Mereja Forum

[info]

The arrest of Oromo activists and the swift actions the federal government is currently taking against all those who are or would be potential partners for the TPLF in aims to destabilize the PM Abiy administration is putting TPLF in a very precarious situation. Its latest press release clearly shows that TPLF very well has understood the gravity of the dangerous state where it has found itself. It has sensed and rightly so that it is the next target of the the Abiy administration and the unexpected display of determination of the federal authorities to go against even the likes of Oromo heavyweight activists like Jawar seems to send a shockwave into the TPLF camp.

It is now clear for TPLF that PM Abiy would do anything to crush any entity that is on his way. PM Abiy seems to be a very shrewd politician who would do his homework in the background by preparing and putting all the necessary tools in place and then just waiting until you make one wrong step. The moment you make that one wrong step, you are done before even knowing what hit you. TPLF knows it is the next target but is hesitating to make that one wrong step, e.g. to let its Liyou Hail cross the border into Amhara region. Information from Wolkait and from Fenkel say, TPLF has moved its Liyou Hail near the border to Amhara region. Now what? The moment TPLF steps one foot into the Amhara region, Abiy will definitely send federal Army. TPLF also knows that staying idle and waiting is not a solution knowing full well it is the next target.

This leads me to two possible scenarios:

1. Moderates in the TPLF will conspire and hand over the radical officials to the federal authorities and make peace with the Abiy administration. If what fenkel is saying is true, there seem to be a heated debate going on inside TPLF with the moderates preferring to make peace with the federal authorities.

2. Another possible scenario is that the radicals will force TPLF to make that one wrong move which Abiy is waiting for.

TPLF, damned if you do and damned if you don't!

[Weyane.is.dead]

Denkoro TPLF's last press release was a call for war. There's no going back for the terrorist organisation. Theres rumours federal government is bringing troops and their heavy artillery back from Somalia. Tplf is on a suicide mission.

[Za-Ilmaknun]

TPLF knows it is the next target but is hesitating to make that one wrong step, e.g. to let its Liyou Hail cross the border into Amhara region. Information from Wolkait and from Fenkel say, TPLF has moved its Liyou Hail near the border to Amhara region. Now what? The moment TPLF steps one foot into the Amhara region, Abiy will definitely send federal Army. TPLF also knows that staying idle and waiting is not a solution knowing full well it is the next target.

This leads me to two possible scenarios:

1. Moderates in the TPLF will conspire and hand over the radical officials to the federal authorities and make peace with the Abiy administration. If what fenkel is saying is true, there seem to be a heated debate going on inside TPLF with the moderates preferring to make peace with the federal authorities.

2. Another possible scenario is that the radicals will force TPLF to make that one wrong move which Abiy is waiting for.

TPLF, damned if you do and damned if you don't!

TPLF won't cross the border to the south. Like you indicated ..it is that one final line the Abiy administration is waiting for TPLF to cross. However, TPLF will continue its terror campaign of killing government officials and notable individuals to instigate civil unrest and preoccupy the government. The Feds will definitely cut the budget that goes to pay for the millions of ragtag militias and frustrate the fascists further. I don't discount totally though, their delusion and self aggrandizement to pump their ego for that possible confrontation. We will know in a very short amount of time.

[Aurorae]

Info,

I don't know how well TPLF is armed, but expect civil war if TPLF can manage it. It is trying to drive the wedge between Abiy and his main constituencies, Does Abiy have complete control over the federal armed forces ?, if he doesn't, hell will break lose... Hopefully, he does.

[Hawzen]

The arrest of Oromo activists and the swift actions the federal government is currently taking against all those who are or would be potential partners for the TPLF in aims to destabilize the PM Abiy administration is putting TPLF in a very precarious situation. Its latest press release clearly shows that TPLF very well has understood the gravity of the dangerous state where it has found itself. It has sensed and rightly so that it is the next target of the the Abiy administration and the unexpected display of determination of the federal authorities to go against even the likes of Oromo heavyweight activists like Jawar seems to send a shockwave into the TPLF camp.

It is now clear for TPLF that PM Abiy would do anything to crush any entity that is on his way. PM Abiy seems to be a very shrewd politician who would do his homework in the background by preparing and putting all the necessary tools in place and then just waiting until you make one wrong step. The moment you make that one wrong step, you are done before even knowing what hit you. TPLF knows it is the next target but is hesitating to make that one wrong step, e.g. to let its Liyou Hail cross the border into Amhara region. Information from Wolkait and from Fenkel say, TPLF has moved its Liyou Hail near the border to Amhara region. Now what? The moment TPLF steps one foot into the Amhara region, Abiy will definitely send federal Army. TPLF also knows that staying idle and waiting is not a solution knowing full well it is the next target.

