የወታደራዊ ጥቃት መደብ ክፍት ሆኖ እንዲቆይ ያግዛል ። ግብጾች የውሻ ልጆች/ ኣውላድ ኣል-ከልብ ስለሆኑና በእብሪት ሳያስቡ ስለሚናገሩ ዝም ብለው " ግድቡን ብንመታው ሳዑዲያ ማእቀብ እንዳይጣልብን ልትረዳን ትችላለች " ይላሉ ። በዚህ የሚገርመው በዱበይ የምትገኘው " ኣል-ዓረቢያ " የምትባለው የሳዑዲያ ቲቪ ጣብያ ዝም ብላ ግብጽን ኣግዛለሁ እያለች በሴቶች ጋዜጠኞችዋ " ሰድ ኣል-ናህዳ የተመሰረተውን ቦታ ለመሬት መንቀጥቀጥ የተጋለጠ ስለሆነ የመፍረስ እድሉ 50% ነው " ብላ ስትደጋግም ስምቼኣለሁ ። እጅግ ይገርማል! ግብጽ የኣረብ ኣገር ናት ተብሎ እኮ ነው ።

2_ግብጽ ግድቡን በመሰረቱ ስለማትፈልገውና የሓሳዳ/ቅናት ባህርይ ስላላት ግድቡ በኣምላክ ይሁን በተፈጥሮ (ርዕደ መሬት ) ሊፈርስ ትፈልጋልች ። ስለዚህ ሙሌቱ ስኬታማ ሆነ የሚል ስትሰማ ልትቀበለው በፍጹም ዝግጁነት የላትም ። እናቴ በትግርኛ "ካብ ዓይኒ ሓሳድ የርሕቐና " / "ከየሓሳድ ኣይን ( ኣምላክ ) ያርቀን " ይላሉ ።

3_ሙሌቱ ስኬታማ ሆነ ሲባል ለግብጽና ለሱዳን ያስከተለው ጉዳት ምን ኣለ የሚል ጥያቄ ሊነሳ ስለሚችል ግብጽ ሙሌቱ ከሽፈዋል/ ፈሸል ስትል መልሱ ቀላል ይሆናል ። ማለት በሚገባ ስላልሞላ የሰጋነውን ነገር ግብራዊ ሊሆን ኣልቻለም ።

ሱዳን

1_ግድቡ ለሁለተኛ ግዜ ከተሞላ ቡሃላ ሱዳን ሙሌቱን ልትቀበለው ኣልፈለገችም ። ምክንያቱ ሙሌቱ ተጠናቀቀ ( ከግብጽና ሱዳን ሕጋዊና የሁል ጊዜ ስምምነት ሳይደረግ ) ከተባለ በሚመጣ ግዜ ወደ ሶስተኛ መሰጋገርና ስለሱም የመወያየት ጉዳይ ይነሳል ማለት ነው ። ስለዚህ ሁለተኛና ሁለተኛውን ለማደናቀፍ የሚደረገውን ማጭበርበር ያለፈ ነገር ይሆናል ማለት ነው ። ሱዳን ይህን ኣትወድም ። ከሱ በኣቧራው መንከባለል ትመርጣለች ።

2_ሁለተኛው ሙሌቱ ሱዳን ከተቀበለች " ኣደጋው የት ኣለ ? የቀነሰው ውሃ የት ኣለ ? የሃይል ማመንጫው ግድብ ተጎድተዋል ወይ ? " የሚሉ ጥያቄዎች ሳታፍር ልትመልሳቸው ኣትችልም ። የተያዘው ውሃ ጥቂት ነው ስትል ለጊዜው - ለግዜው ብቻ - መውጫ ታገኛለች ።

3_ለጊዜው ሲባል ምን ማለት ነው ? ሱዳን የተያዘ ውሃ ጥቂት ሆኖ ሁለተኛው ሙሌቱ በደስታ ከሽፈዋል/ፈሸል ስትል ቆይታ ጎርፉ ሃይል ጨምሮ ሲፈስና ኣገሪትዋን ሲያጥለቀልቅ ስታይ " ኢትዮጵያ ሁለተኛ ሙሌቱ በሚገባ ልታከናውን ስላልቻለች ኣደጋ ደረሰብን " ስትል ትሰማለች ። ይህ ደሞ የግብጽ ቡችላዋ ሱዳን ምን ነው የምትፈልገው ወደ የሚለውን ጥያቄ ይመራናል ፥ ጥቂት ሞምላት ወይስ ብዙ ሞምላት ? ጥቂት ከሆነ ጎርፉን ይረዳል ! የተመደበው ሲሆን ደሞ ድርቅና ጥማት ያስከትላል ? ሱዳን ያለ ምንም ጥርጥር ግብጽን ወክላ በማጭበርበር ትገኛልች ። ኣታፍሪም ኣንቺ ውርደተኛ ሱዳን ?


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