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Destabilizing Egypt; Ethiopia’s Nile River Dam (Thomas C. Mountain)

Postby Zmeselo » 13 Sep 2017, 13:09


Destabilizing Egypt; Ethiopia’s Nile River Dam


Ethiopia's GERD dam will make Egypt's Nile delta sink under the Med, study says

By Thomas C. Mountain

http://www.madote.com/2017/09/destabili ... -nile.html

Ethiopia’s new “ Grand Renaissance Dam”, scheduled to be completed next year, will take close to half (40%) of the Nile River’s water every year for the next 5 years as it fills up. How is Egyptian President Al Sisi going to survive for the next 5 years without almost half the Nile’s water when the country is presently suffering serious water and hydroelectric shortages, never mind crippling inflation, growing hunger and a terrorist insurgency?

So far the world thinks that somehow, some way, Egypt, almost 100 million people and growing, already on shaky ground economically, will find a way to survive something that the country has not faced in over two thousand years, almost a half less water from the river Nile for 5 years straight. And what if a drought hits the Ethiopian highlands, the source of the Nile River, with chances are this happening at least once in the next 5 years with the accelerating global warming trend, and Egypt loses over half of its water?

If international opinion turns out to be wrong, and that cutting Egypt’s water by nearly half for 5 years is not survivable, then an enormous explosion is brewing in Egypt, the Arab world’s biggest country, this huge explosion being brought about by the construction of Ethiopia’s massive dam generating 6,000 MW of electricity, something that Ethiopia doesn't even have the infrastructure to use.

If Ethiopia can’t even distribute this new source of electricity for its people to use due to an almost complete absence of any national power grid, let alone local level infrastructure, than why has the country gone so deeply into debt to build a dam that will do so much damage to its northern neighbor, Egypt?

Those in the know are asking this question, for a potential catastrophe could be in the making in Egypt with a hunger driven popular explosion of rage against the rule of President Al Sisi and fundamentally threaten the Egyptian military’s ability to hold the country together. As in Syria and Iraq, ISIS is sure to take advantage of the resulting chaos to spread its insurgency across the country and all of this could lead to an Egyptian failed state situation.

Such a scenario has directed attention towards the likelihood of the Egyptian military attacking Ethiopia’s new dam if the situation starts to deteriorate domestically. Cutting the Niles water will be a devastating blow to Egypts ability to feed itself and cutting off its ability to produce food for export causing the loss of desperately needed foreign currency.

Will the Egyptian people be able to endure such a dramatic increase in their hunger and hardships for 5 years without an inevitable explosion? Will Al Sisi be able to hold the Egyptian military together and prevent the government from collapsing as a result of such a major water shortage and inevitable mass hunger?

The origins of the very idea of Ethiopia daming the Nile are found at the World Bank, majority owned by the USA. The World Bank, whose policy for many disastrous decades was to push dam construction in some of the most vulnerable areas of the planet was the first to raise the “grand dam” idea, to harness the waters of biblical proportions for a “Greater Ethiopia”.

The problem, again, is that 70% of Ethiopians don’t have access to government electricity, almost 70 million people. The Ethiopian government has gone so deeply into debt building this new 6,000 MW dam there is nothing left over to build the electrical distribution network the country so desperately needs. So all that new electric power will not go towards uplifting the lives of Ethiopians, “for a Greater Ethiopia”, but be sold on the East African market to pay the onerous debt incurred in building the damn thing.

The needs of Ethiopia for many years in the future could have been met by building a series of smaller, much less expensive dams that would not cause such a drastic interference in the Nile River’s flow.

Yet thanks to the World Banks persistence, Ethiopia went ahead with its “grand dam” and the result could be an explosion of popular anger in Egypt that could threaten much of the worlds economy, being that Egypt controls the Suez Canal, through which the largest trading partners in the world, Asia and Europe, do 90% of their business. It is Egyptian troops, whose salaries are paid for by the USA, that control the Suez Canal and if the Egyptian military loses control of the country in a popular uprising similar to which brought down Mubarak, than the continued reliability of the army to control the Suez Canal comes into question. Of course, there is always the Israeli Army waiting in the wings, ever ready to step in and occupy the first Great Canal in Suez.