This leads me to two possible scenarios:

1. Moderates in the TPLF will conspire and hand over the radical officials to the federal authorities and make peace with the Abiy administration. If what fenkel is saying is true, there seem to be a heated debate going on inside TPLF with the moderates preferring to make peace with the federal authorities.

2. Another possible scenario is that the radicals will force TPLF to make that one wrong move which Abiy is waiting for.

TPLF, damned if you do and damned if you don't!

It is always good to hear from smart people like yourself and your analyses have been right on point so far. Welcome back, brother info. Your presence definitely balances out at least 10 low IQ Dedebit cadres who are only good at making noise but no substance....


Victory to Fenqil Movement!!!

Dedebit is always dedeb
R.I.P Abay Tigray and TPLF

[Cigar]

Woyane is dead. It can't be possibly create civil war in Ethiopia for it is quarantined in tigray as was it was impossible to get to Arat kilo unless hiding in Eritrea's mountains and trenches under the EPLF umbrella.
And if it is stupid to go to war with either Ethio or Eritrea, it has no military capabilities for the armaments it stole from Ethiopia are now rasting and obsolete.
And we all know that there is no a single fight (war) tplf aka woyane won a war with out riding other entities.
We told these snotty young tegarus the facts, but they refuse to accept the fact due to the false, lie indoctrination woyane been teaching them. Their history is stealing Shaebia's history, songs, iconic pictures and now these young tegarus who got hoodwinked by woyane lie doctrine,so much so they even believe woyane gave Eritrea its independence, are about to say:
"HOW DID WE GET THAT STUPID".
The final nail in woyane coffin is about to be hammered soon.

[Axumezana]

TPLF has no intention to cross South or North. But is ready to defend itself if Isaias or Abiy miscalculate and try to invade Tigray. Study the war history of TPLF and you will find for yourself that those who claim TPLF will invade Amhara are either intentionally preparing excuse for the government to invade Tigray or are just trying to black mail TPLF as usual. The war with Tigray is going to be an ugly war and I am sure Isaias will be the 1st victim. Once Isaias is out of the game I expect TPLF and PP will seat and agree to coexist. The only person who want this war is Isaias not PP or TPLF.

[sesame]

TPLF has no intention to cross South or North. But is ready to defend itself if Isaias or Abiy miscalculate and try to invade Tigray. Study the war history of TPLF and you will find for yourself that those who claim TPLF will invade Amhara are either intentionally preparing excuse for the government to invade Tigray or are just trying to black mail TPLF as usual. The war with Tigray is going to be an ugly war and I am sure Isaias will be the 1st victim. Once Isaias is out of the game I expect TPLF and PP will seat and agree to coexist. The only person who want this war is Isaias not PP or TPLF.

Well, we note a change of tone. All the bluster in the Agame is now gone. What we see are scared rats. If you think that Abiy and Isaias are going to sit idle while the Adwa thieves are around, then you are cheating yourself. The movie has only one ending, the total eradication of the TPLF, the cancer of the Horn of Africa. You Agames are going to be taught a lesson that you will never forget!

[Weyane.is.dead]

This dumb rat is one funny animal. Your TPLF are hiding in the bushes to evade the federal government. Let alone now when you're quarantined in your rat hole you couldn't beat Isaias when you had full control of the federal government and the backing of foreign western and neighbouring governments. Isaias will be welcomed to mekele as a liberator and tplf fat rats will be hanged in public.

TPLF has no intention to cross South or North. But is ready to defend itself if Isaias or Abiy miscalculate and try to invade Tigray. Study the war history of TPLF and you will find for yourself that those who claim TPLF will invade Amhara are either intentionally preparing excuse for the government to invade Tigray or are just trying to black mail TPLF as usual. The war with Tigray is going to be an ugly war and I am sure Isaias will be the 1st victim. Once Isaias is out of the game I expect TPLF and PP will seat and agree to coexist. The only person who want this war is Isaias not PP or TPLF.

[sun]

The arrest of Oromo activists and the swift actions the federal government is currently taking against all those who are or would be potential partners for the TPLF in aims to destabilize the PM Abiy administration is putting TPLF in a very precarious situation. Its latest press release clearly shows that TPLF very well has understood the gravity of the dangerous state where it has found itself. It has sensed and rightly so that it is the next target of the the Abiy administration and the unexpected display of determination of the federal authorities to go against even the likes of Oromo heavyweight activists like Jawar seems to send a shockwave into the TPLF camp.

