Ethiopian News and Opinion Forum


Look at this world population growth projection

Postby YeSat-Nebelbal » 09 Aug 2010, 16:23


Country Pop.(1000s) Male Female Ratio(M:F)

Egypt .................................................................. 82,999 41,742 41,257 101
El Salvador ......................................................... ..6,163 2,908 3,255 89
Equatorial Guinea.................................................... 676 335 341 98
Eritrea................................................................. 5,073 2,495 2,578 97
Estonia................................................................ 1,340 618 722 86
Russian Federation ..................................................140,874 65,096 75,777 86
Ethiopia .............................................................. .82,825 41,204 41,621 99


Saudi Arabia............................................................25,721 14,098 11,623 121
Oman ..................................................................2,845 1,605 1,240 129
Bahrain ............................................................... 791 454 337 135
United Arab Emirates ......................................... ......4,599 3,093 1,505 205
Qatar...................................................................1,409 1,063 346 307


Solomon Islands ....................................................... 523 271 252 107
Samoa...................................................................179 93 86 109
Andorra................................................................. 86 45 41 110
Palau.................................................................... 20 11 9 116



Population (in 1000s)

(1950) (2009) (2015) (2025) (2050)
Egypt ...................................................................21,514 82,999 91,778 104,970 129,533
El Salvador .............................................................2,200 6,163 6,383 6,895 7,882
Equatorial Guinea......................................................226 676 781 971 1,445
Eritrea ................................................................. 1,141 5,073 6,009 7,404 10,787
Estonia................................................................. 1,101 1,340 1,337 1,321 1,233
Ethiopia ............................................................... 18,434 82,825 96,237 119, 822 173,811

While this trend is important to discuss but the data lacks credibility. Amongst many questionable judgments include Ceteris-Paribus (all things remaining constant), but only population increase. The fact of the matter is there is a major virus attack right around the corner, in addition to the constant drum beatings for the potential WW-III, and this will drastically reduce the population most likely the next war to originate at (Asia Middle), and perhaps the Southern parts of Asia.

According to the above data crunchers, India's population projections are too kindly done. I may even go as far as to tame our fear. The fact is India added over 150 million people in five years time, according to the last count to a Billion mark is concerned. If India's population projection is calculated based on that fact, India will surpass the 2 Billion mark by the year 2035, but the data crunchers are making it look as a controlled and manageable growth. The fact is the South East Asia population growth is the threat to the world more than Africa's population growth is. The main problem with Africa's population growth is that it is not corresponding with economic progress, and compared to Asia, Africa is not as bad as they make it look.

However, that does not mean we need to take our eyes off the introduction of serious and strict population management methods. For instance, Ethiopia's population was unknown as far as the 1950s are concerned, in fact the best estimate was 12 million, and Eritrea's population was accurately reported to be 1.14 million in the 1950. Based on this population manipulation data reporting techniques, they are not helping us or themselves, they are making us question their entire reporting and the facts they lay before us. When facts are played with everything falls apart, and in this case they are making me doubt this data.

In addition to the above flaws, I also happen to know that Canada a little bit more intimately, and it just happen immigration to Canada is 275 to 300 thousand per year, and as it stands (in 2010) Canada is ~34 million people nation, and forty years later the data suggests Canada will have added only a mare 10 million. Based on the current immigration data, Canada will have 10 million additional people by the year 2040. Thus the population of Canada will hit ~44 million based on immigration, means without adding the yearly natural population expansion. Most migrants and Catholic Canadians produce over 300 thousand babies yearly, when adding this figure to the net migration Canada stands to add nearly 15 million assuming immigration quota remains constant. Canada will be 34+10, but additional 1.5 to 2 million babies, by the year 2050 I would say it will be no less than 50 million. So the projection on Canada is wrong.

http://www.un.org/esa/population/public ... tables.pdf

MORE ANALYSIS TO COME



Re: Look at this world population growth projection

Postby YeSat-Nebelbal » 10 Aug 2010, 11:25


Looking at the above data tells you something fundamentally flawed. The small islands (Solomon islands, Samoa, Andorra, Palau) have more male female ratio, and as researchers assume those nations with more male than female tend to be situated or surrounded by ocean or have seaside shore, and their diet is more from the aquatic life tend to have more male to female ratio.

What makes you alarmed in the above data is that conservative moslem nations have too high of male to female ratio. Qatar and United Arab Emirates are by far the most alarming, specially Qatar has three times more male than female. It's long suspected Qataris women abort female fetuses. The same goes in Arab Emirates, female babies are aborted as soon as the husband finds out. Bahrain is also suspected of using science and abortion methods in producing more males. Saudi Arabia openly encourages male babies over female babies. The main reason is cultural, females are looked as a burden to the family than males. Those nations import women from other less rich moslem nations. The level of medical advancement in reproductive science is by far the highest in those nations, and doctors from South East Asia tell some families offer very high pay to get help conceiving boys, and the scientists come from poor nations and do not care as long as there is a good compensation.

Russia and Estonia have very low level, and this is not due to science, but due to the failure of those nations to make jobs available for their male population and that in turn drives males in those nations to excessively use alcohol and other self-destructive substances. That is there are many women from Eastern European nations practicing mail bride for Western males. Eritrea has relatively high gap between male female ratio, Eritrean mothers are having more boys than girls, its not a result of scientific manipulation but random coincident, after all they have a long coastline and half of their people consume aquatic living things.

Population growth projections to discussed next



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