Could it be that having Egypt and Ethiopia, two out of three of Africa’s largest countries, at each others throats is in the national interests of the USA, that wants at all costs to prevent African unity, neither economic or political?

Again we find the USA’s policy of “crisis management” behind the scenes in this brewing conflict, as in create a crisis and then manage it to divide and conquer, the better to loot and plunder African resources with as little resistance as possible.

Thomas C. Mountain is an independent journalist , living and reporting from here since 2006. See www.thomascmountain@gmail.com



Re: Destabilizing Egypt; Ethiopia’s Nile River Dam (Thomas C. Mountain)

Postby Awash » 13 Sep 2017, 15:19


Just worry about your banana republic. You love your Arab masters more than they love themselves. Moron shabo.



Re: Destabilizing Egypt; Ethiopia’s Nile River Dam (Thomas C. Mountain)

Postby Ethoash » 13 Sep 2017, 15:29


Zmeselo wrote:Destabilizing Egypt; Ethiopia’s Nile River Dam



zMELES,


Ethiopia have nothing to lose if Egypt start war ...but everything to gain...instead of owning nothing we going to own Nile 100% we will have right to stop the water until they pay us kassa to repair all damaged

now what is the possibility of war with Ethiopia almost zero ... even America could not wage war with Iraq and Afghanistan they almost bankrupted how in hell Egypt will wage war from far away..

the only way is to lease Eritrean land or Sudan land.. that is good for Ethiopia if Ethiopia win Eritrea will pay big time they will lose Assab forever mark my word

Sudan help EPLF and TPLF and cost them SOUTH SUDAN WITH OIL ... Because Ethiopia was helping the South Sudan trust me the North Sudan learn the hard way not to mess up with Ethiopia so the only choice is Eritrea and Eritrea will pay in big way which is good for Ethiopia

if Egypt lose the war we will make sure Egypt divided in to two nation Christian and Muslim and the Christian Egypt will get the port city ...and the Muslim Egyptian will be land locked guess what even Israel will be helping Ethiopia ...

Egypt never had mountain so they cant claim mountain they live in flat land that means they will have hard time claiming mountain they r not fit for that so how in hell they going to fight with Ethiopian army.. who r mountain goat ....

trust me Egypt will be bankrupted with in few month .. not the war but the economy will make them stop the war... if they manged to damaged the Nile dam they will be flooded ... and there will be no city left to talk about it... they r destroying themselves by destroying Nile dam

i am telling u this not to explain to u because u deserve it .. i am telling u how evil u r ... what Ethiopia did to u... they give u ur own nation why not develop ur own nation and leave Ethiopia alone instead of finding bad new 24/7 do u see me finding even one bad news about Eritrea i never search Eritrea for what i dont care about Eritrea they r dead to me...

i dont even support the removal of ISISIS AWARKI he is the best Ethiopia we have in Eritrea he is punishing the Eritrean people why in hell we want him to go.. in fact we should support him to the end.. only HALF want him gone not me...

DO U REMEMBER Gilgel Gibe III Dam, THEY TALK ABOUT Lake Turkana in Kenya DRYING UP BECAUSE Ethiopia build GILGEL GIBE iii

phpBB [video]


THIS Kenya even saying Ethiopia should not use the omo river for irrigation the nerve this people have instead of saying let share they telling us dont use the omo river just send all water to kenya



Re: Destabilizing Egypt; Ethiopia’s Nile River Dam (Thomas C. Mountain)

Postby Zmeselo » 13 Sep 2017, 18:26


Asswash,

I'm not deleting your post because it lacks any value but because I want to teach you a simple fact of life:

If you want respect, learn to give it first.

But since you weyanes are beasts and not humans, that's too much to ask.

___________________________________________________

One important thing that nobody is talking about, but that shows that the weyane's days are numbered, is the fact that-from now on- the era of holding fake elections and declaring fake victories- is at an end!