It is now clear for TPLF that PM Abiy would do anything to crush any entity that is on his way. PM Abiy seems to be a very shrewd politician who would do his homework in the background by preparing and putting all the necessary tools in place and then just waiting until you make one wrong step. The moment you make that one wrong step, you are done before even knowing what hit you. TPLF knows it is the next target but is hesitating to make that one wrong step, e.g. to let its Liyou Hail cross the border into Amhara region. Information from Wolkait and from Fenkel say, TPLF has moved its Liyou Hail near the border to Amhara region. Now what? The moment TPLF steps one foot into the Amhara region, Abiy will definitely send federal Army. TPLF also knows that staying idle and waiting is not a solution knowing full well it is the next target.

This leads me to two possible scenarios:

1. Moderates in the TPLF will conspire and hand over the radical officials to the federal authorities and make peace with the Abiy administration. If what fenkel is saying is true, there seem to be a heated debate going on inside TPLF with the moderates preferring to make peace with the federal authorities.

2. Another possible scenario is that the radicals will force TPLF to make that one wrong move which Abiy is waiting for.

TPLF, damned if you do and damned if you don't!

Tplf radicals are increasingly pushing themselves in to the narrower and narrower corner with no escaping routes.

Moderates should stop the radicals from dressing themselves with rocket shaped head gears, feeling hallucinated or intoxicated and then start flying straight ahead to their predefined targets like the Rhino, finally hitting the massive thick stone wall to crush and disintegrate beyond any repair by itself may be even without any ones assistance.

[Sam Ebalalehu]

I agree with Cigar. TPLF is almost done. The TPLF founders have done great disservice to their party for the last two years than any time in the party’s history. They acted as the enemy of Ethiopia and Ethiopians since Abiy became prime minister.
That they will start a war assumes the great majority of Tigreans will be on board for the adventure. That is not true. They knew it . That was why they encouraged the Jawar “ army” and OLA to take their baiting.
What will they do ? That is a question they themselves do not have an answer to. They are not bright when it comes to politics. They are in fact dense. They might try to analyze what the Abiy’s government resolves mean, and try to adjust their politics to the time. I think they are too late. I believe the Abiy administration come to a conclusion as long as the TPLF founders control the Tigray politics, Ethiopia will never be at peace. In other words their political future will not be decided by their call. It is a matter of time ..,

[sun]

I agree with Cigar. TPLF is almost done. The TPLF founders have done great disservice to their party for the last two years than any time in the party’s history. They acted as the enemy of Ethiopia and Ethiopians since Abiy became prime minister.
That they will start a war assumes the great majority of Tigreans will be on board for the adventure. That is not true. They knew it . That was why they encouraged the Jawar “ army” and OLA to take their baiting.
What will they do ? That is a question they themselves do not have an answer to. They are not bright when it comes to politics. They are in fact dense. They might try to analyze what the Abiy’s government resolves mean, and try to adjust their politics to the time. I think they are too late. I believe the Abiy administration come to a conclusion as long as the TPLF founders control the Tigray politics, Ethiopia will never be at peace. In other words their political future will not be decided by their call. It is a matter of time ..,

Tplf has the same old tricks since it is hard to invent anything new. In pre 1991 up hill struggles tplf feed the then olf leaders lots of hypnotizing feel good euphoric folktales so that olf and the resource rich Oromos may help tplf to assume power so that Oromos may also become masters over their own affairs. After assuming power with the help and support of the olf tplf waited for a very short time and quickly declared the olf as an illgal terrorist organization for who the tplf does not even need the army to clean them out of sight and out mind since only few police units are enough to teach them lessons, sweet lessons. So even now if the tplf by some supernatural miracle starts riding on Jawar and his colleagues backs so as to come back and land in that BLACK MAN'S palace then the tplf, following its habits and experiences will surely order Jawar and his colleagues To Vacate the field again or face few tplf militia and police forces with head gears for capturing and landing these guys in Qilinxxo and or California since history is sadly said to be repeating itself.

[sun]

Info,

I don't know how well TPLF is armed, but expect civil war if TPLF can manage it. It is trying to drive the wedge between Abiy and his main constituencies, Does Abiy have complete control over the federal armed forces ?, if he doesn't, hell will break lose... Hopefully, he does.

If some army unites play in to the hands of tplf tyrants and Egyptian manipulations through intermediacies like Jawar and others then it will only be the army itself who might be disbanded demobilized and become the wretched of the earth just like the former Libyan, Iraqi, Syrian armies who were divided and destroyed together with their families and relatives both distant and near. Their role needs to be above ethnic, religious, regional, political, etc.divisions. The Ethiopian army is increasingly becoming very smart, principled and united to work for the country, the society, the Horn region and Africa as a whole. They have also repeatedly reiterated that in several public appearance. And that is absolutely good for them.

[info]

If this news is true, scenario 1 could be a possibility very soon and the yellow helicopter called sebliye could be on her way to Mekele