Re: Destabilizing Egypt; Ethiopia’s Nile River Dam (Thomas C. Mountain)

Postby Libero_Pensatore » 13 Sep 2017, 19:11


This forum clown agame is hillarious. :lol: :lol:

AgameAsh wrote,
the only way is to lease Eritrean land or Sudan land.. that is good for Ethiopia if Ethiopia win Eritrea will pay big time they will lose Assab forever mark my word



Re: Destabilizing Egypt; Ethiopia’s Nile River Dam (Thomas C. Mountain)

Postby tarik » 13 Sep 2017, 19:52


Zmselo

Good Evening Sir

I posted about this article a while ago. this dam is all about zionist israel and how it's using idiots terrorist-tigra-tplf slaves to terrorize Egypt using the dam. Israel is using stupid tplf as a proxy against Egypt. here is the article i posted from an isreal site.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARABIC MEDIA REVIEW
Egypt’s water war
Alleged 'Ethiopian-Israeli plot' to divert the waters of the Blue Nile infuriates Cairo; experts warn the new dam would destroy Egyptian agriculture

By MICHAEL BASSIN
May 30, 2013, 4:41 pm 40
196
shares
Egyptians enjoy a boat ride along the Nile River, in Cairo, Egypt, Tuesday, May 28, 2013. (Photo credit: AP/Hassan Ammar)
Egyptians enjoy a boat ride along the Nile River, in Cairo, Egypt, Tuesday, May 28, 2013. (Photo credit: AP/Hassan Ammar)
Ethiopia’s commencement on Wednesday of construction on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, which experts say would dramatically alter the course of the Blue Nile waters and be Africa’s largest dam, has sparked a major diplomatic crisis with Egypt. The project represents an Ethiopian-Israeli plot to cripple Egypt, Arab dailies allege, and could push Egypt to launch a military strike.

Get The Times of Israel's Daily Edition by email and never miss our top stories FREE SIGN UP
The London-based pan-Arab daily Al-Hayat reports that the Ethiopian ambassador to Egypt was summoned yesterday by the Egyptian Foreign Ministry to clarify his country’s announcement that construction of the dam would proceed.

Egyptian officials released a statement saying that “Egypt supports any development project for the Nile Basin countries, as long as it does not damage the downstream countries Egypt and Sudan.” In response, Ethiopian officials tried to assure their Egyptian counterparts that “the diversion of the Blue Nile will not affect Egypt’s share of the water.”

‘The diversion of the Blue Nile will not affect Egypt’s share of the water’

The 1929 Nile River Agreement, which was drawn up by Great Britain when it was the colonial power in north and east Africa, grants Egypt the lion’s share of utilization of the Nile River and the right to veto any construction project that would harm its interests. An amended agreement was signed in 1959 by Egypt and Sudan, and not by the other eight Nile Basin countries, allocating 55.5 billion cubic meters of water of the 84 billion estimated cubic meters of water the Nile produces every year to Egypt.

The consequences of these arrangements have severely harmed Ethiopia over the decades. Rich in water, Ethiopia has been legally bound not to use its water resources to provide for its population of 90 million — greater than Egypt’s — and has suffered long periods of drought and famine.

“Ethiopia’s dam will cause grave damage to Egypt. It will prevent the use of two million acres of agricultural land, which will put five million farmers out of work,” Dr. Ziauddin Qusi, an international water expert, told the Saudi-owned A-Sharq Al-Awsat.

“The dam is a project that threatens the existence of the Egyptian state as a whole,” warns Dr. Syed Fulayfel, the former dean of the Institute for African Studies at Cairo University. “Ethiopia must be persuaded to reduce the amount of water the dam will hold from 74 billion cubic meters to 30 billion cubic meters.”

Arab commentators are directly accusing Israel of responsibility for the Egyptian-Ethiopian crisis, despite the absence of any official reports of Israeli involvement.

“The construction of this dam… is the result of instigation by Israel,” writes Abdel Bari Atwan in the London-based Al-Quds Al-Arabi in an op-ed called “Egypt on the brink.”

“Avigdor Liberman, the Israeli foreign minister who threatened to bomb the Aswan dam and flood Egypt, led a delegation of 100 businessmen and engineers with expertise in the construction of dams to five (Nile Basin) African countries. This was poisonous for previous water arrangements.”

“Now Israeli companies have signed contracts to take over energy distribution from the new dam. Israel is exploiting the collapse of Egypt and the hunger of its people.”

Could an actual Egyptian military strike on Ethiopia be on the horizon? Perhaps, but it would be challenging, Major General Mohammed Ali Bilal, the deputy chief of staff of the Egyptian Armed Forces, told the Dubai-based media network Al-Arabiya on Wednesday.



Bilal says that Egypt is worried a direct military hit on the dam would jeopardize its relations with many countries, including China and Israel, two countries with many citizens working on the project.

Egypt is not in a position now to confront all these countries, Bilal says. There is an international consensus that Ethiopia has the right to build the dam. He alleges that the dam has American financial backing and enjoys Israeli technical support. The only solution lies in the US intervening to convince Ethiopia to alleviate the impact of the dam on Egypt.

An alternative to Egypt’s dependence on the Nile is to greatly build up the country’s capacity to desalinate sea water, just as Israel has. However, experts worry that the sheer cost of the desalination process would cause water to be too expensive for Egyptians. Currently, over half of Egyptian citizens live on less than two dollars a day and the Egyptian economy remains in a downward spiral.

Good Evening Sir



Re: Destabilizing Egypt; Ethiopia’s Nile River Dam (Thomas C. Mountain)

Postby Zmeselo » 13 Sep 2017, 21:50


Asswash,

Kelbi, agombihu y'rwaeka.

Wedi qomalat'si ke'a, wedi'bat k'tbli? Kikikiki

Sheyat hageru wedi Ere, yeb'lnan.



Re: Destabilizing Egypt; Ethiopia’s Nile River Dam (Thomas C. Mountain)

Postby Dawi » 14 Sep 2017, 02:39


Zmeselo wrote:If Ethiopia can’t even distribute this new source of electricity for its people to use due to an almost complete absence of any national power grid, let alone local level infrastructure, than why has the country gone so deeply into debt to build a dam that will do so much damage to its northern neighbor, Egypt?


It's asking why invest in renewable energy? It is the "economy" stupid!

Once you built it, it's a Cash Cow for along time to come. It's Ethiopia's Oil you hear; we'll milk and milk afterwords.

What damage are you talking about? In fact recent study has shown its benefits in countering climate change. Not only it is going to be a tourist Oasis but, fishery and other related industries shall mushroom.

It is a huge free storage of water in a cool mountain for Egypt & Sudan to get sustainable & continuous water per need basis, even during drought. It controls the floods devastating the Cities down stream every now and then today; can provide water for irrigation through out the year.

I know Egypt is worried that Sudan is going to benefit the most because it has the most agricultural land for irrigation, that has not taken its "nominal" share all along because of the nature of the water flow but, with GERD that is going to change; Egypt should try to joint venture in projects through out the region to equally benefit instead whining.

As Ethoash pointed out if Egypt attacks GERD, might as well kiss the Nile water good bye for ever. They might as well shut down Aswan Dam and the rest of Nile based projects too because they won't see a drop coming to it from our side in the future; if there is any drop coming from Ethiopia, it won't be drinkable. :(



Re: Destabilizing Egypt; Ethiopia’s Nile River Dam (Thomas C. Mountain)

Postby Horefedi » 14 Sep 2017, 03:09


Qimmallam Agga"mmew / Ekekkam Tigrian *Dawi*:--- What A Cash Flow For Future Generations ,You Are So Stupid/ Not Economy Stupid. Go Bluffs To Low Life Tigrian Agga"mme Beggars In Tigrai. Go Feed Your Own Hungry People Of Tigrai, Which They Are Burden To Other Ethiopian Provinces. It Will Be Destroyed Very Soon Before You Know It.
Please No Need Respond Form Tigrian Agga"mme Person.
Last edited by Horefedi on 14 Sep 2017, 06:25, edited 1 time in total.



Re: Destabilizing Egypt; Ethiopia’s Nile River Dam (Thomas C. Mountain)

Postby Zmeselo » 14 Sep 2017, 05:02


Kenyans, ain't happy either. Poor Ethiopian People. Will be surrounded by enemies in the future- courtesy- the Weyane.

https://disq.us/url?url=https%3A%2F%2Fw ... id=3008574

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